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Skyrocketing home prices and rents create housing crisis - YouTube
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John: In today's highly
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competitive housing market,
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millions of Americans are priced
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out of buying a home, often
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competing with all cash offers
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well above asking prices.
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And rents are skyrocketing, too,
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causing overall housing
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affordability to collapse at its
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fastest rate on record.
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Roben farzad is host of public
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radio's "Full disclosure."
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Roben, thanks for joining us.
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What's going on here?
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What's driving this?
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Roben: So many peculiar, perfect
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storms coming out of this great
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pandemic of 2020.
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Could anybody have romanced how
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much we'd have this renaissance
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in interest in staying at home,
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work from home, people who are
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on the fence about selling their
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homes or aging out of their
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homes suddenly not just start
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adding to their homes right now,
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but are buying homes in
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satellite markets.
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Parallel to that, you had
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interest rates taken down to
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really attractive levels and
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people could get a 3% mortgage.
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And in a broader sense, the
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mobility of the workforce, the
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great unlock of going from high
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priced markets in New York and
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California to places like Miami
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or Asheville, North Carolina and
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Austin.
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And that's caused a tremendous
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kind of sluicing of hot money
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into these markets where you
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just never had the inventory.
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John: And interest rates.
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You mentioned interest rates are
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low.
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They're creeping up, but they're
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still at historic lows.
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Mortgage applications at a
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22-year low now, but at the same
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time, rents are skyrocketing.
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How does that work?
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Roben: There's a shortage of
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affordable housing.
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If you were thinking that I'm
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going to husband cash and save
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for years and a starter home or
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starter rental type thing in
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order to, if you had a price in
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mind, suddenly that price in
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many cases was blown out of the
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water because mortgage rates are
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-- were so low, because you had
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such a piping hot housing
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market.
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And, John, on top of that,
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homebuilders did the rational
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thing and pulled back
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drastically after the great
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financial crisis.
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We thought that that was going
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to be a generational overhang.
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And so now we're paying for the
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decisions that were kind of made
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in the fog of 2009 and 2010.
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Millennials have come to the
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market.
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They see boomers hanging onto
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inventory longer, and so you
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have a generation of people that
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are locked out of affordable
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housing and have no choice but
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to pay rent and pay ever more
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rent.
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John: Is anyone benefiting from
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this?
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Roben: Investors, Wall Street.
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I mean, those who are able to
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show up with cash.
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You see these these signs
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outside of homes, there are
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people that come in and buy them
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and they'll buy your homes and
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turn them around and sell them
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into the institutional market.
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We've seen small flippers, hard
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money, loan lenders.
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We've seen the largest of buyout
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firms and private equity firms
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involved because this is a
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generational megatrend.
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John: You talked about how the
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inventory dropped because
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builders stopped building after
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the real estate bust.
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Is there likely to be a sort of
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a pendulum shift in this?
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Will they start building again?
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Roben: When you see things
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happen, such as people showing
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up even at the whisper of a home
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being listed to be able to put
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in enormous preemptive bids,
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forgoing a home inspection.
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Of course, housing developers
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are going to enter the fray.
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I have a dead mall near my house
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here in Richmond, Virginia, and
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the sears was razed and you have
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luxury condominiums and
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apartments put there.
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That's cold comfort for people
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who need affordable housing.
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But it shows you that the market
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wants to meet a demand.
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You do need policy solutions to
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make sure that people aren't
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kind of doomed to becoming a
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generation of kind of usurious
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renters.
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Some of these rents have gone up
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in such chunky terms.
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You look at markets like los
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Angeles, where there's a
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concurrent homelessness problem,
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Manhattan, Miami, where it's
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just become arguably one of the
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most unaffordable markets in the
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United States, largely because
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out-of-towners have come in with
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hot New York and California
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dollars.
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And there's really nothing that
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locals with their pay scales can
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do.
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John: You talked about policy
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solutions.
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What can be done to address
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this?
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Roben: You know, I mentioned a
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great unlock earlier.
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We have concurrent to this
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-- parallel to this, huge
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overhang about hybrid work and a
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return to work.
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I can go to the canyons of
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midtown Manhattan.
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We can go to whole swaths of
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Washington, D.C., Miami, los
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Angeles, Hartford, Connecticut,
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and very scarcely used
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commercial real estate property.
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And the question is, to what
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extent is there going to be a
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public-private partnership to
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come in and refurbish these
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things?
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The risers kind of rip them out,
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actually put in bathrooms and
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somewhat affordable housing for
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people, because the opportunity
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cost of all of that, I mean,
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millions and millions and
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millions of square feet.
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If you think about midtown
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Manhattan, go in on a Monday
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morning, it's still a bit of a
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ghost town, but there is a
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desperate need for housing and
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you're going to have to see that
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in parallel in other markets
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where the commercial epicenters
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have been cored out.
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Which kinds of forces are going
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to intervene to kind of convert
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that to the housing that's
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desperately needed?
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John: Roben farzad of public
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radio's "Full disclosure."
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Thank you very much.
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Roben: My pleasure.
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Thank you.
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