Comparable Company Analysis Excel Walkthrough | Valuation Multiples - YouTube

Channel: Kenji Explains

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in this video we'll go over the comparable聽 company's valuation from learning the basic聽聽
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theory to applying the concepts on excel and聽 eventually reaching a valuation range for a聽聽
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company and even though the name sounds very聽 fancy this is actually a valuation method that聽聽
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we use all the time as it's simply valuing an聽 asset by comparing it to other similar assets聽聽
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suppose we found a house that we like that聽 costs 300 000 and it's got 2 000 square feet聽聽
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but because this is our first house we're聽 not really sure if it's worth the price聽聽
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and so we look around the neighborhood to see if聽 there's other houses that have been sold recently聽聽
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in the process we find out the house in front was聽 sold for 600 000 but it's bigger at 4 000 square聽聽
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feet so it's not quite fair to compare the price聽 difference as there's obviously a difference in聽聽
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size as well instead we can use a ratio like the聽 price per square foot and this way we can find聽聽
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out that they're both actually selling for 150聽 per square foot based on this metric it seems聽聽
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like the house that we want is actually selling聽 at a fair price that's the basic idea with this聽聽
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valuation method now that we have an understanding聽 of this let's take a look at the key steps in a聽聽
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comparable companies valuation also known as a聽 multiples valuation firstly you need to identify聽聽
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comparable companies the theory is that similar聽 companies provide a good reference point to聽聽
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value the company that you're targeting and i say聽 companies here but this is really for any asset it聽聽
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could be back to our housing example where you聽 looked at neighboring houses to be able to tell聽聽
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what your house is worth as well secondly we need聽 to find the relevant numbers which will allow us聽聽
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to calculate the multiples or the ratios for聽 the housing example it was gathering the price聽聽
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as well as the size to then be able to calculate聽 the multiple which was the price per square foot聽聽
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once we gather all the data we can benchmark these聽 multiples so calculating the averages the medians聽聽
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etc of all of the comparable companies and lastly聽 we can determine the valuation range for the聽聽
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company that we're interested in and don't worry聽 if this wasn't all that clear we'll get into all聽聽
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of these steps in detail so let's get into it step聽 one is selecting the comparable companies and this聽聽
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step is quite important if you don't select the聽 right companies then your whole valuation is going聽聽
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to be flawed there's really two types of things聽 you need to consider here business and financial聽聽
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when it comes to business it's making sure they're聽 in the same industry that they operate in similar聽聽
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market regions and they have a similar target聽 customer after all it wouldn't be fair to compare聽聽
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a luxury fashion brand like say dolce gabbana to聽 a fast fashion brand like h m even though they're聽聽
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both selling clothes right on the financial side聽 it's about their numbers are they of similar sizes聽聽
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it wouldn't be all that accurate to compare聽 a startup with a thousand dollars in revenue聽聽
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to a company that's mature and has 10 billion in聽 revenue there's also profitability so seeing if聽聽
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they have similar margins and the credit profile聽 which is essentially how risky they're perceived聽聽
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to be by investors with these points in mind聽 how do we go about actually finding comparable聽聽
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companies a simple and free way to go about it聽 is looking at the company you're interested in聽聽
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and looking at their annual report suppose we're聽 looking to value nike just going to nike's annual聽聽
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report there's a section called competitors聽 in which you can see it's stating all of the聽聽
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competitors that they have and what they do聽 alternatively 4k options include bloomberg or聽聽
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capital iq depending on where you work or study聽 this might be available to you for free though聽聽
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in my case for example when i signed up cornell聽 these were available to us students this whole聽聽
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process should end up with you finding about聽 five to ten comparable companies the next step聽聽
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is gathering the relevant data and calculating聽 the multiples for this we first need to know what聽聽
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multiples we'll be using and generally these are聽 split into enterprise value multiples or equity聽聽
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value multiples the enterprise value ones here are聽 in dark blue while the equity value ones are in聽聽
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the lighter blue the difference is that enterprise聽 value refers to the entire business of both debt聽聽
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and equity holders while equity value is only聽 referring to the equity holders when looking聽聽
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at the multiples ebitda and revenue both flow聽 to debt and equity holders while earnings is聽聽
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only for equity holders as its net of interest聽 expense unfortunately these multiples aren't聽聽
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always applicable for example if a company has聽 no earnings or very little earnings you probably聽聽
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can't use a price to earnings ratio similarly you聽 might not even be able to have ebitda in there聽聽
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and so in that kind of a scenario probably your聽 ev over revenue is going to be your best resource聽聽
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these are some of the more popular ratios but聽 there's also some industry specific ones like ev聽聽
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over subscribers for a media company like netflix聽 or ev over square footage for a real estate firm聽聽
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once we know the metrics that we want we can go聽 ahead and start gathering the data that can either聽聽
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be done in a company's annual report in bloomberg聽 in cup iq etc to apply this theory let's suppose聽聽
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that we're a lemonade business called enjoy lemon聽 over here and we're trying to assess our values so聽聽
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how much we're worth and for that we've gathered聽 these comparable companies which are some of our聽聽
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competitors and we've got their different sets聽 of data that we're gonna need to then be able to聽聽
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calculate the three different multiples that we've聽 got over here to calculate these multiples we're聽聽
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gonna need both the enterprise value as well as聽 the equity value so let's go ahead and find out聽聽
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how to calculate them for the equity value it's聽 just gonna be the share price times the shares聽聽
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outstanding press enter there and from there聽 you can just drag it down by just going ctrl c聽聽
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then we'll go alt h v f that's just going to聽 paste the formulas for us press the f2 key if聽聽
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you want to verify that then for the enterprise聽 value that's going to be the equity value plus聽聽
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the net debt which is just that minus cash so go聽 equals equity value plus the net debt over here聽聽
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and again just drag that down onto hvf nice now聽 we can go ahead and start calculating these as聽聽
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we have the relevant data so for the ev over聽 revenue it's just gonna be the enterprise value聽聽
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let's make sure to lock that one so we can move聽 it across so press the f4 key three times there聽聽
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such that the dollar sign is only on the age then聽 we're gonna divide that by the revenue over here聽聽
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and press enter then we can just drag that across聽 so we'll just select it and then we'll go to聽聽
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alt hvf and there you go so we have it both for聽 the revenue as well as for the ebitda for the聽聽
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pe this is going to be slightly different as this聽 is the equity value and not the enterprise value聽聽
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so for this one it's going to be equals to the聽 equity value divided by the net income which is聽聽
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essentially the same thing as the price per聽 share over the earnings per share presenter聽聽
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then we're just going to drag that down then alt聽 h we have nice that's the end of the second step聽聽
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and speaking of valuation if you're liking this聽 video you can also check out our complete finance聽聽
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evaluation course where an investment聽 marker a financial analyst and myself聽聽
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teach everything we know about finance聽 valuation and financial modelling聽聽
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first we start with the basics of financial聽 accounting and ratio analysis where we learn聽聽
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to analyze a company's financial health using聽 apple's real annual report as an example once聽聽
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we're comfortable with the content we start with聽 financial modeling through a three statement model聽聽
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then we begin the valuation phase with the聽 discounted cash flow method starting with the聽聽
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theory of the time value of money all the way to聽 calculating the weighted average cost of capital聽聽
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after the theory we'll apply our learnings by聽 creating a full discounted cash flow on adobe聽聽
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looking at their real financial statements聽 to eventually derive a valuation range and聽聽
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an implied share price alongside the discounted聽 cash flow we'll learn two more common valuation聽聽
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methods in the comparables company's valuation聽 as well as the present transactions valuation聽聽
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once we have all the valuation ranges we'll聽 create visuals to showcase our findings聽聽
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and learn how we can present our聽 investment pieces in a stock pitch format聽聽
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so if you're interested we'll be running big聽 discounts for the first week since this video聽聽
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is published so go ahead and check that out in the聽 link in the description alright back to the video聽聽
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now the third step is to benchmark the multiples聽 because each lemonade company is going to聽聽
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be slightly different we want to try to find聽 something like an average or a median to be able聽聽
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to assess how much our company should be worth聽 based on what multiple so let's go ahead and do聽聽
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that we're going to get the highest the quartiles聽 the average and the medians all the way to the聽聽
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minimums so for the height that's just going to be聽 the max function versus the top key let's go ahead聽聽
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and select these press enter 75th percentile聽 for that we can use the quartile function聽聽
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press the tab key the array is going to be this聽 one comma and over here we want to find the the聽聽
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third quartile which is the 75th percentile so聽 put a three there press enter the average is聽聽
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just the average function then we'll select these聽 then the median is just the median function there聽聽
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press enter for a 25th percentile it's also聽 equals to the quartile function and from there聽聽
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we'll select this range over here press the comma聽 key and we want to find the 25th so put a 1 there聽聽
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press enter and lastly for the low it's just聽 the minimum press the top key and we'll select聽聽
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this range over here from there we can just聽 go ahead and select this and drag it across聽聽
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as you can see here both the average as well as聽 the median are the ones in bold because they're聽聽
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usually the most relevant ones um typically you聽 might want to prefer using the medium if there's a聽聽
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lot of outliers which the average accounts for so聽 for example let's say that this lemonco over here聽聽
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had say a hundred hundred times ev over revenue聽 then as you can see the average would be distorted聽聽
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but the median would actually stay the same聽 so that's why sometimes you might prefer to聽聽
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use the median let's now work on the final聽 step which is determining evaluation range聽聽
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and for this we'll be down over here where聽 we want to find out the enjoy lemon valuation聽聽
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starting off with the implied enterprise value for聽 the ev over revenue that's just going to be equals聽聽
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to we can select either the average or the median聽 over here let's say we go for the median then we聽聽
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multiply that by the revenue which is going to聽 be this figure over here for enjoy lemon press聽聽
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enter once we have the implied enterprise value聽 we already have the net debt which is going to be聽聽
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this figure up over here then make sure to聽 lock you press the f4 key once and press enter聽聽
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so the implied market value is just going聽 to be equals to the implied enterprise value聽聽
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minus any debt that they have and then press enter聽 lastly there for the shares outstanding that's聽聽
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going to be equals to the shares outstanding聽 that they've got over here so that's 125聽聽
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and then the implied value per share is just going聽 to be equals to the implied market value divided聽聽
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by the shares outstanding so that gives us 9.61聽 from there we can go ahead and drag this over so聽聽
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we'll go ahead and select it and just drag it聽 over here if we've locked everything correctly聽聽
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which i think we haven't because we forgot to聽 lock the shares out sounding press the f4 key聽聽
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there then just copy and paste that now聽 we've got for the ev over ebitda we've got a聽聽
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share price or an implied share price of 13.05聽 then lastly here we've got the pe ratio which聽聽
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is going to be slightly different because this is聽 an equity multiple and not a enterprise value one聽聽
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so it's actually going to get us the implied聽 market value for that we'll go to equals we'll聽聽
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select the median and then multiply that by the聽 net income over here for enjoy lemon press enter聽聽
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we can get the shares outstanding just copying聽 it from across and that should give us the share聽聽
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price which is going to be 9.77 if you want to go聽 ahead and also want the implied enterprise value聽聽
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you can go reverse that calculation so we will聽 actually copy the net debt that we've got equals聽聽
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this one plus the market value that should give聽 us the enterprise value as well so here we could聽聽
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conclude with something like hey the implied value聽 per share for enjoy lemon is around say 9 to 13聽聽
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which seems to be in line with the current share聽 price of 11.4 one thing to note is that the聽聽
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comparable companies valuation is not a perfect聽 method on the pro side it is very simple to use聽聽
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and it doesn't take too much time definitely a lot聽 easier than something like a discounted cash flow聽聽
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that being said on the coin side it's easily聽 influenced by the market which can also be a聽聽
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pro sometimes so for instance say if the entire聽 market is overvalued then obviously your company聽聽
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is going to be overvalued as well because it's聽 based on industry peers another con especially聽聽
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for big companies is that it's not very easy to聽 find comparables for example if for a company of聽聽
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the size of apple with all of their offerings聽 it's not that simple to find another competing聽聽
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company there for these reasons it's quite common聽 to use more than one method to value a company聽聽
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for example similar to the comparable companies聽 is precedent transactions which is also market聽聽
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based but on how much was paid for a similar聽 transaction in the past then there's discounted聽聽
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cash flow also known as dcf which looks聽 internally at the company's future cash flows聽聽
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to estimate value now in order to keep this聽 video concise we actually had to make a few聽聽
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simplifications so let's look over them for the聽 shares data which we found on the excel file as聽聽
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these shares outstanding over here usually it's聽 not all that simple to find this there's other聽聽
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types of shares that we need to account for like聽 stock options convertible bonds and other things聽聽
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like that that are going to change the number of聽 shares outstanding then there's calendarization聽聽
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and not all companies finish the fiscal year聽 at the same time in our case we didn't really聽聽
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consider the dates but generally speaking聽 maybe a company finishes their fiscal year聽聽
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say in may while another one finishes it in聽 september and so there's gonna be a discrepancy聽聽
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in the time period that you're comparing which聽 you'll need to adjust for lastly going from聽聽
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enterprise value to equity value usually has a few聽 more line items than just net debt these sometimes聽聽
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include preferred stock minority interest etc聽 now those are not all the simplifications there's聽聽
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other ones but we don't want to make this video聽 too long let me know down in the comments if you聽聽
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want a video on comparable companies for a real聽 company for more evaluation you can check out this聽聽
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link over here for our course this other video聽 over here for the discounted cash flow method聽聽
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or this video over here to look at valuation聽 methods more generally that's all for this聽聽
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video hit that like hit that subscribe if you聽 liked it and i'll catch you in the next one