Should You Buy a House? - YouTube

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Thank you to 'Brilliant' for supporting PBS Digital Studios.
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When you hear the phrase, “The American Dream,” what picture comes to mind?
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For a long time, the classic version included a white picket fence, 2.5 children, and of
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course, a house.
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The importance of home ownership is still embedded in American culture.
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7 in 10 adults say they want to own their own home someday, and yet... actual ownership
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has dropped to its lowest level since 1967.
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The biggest culprit?
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Those pesky millennials, with an 18% decrease since 2004.
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If owning a house is still important, then are young people just being foolish?
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Or are they reacting rationally to a changing economy?
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In theory, owning a home still makes a lot of sense because it kills two financial birds
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with one stone: It’s a place to live, and a long-term investment.
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Every time you make a mortgage payment or the value of your home increases, you’re
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saving money for your future self.
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It’s like a piggy bank you can sleep in!
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But the world is changing in ways that make this scenario harder to pull off:
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Younger people have more debt than previous generations, mainly thanks to student loans.
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The average amount that a graduate owes has tripled in the last 25 years, which means
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that many young people already have a house-sized debt cloud hanging over them, without even
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having an asset they can sell.
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As if that wasn’t bad enough, millennials have a larger burden for retirement.
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In ye olden days, the average American could expect 3 sources of income to support them
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in their autumn years: A pension, social security, and personal retirement savings.
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But thanks to shifting labor trends and shrinking unions, pensions are quickly becoming a thing
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of the past, and it’s giving this three-legged stool a major wobble.
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And since we can’t expect social security payments to substantially increase anytime
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soon, younger people will be expected to make up the difference with larger retirement savings,
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which means less cash on hand to put towards a house.
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The shifting labor market has also led to more pressure to be geographically flexible,
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instead of being tied down to one location.
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And the importance of travel for young people is at an all-time high.
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In the US, millennials rank travel as MORE important than home ownership and report that
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they’re more likely to set aside money for that rather than buying a home.
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Considering these factors, it’s no wonder millennials are viewing home ownership as
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more of an option than a necessity.
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So is it an option that’s right for you?
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Here are some questions to ask yourself:
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1.
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Can I get good mortgage terms?
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Unless you’ve got hundreds of thousands of dollars sitting around in cash, you’re
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gonna have to borrow the money and pay for the privilege.
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How much you’ll pay in interest is determined by a number of factors, but generally speaking,
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in order to qualify for terms that make homebuying a good investment, you’ll need a consistent,
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provable source of income, a credit score of 760 or higher, and a down payment at or
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close to 20% of the home price.
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If you can’t meet these requirements, it might not be the right time to buy a home.
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Will I have emergency money left over?
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The money you have wrapped up in your house isn’t liquid, meaning you won’t be able
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to get to it easily if you need it.
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So if your A/C breaks down or your car needs repairs, and you don’t
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have any emergency funds set aside, the only thing you’ll have to cling to is debt--which
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is more of a lead weight than a life-vest.
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So be sure to have at least three times your monthly expenses left over after your down
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payment.
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3.
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Can I stick around for at least 5 years?
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Buying a house that you have to sell again quickly probably won't end well.
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You have to consider up-front costs like realtors and inspections.
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Plus, at the beginning of your mortgage most of your monthly payment is going towards interest
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-- meaning your debt isn't actually shrinking that much.
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For many buyers, it can be a decade or more before that ratio is even 50/50.
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So how do these factors shake out in a real world example?
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Let’s
.
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RUN THE NUMBERS!
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This is Ramon.
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Ramon has a good, steady job, he’s been saving money and he’s thinking about buying
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a house for around $200,000.
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He only has enough for a 15% down payment, and no emergency fund.
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Also, there’s a chance Ramon might decide to relocate to New York with his girlfriend
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when she graduates from law school in three years.
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By that time, Ramon will have only paid off around $9,000 of the loan principal.
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If the home value increases by an average of 5%, he’ll be able to sell for bit more,
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but that’s not counting the realtor fees, taxes, and upkeep.
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If everything goes perfectly smoothly, Ramon will just break even.
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But if just one thing goes wrong - like losing a job for 6 months or he has to replace his
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home's roof or AC, it's a different picture.
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Ramon might want to hold off on buying a house right now.
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If you’re like Ramon, don’t freak out!
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You could never buy a home but still be okay financially.
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There are even some perks, like not being responsible for maintenance costs, and being
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able to easily pack up and move if you get a better job opportunity.
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But, investing is like exercise: some workouts deliver better results than others, but anything
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is better than doing nothing.
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So, if you’re not going to buy a house, it’s extra important that you’re making
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investments in other areas, like a 401(K), or a company that you own.
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There’s no sugarcoating it: When it comes to homebuying, Millennials got a tough deal.
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But you can overcome that disadvantage by understanding your situation, and starting
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to plan for it now.
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And that’s our two cents!
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One of our favorite segments of Two Cents is "Run the Numbers!"
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We take a financial concept and put it in the real world.
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With real financial calculations.
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It's pretty cool to see how small things can become big things over time!
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From compound interest rates to hidden fees that stack up!
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Maybe you want to see how much interest you'll pay over the lifetime of a mortgage.
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Or how much you'd end up with if you quit your gym membership and invested that money instead.
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With a little hands-on practice, you can master the art of personal finance too!
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One fun, easy way to hone your financial math skills is at Brilliant.org
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They offer hands-on, practical lessons in math and science.
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Each lesson puts you in the driver's seat and allows you to "Run the Numbers" for your own life.
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For more information about Brilliant, head to Brilliant.org/twocents
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