Petrol Price Rise | What are Oil Bonds? | Dhruv Rathee - YouTube

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Hello, friends!
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Now, the prices of petrol and diesel have gone up so much
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that people are suffering terribly.
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On top of it, the LPG cylinder is also getting expensive.
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And perhaps the most irritating thing is that
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after every month or two,
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the Government and its pliable media,
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come up with new excuses for why it is happening.
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First, they said that it was because of an Act of God
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that they had to raise the prices of petrol and diesel.
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At times they say that
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if you want cheaper petrol and diesel you should move to Afghanistan.
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Or Pakistan.
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"You're talking about petrol,
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so go to Taliban.
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See how it is in Afghanistan.
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-We're talking about our country. -Petrol costs ₹50 there."
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Now there is a new excuse in the market,
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Oil Bonds.
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That because the Oil Bonds from the Congress era
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are being repaid now,
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that's why you have to pay more for petrol.
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Basically, Congress is at fault.
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"You will be shocked to know that
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for the rising prices of petrol and diesel
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the Modi government is not responsible
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rather the Manmohan Singh government is responsible."
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"They left us millions of rupees in debt due to the Oil Bonds."
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During their tenure, they bought Oil Bonds worth ₹1,400 billion."
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So in today's video, friends
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let's understand what these Oil Bonds are exactly.
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And how much can they be blamed for the rising fuel prices?
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The way that the prices of petrol and diesel are actually calculated in India
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was discussed in a previous video.
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So if you want to understand this process,
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you can watch the old video,
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the link will be in the description below.
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The conclusion that we arrived at was that
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broadly speaking, the price of petrol depends on two things in India.
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First, the price of Crude Oil in the international markets.
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Second, the taxes levied on petrol and diesel by the government.
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Obviously, if either of these two rises,
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the prices of petrol and diesel will also rise.
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In the last 7 years,
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if we compare the international price of crude oil from 2014,
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it has actually fallen.
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It has decreased because of the fall in demand for oil due to the coronavirus.
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That's why the price of crude oil has decreased.
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But the Excise Duty levied by the Central Government
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has increased rapidly in the last 7 years.
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In 2014, the Excise duty on petrol used to be around ₹9.50 per litre.
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Now, in 2021, this Excise duty is
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almost ₹33 per litre.
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An increase of almost 3.5 times.
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It is scarier for diesel, at an increase of almost 9 times.
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In 2014, the Excise duty used to be around ₹3.50 per litre.
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Now it's almost at ₹32 per litre.
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This is something that the government can't hide.
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The government can't lie that
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the Excise duty hasn't increased at all.
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These clear cut numbers are available to the public.
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When people questioned the government's reluctance to bring petrol and diesel under GST,
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then the government had to admit this.
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The government said that they do not plan
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to bring petrol and diesel under GST.
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"In this House, I'd like to make it known
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that it is not possible in the next 8 to 10 years,
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to bring petrol and diesel under GST."
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Then our Finance Minister and the pliable minister have come up with a new funda
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for why the taxes can't be reduced.
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The Oil Bond commitments from the Congress' tenure.
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What are these Oil Bonds?
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Friends, you can think of a Bond as something like a loan,
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that is issued by the government or a company,
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to raise money.
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But there are some important differences
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between a Bond and a loan.
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Generally, loans are given by a bank,
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to an individual or a company.
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But generally, bonds are issued by the government.
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The government takes money from others
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and issues bonds against it.
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And because the government is borrowing money
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often, the government has to pay interest on it.
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But there are some bonds on which interest does not have to be paid.
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Another important difference is that
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loans are generally fixed
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in terms of how much you've taken as a loan and how much you need to repay.
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But on the other hand, the price of the Bonds may fluctuate.
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Bonds can be traded in.
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Similar to the fluctuations in the stock prices,
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the prices of bonds can also fluctuate.
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But we do not need to go into the technicalities,
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to understand today's video.
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Because you'd understand better through examples.
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The thing is, even during Congress' tenure,
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around 2012 - 2013,
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the prices of petrol and diesel were increasing rapidly.
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Then many people had protested.
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The opposition parties had protested.
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"The way that they have increased the price of petrol in the country,
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is the live example of the administrative incompetency of the Delhi government."
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Many opposition leaders took to the roads.
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Several rode on bullock carts,
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while many were protesting with posters.
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Many people were riding bicycles.
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Even the celebrities spoke out against this openly
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like Akshay Kumar, Anupam Kher tweeting about the petrol price.
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Amitabh Bachchan tweeting about the petrol price.
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"Why have the Prime Minister's Office and the Congress government
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increased the price of petrol and diesel 17-18 times?"
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And all of it was justified.
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Because petrol is not a luxury commodity.
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Petrol and diesel are things that the common people use.
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It is one of the basic necessities of people.
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The public uproar regarding the prices of petrol at the time,
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was not wrong, in my opinion.
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And because of this pressure by the media, opposition leaders, celebrities and people,
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the Congress Party was forced to listen to the people.
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They decided to try to keep the petrol prices low.
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How could the petrol prices be reduced?
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First, by reducing the tax.
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The government reduced the excise duty.
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But that can be done only to an extent.
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If it was reduced beyond the extent,
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the government would face a huge revenue loss.
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So the Congress party reduced the excise duty,
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but the prices were still high after it.
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The pressure from the people was also high.
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The next option was to give subsidies to the oil companies.
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Meaning that the government would literally pay the oil companies
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so that they can keep the price low.
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But the problem was that
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the government had to have enough money to give subsidies to the oil companies.
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What could be done if the government did not have money,
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to give subsidies to the oil companies?
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Then comes our third option.
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To issue oil bonds to the oil companies.
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The government is basically telling the oil companies to take the bond
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that they do not have the money to pay as subsidies.
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so the bond is given as a coupon,
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as a commitment that after some years,
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they would pay them money
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when the companies would return the bonds.
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Similar to the coupons codes on food delivery apps,
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that you can redeem later to get some discounts in terms of money.
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These oil companies had these Oil Bonds.
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The government is committing that in 2025,
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the government will pay such and such money to the oil companies.
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The bonds are issued against it.
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Plus, the government will also pay some interest.
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An interesting fact here.
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The Congress government was not the first government to issue Oil Bonds.
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This was done for the first time
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in 2002, under the NDA Atal Bihari Vajpayee's government.
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They had issued Oil Bonds of about ₹90 billion to the oil companies.
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The only difference was that later when the Congress government was formed,
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they did not raise a commotion about these oil bonds.
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They settled these Oil Bonds,
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and later issued Oil Bonds themselves.
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It was around 2008,
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there were conflicts in the Middle Eastern countries.
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Because of this, the price of crude oil rose to about $147 per barrel.
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It is now around $70 per barrel.
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Look at the vast difference.
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It was more than twice what it is today.
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2008 was the year when there was a terrible economic recession worldwide.
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During this time, the Manmohan Singh government decided that
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the common man should not be overburdened.
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That the prices of petrol and diesel should be under control.
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This was the time when the Manmohan Singh government issued the Oil Bonds.
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It is true that since 2014,
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since Narendra Modi led BJP government has come into power,
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they have been settling the old Oil Bonds.
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They've been paying the amount to the companies.
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In instalments.
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Till here, BJP's narrative is true.
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But their lies are hidden in the numbers.
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How much are they paying for the Oil Bonds?
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From 2005 to 2012,
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Oil Bonds worth ₹1,440 billion
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were issued by the Indian government to the OMCs.
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After BJP came into power in 2014,
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₹1,340 billion was still due.
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In 2015, two bonds matured.
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But their total amount was only ₹35 billion.
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And the remaining amount is still approx ₹1,310 billion.
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This amount is still to be paid by the Narendra Modi government to the oil companies.
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But since then, no oil bond has reached its maturity date.
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The maturity date is basically the date
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on which the money would be repaid to the oil companies, as per the commitment.
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So if no other oil bond has reached maturity date,
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the government hasn't had to repay any bonds since 2015.
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Although, the interest is needed to be paid.
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And the interest is around ₹100 billion per year.
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Since 2015, every year this government has had to bear the burden of ₹100 billion per year
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for paying the interest.
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But this year, the burden will increase
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because two bonds will mature in October and November
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that will have a total amount of ₹100 billion.
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So this year, the burden will be around ₹200 billion.
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You may wonder how do I know all this information.
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All this information is publicly available, friends.
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On the government's website.
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I will link to the website in the description below.
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This is a pdf.
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You can clearly see the two bonds that will mature this year.
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It's written on top.
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After this, the next maturity period will be
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near the end of 2023,
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with a total amount of ₹311.5 billion.
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Apart from these,
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the rest of the oil bonds will mature after the 2024 elections.
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So this government will not have to make any further payments before that.
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Now let's look at the data of how much the government earns through the taxes.
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Let's look at only the amount of Excise duty collected by the Central Government.
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Because we're talking about the taxes of the Central Government only.
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The government had come forward with an amount when
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the question was raised in the Parliament.
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A related pdf is also available on their website.
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The link will be in the description in case you want to confirm it yourself.
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You'd see that within a year,
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in the year 2015 - 2016,
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the government had earned ₹1,540 billion
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from the excise duty on petrol and diesel.
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Meaning that, with the revenue of only this year,
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all the oil bonds could be paid off.
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Even those that have not matured.
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As I said, the due was around ₹1,344 billion.
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And still, some money would've been left over.
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And this is the tax collection of only 1 year.
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By 2021, the government had heavily increased the Excise duty.
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As I told you earlier in the video.
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So obviously, the tax collection of the government would have increased as well.
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By how much?
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You'd be shocked to know the number.
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It is at ₹3,350 billion.
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This amount has been earned by the government in only 1 year.
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In the last Financial Year.
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In the Financial Year of 2020-2021.
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Only from the Excise duty on petrol and diesel.
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Imagine; this is such a huge amount that
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all the Congress' era oil bonds that the government has to repay,
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can be repaid from the revenue of only this year.
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After which, ₹2,000 billion will be left with the government.
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That the government can use for other things.
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And then they try to pin the blame on Congress.
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for the high petrol prices now.
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I've clearly presented all the facts to you.
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So hopefully, you'd understand
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how they are looting you first,
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and then fooling you.
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But do you know what the problem is?
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Some people are not ready to understand.
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After two months, the government will come up with a new excuse,
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they'll adopt a new funda,
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for why they have raised the taxes on petrol and diesel.
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And some people are so naive that
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they'll believe it too without thinking it over.
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They'll trust the government.
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And then they'll even defend the government on social media.
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I read some of these comments in the previous video on petrol prices,
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when I was criticising the government,
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And the comment section was full of
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"you didn't talk about Oil Bonds."
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That I had hidden the truth about the Oil Bonds.
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That Oil Bonds were the real reason why the government has raised the taxes.
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And that they will proudly pay the taxes.
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I mean, it's understandable if you're a BJP politician or a BJP worker,
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But if you're a common man with no affiliation to any political party,
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And you're the one being looted.
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Why are you so excited to defend the government?
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To blindly believe the excuses of the government.
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Think about it.
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I hope that the next time the government comes up with new excuses for this,
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I would not have to make another video.
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So do check out this app.
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The link will be in the description below.
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Let's meet in the next video.
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Thank you very much!