How do I make money consistently? - YouTube

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So today we are going to speak about
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the simplest strategy to make money in the stock markets.
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This does not require you to have any expertise in terms of stock market
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investments and what Mutual funds are, what Smallcase are, what direct equity investing is?
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If you follow this one single tip
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and one single strategy, you will make money in the stock market.
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What is that strategy?
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That strategy is
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called as rupee cost averaging.
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Now, you might say that we have heard of this term.
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It is called dollar cost averaging, not rupee cost averaging.
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Since we are doing it for the Indian market,
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let's call it rupee cost averaging if you like it, press the like button.
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Very quick shout out to our knowledge partners Smallcase for this video.
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Thank you so much. Without their support,
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this video would not have been possible.
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So let's jump right into the topic for today.
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And I'm going to speak about rupee cost
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averaging in 4 specific points. By end of this video,
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it will be clear to you what is rupee cost averaging, how to do rupee cost averaging
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in the right fashion, which instruments to use,
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and what are some of the things that you
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should vs not do when it comes to rupee cost averaging/dollar cost averaging.
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So let's get started.
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Now, first, let us understand that what exactly is rupee cost averaging?
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It simply means that you pick up a certain budget, for example.
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It could be ten thousand rupees, it could be 20 thousand rupees.
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It could be five thousand rupees.
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It could be one thousand rupees or anything,
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any number that you're comfortable making
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an investment in, you pick a date on which you will make this investment.
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So let's say that you are investing five thousand.
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You pick a certain date of every month or weekly
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also you can do that every Monday
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I'm going to invest one thousand rupees in the stock market.
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OK, so two things.
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One, pick an amount that you want to do. Five thousand,
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one thousand, number 2 pick a date, or a day. It could be every
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Monday or it could be every 5th of the month or it could be every 25th of the month.
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So what you are doing is very simple,
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that you are actually automating your investment, automating your investment.
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Automating means that I have a system every Monday stock market,
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one thousand, five thousand or ten thousand goes into the stock market, done.
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Where it goes? We'll discuss that subsequently.
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But essentially you're automating your
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investments and you're getting into the habit of making investments.
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Now, you might say that, hey, Akshat, this looks like very risky.
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I don't know. I don't feel very comfortable around it.
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Can you please explain why this method will work?
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OK, glad you asked. So let's say this is the nifty fifty lifetime chart
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and if you can say that, hey, if you're making investment,
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let's say monthly basis, what you're doing is that whether
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the market goes up, whether the market goes down,
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you're putting in your putting in money. You're putting it in a periodic manner.
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Be it every Monday, be it every 15th of the month, be it every 25th of the month.
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You pick a date and you pick an amount and you keep making this investment.
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So in the long term, what is happening is that this nifty 50 is actually going up.
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Right. So what are you doing?
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You're actually averaging
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nifty.
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You are averaging Nifty.
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So in the long term, your money will increase,
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your money will increase, and it will mirror what? It will mirror
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nifty returns. If you are doing rupee cost averaging in NIFTY, it will mirror nifty returns.
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So you might say that hey Akshat, OK,
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this looks fine, but can you explain like another advantage why this method works.
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OK, so let's say that we are making periodic investment.
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There is no timeline to this period.
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It can be once every month, it can be once every week.
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It can be once a year.
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It can be once every decade. It doesn't matter.
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But my recommendation is that at least one
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periodic investment every month at least, periodic investment every month.
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OK, so back to this nifty chart.
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Now, let's assume that there are three investments that you make of
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equal amount. You make one investment here when the market was low. Market fell down
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you said ok hey let me make investment, you made it.
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Let's assume that you invested 10000 units here, then the market stabilized.
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You said that, OK you know what?
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Let me make another investment.
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So you invested the amount here when the market was low.
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Now, let's assume that this is a one month
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period and after one month you invested another amount. One month period
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you invested another amount of 10 thousand.
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Now, this is one month again.
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And let's say that you made another investment somewhere here.
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Right. So what is happening is that you invested
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in the market in a periodic fashion. When the market fell, you invested
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ten thousand.
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So will you buy more units here compared to this?
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The answer is yes, because the market is low.
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So therefore you buy more units of stocks or more units of Nifty.
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Let's assume that you were able to buy five units of Nifty.
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So discount all the pricing and all that.
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I'm just explaining it to you mathematically.
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So let's assume that you're able to buy five units of Nifty here.
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Now, the market has stabilized.
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Now you are investing 10000 rupees only.
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So will you buy more than five units or fewer than five units here?
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The answer is fewer than.
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So you might end up buying 3 units.
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Now the market is even higher
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here. So do you buy more units or fewer
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units compared to the previous data, so fewer units.
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So essentially so you invested or you
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bought more units when the market was down.
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So this is the magic and this is the reason why it works,
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if done consistently over time.
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So if you're making small, small periodic equal investments over
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a large period of time, you will reap the averaging benefits.
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You will end up buying more units when the market is falling and you will end
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up buying fewer units when the market is rising.
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So please keep this in mind.
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This is what rupee cost averaging or dollar cost averaging means. This will give
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you returns without even tracking the market.
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You don't need to use any brain in terms of automating your investment.
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So moving on to part 2, very quickly
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recapping, what are the advantages of dollar cost averaging or rupee cost averaging?
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Number one, it is the simplest strategy so you can easily execute it.
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That's one. Number two, it gives you long term
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compounding benefits because you end up buying more units when the market is down
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and you buy fewer units when the market is up.
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So by default, your returns will increase from that perspective.
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And number three,
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you're keeping the emotions out because many times we try to time the market.
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We say that what, the market is up.
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Let me just hold my investment.
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Let me just put it in the bank.
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Let me not do anything with it. The market will fall after a few months,
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then I will invest. Great.
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But timing the market is very, very tough.
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What's the guarantee right?
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The market has been trading right now.
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We are sitting in end of July, the market has been trading
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at approximately fifteen thousand eight hundred levels.
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Is there a guarantee that it will fall
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below 15000 levels if you wait for three more months?
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If the market goes down 16 and a half thousand, then what? Then you have missed investing
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in the growth of fifteen thousand eight hundred to sixteen thousand five hundred.
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So this becomes a massive problem for you.
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So keeping the emotions out and not timing
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the market works really well if you are doing dollar cost averaging or rupee cost averaging.
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This brings me to Section three in what instruments you should do
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dollar cost averaging? So No.
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One, let's consider bad stocks or
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penny stocks.
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So let's consider bad stocks or penny stocks.
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No, please don't do dollar cost averaging
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here or rupee cost averaging here, because what you do, what you would end up
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assuming is that hey this stock is really good.
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It is falling down. So let me put money regularly on this.
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And if you would have made regular
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investments on this stock, is it giving you growth? The answer is no.
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It is still becoming and coming to zero eventually.
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So the first key tip where you should do dollar cost averaging is that you must
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do rupee cost averaging on stocks that are fundamentally, fundamentally strong.
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Please, please, please make a note of this.
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Don't go and buy a stock just because it is falling.
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You might end up trying to catch a falling knife. When the knife falls and you try to catch it
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you might cut your hand, so please don't do it.
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This does not mean that you should not buy fundamentally sound stocks when it is falling.
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Let me illustrate it by using another example
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of Bajaj Finance. Now if you take fundamentally strong stocks.
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For example, let's say that you are making regular investments
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in Bajaj Finance and all these red dot indicates that you actually ended up
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investing money on regular fashion in a fundamentally good stock.
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Then in the long run, what is happening? In the long run,
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the average still stays positive because this is the trend line.
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You're buying more stocks in this region because of the concept that I had earlier
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explained to you that if you are investing ten thousand rupees
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in Bajaj Finance every month or every week during this period,
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you would have ended up buying more stocks compared to this period.
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So on an average, your return is high. So key principle
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of dollar cost averaging is that you must only do dollar cost averaging
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on fundamentally sound things, fundamentally sound stocks.
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If you are doing it on bad stocks, it's really bad.
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In fact, what you should do is that if you
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are trying to do rupee cost averaging on good stocks.
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You must buy even more amount. So rather than investing ten thousand rupees,
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if every red dot indicates ten thousand, you must invest 20000, 30000, right.
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When that stock is falling.
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So that way you get even higher returns.
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Why would you be doing it?
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Because you know that this is not following knife, right?
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This stock will come up when the circumstances improve.
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So I have used this strategy on Bajaj Finance and made a lot of money.
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So therefore I'm sharing it with you.
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I tend to make regular investments.
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Whether the market is up,
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whether the market is down, I will always buy and I will always sell,
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because in the market there are always good moneymaking opportunities.
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Now, the second way in which you can do
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rupee cost averaging is that if you do it in Smallcases. But here,
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please note down and please make a note
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that only do it for low risk portfolios. Why low risk portfolio because these low
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risk portfolios and low volatility things, low volatility portfolios,
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in the long run they will go up only. The second way in which you can do
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dollar cost averaging is that you can go
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and invest your money in periodic basis in industry, theme wise.
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So if you believe that five, 10,
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15 years from now, the rural demand is going to go up
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and the rural sectors in India are going to exhibit massive growth,
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then you can invest in the Smallcase called as rising rural demand.
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So you're making a thematic investment on a periodic basis.
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You can make a big investment on a periodic basis.
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All you need to do is that go on invest now and you can do monthly SIP.
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You can just literally press this button and you're done.
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All you are betting on is that you're
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betting that, hey, the rural demand going forward will go up.
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I'm bullish about this particular industry sector.
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Therefore I'm making monthly small bets on it.
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Similarly, if you feel that I can go and invest my money in electric vehicles
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sector, I see that sector or that theme growing massively in popularity in the next
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10, 15 years, go and do rupee cost averaging on it.
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That can still benefit you.
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So all you need to know is very simple
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that hey, where the growth is going to happen.
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You are just picking up that area and investing your money. Now the final way
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is that you can literally buy passive mutual funds.
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These are nifty 50 funds
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nifty 50, sensex funds, Sensex based mutual funds.
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You can buy it from any company, HDFC, Bajaj, etc.
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and just invest in index funds.
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So every week or every month,
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every month, you are making a periodic investment in the entire India's economy.
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This is what is happening via passive mutual funds.
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So I've showed you three ways. Number one, stocks.
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What are you doing via stocks? Please don't try to catch the following knife.
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Only invest in fundamentally sound stocks that you are confident about,
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that is method one. Method 2 is that you can pick up a theme
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that rural demand or electric vehicle and make Smallcase investments via that.
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And number three, you can make investments
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in passive mutual funds, literally investing in Nifty or Sensex.
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Any of these methods would work for you.
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Which method is better? Which method is worse?
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You have to decide. But these are three options that you have.
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Now depending on your risk profile, how much money you are investing,
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you can bifurcate it in any of these three methods and start making your investments.
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Now comes the final question and the fourth part of this video.
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Then how am I playing this out?
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Am I making monthly investments?
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Am I making weekly investments?
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Am I making lumpsum investments?
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So I'm currently doing all three because
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the market now is stabilizing or is going up.
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That is the assumption that I have. So market is
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not going to fall massively from this point on.
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I'm going to continue to make periodic
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investments, via Smallcases via Mutual funds.
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I've identified a few select stocks that I'm going to keep investing in.
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They are trading at a decent price as of now. If you want,
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I'll reveal those three stocks, but please don't take that as an investment advice.
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Do comment if you would want me to make
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a separate video on that topic and I'll do the same.
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So I hope you enjoyed the video and I will see you the next time.