馃攳
Market Correction | Should we SELL our stocks now? | Russia Ukraine War | Abhishek Kar - YouTube
Channel: Abhishek Kar
[0]
Everyone is upset due to the market turmoil,so I thought why not make a video so that I can help you
[6]
what should investor do whose portfolio become down in this kind of volatility.
[13]
It'll be a interesting video and you'll get good knowledge so watch it till the end.So first of all
[17]
you have to understand that periodic volatility happens commonly,It's not because of fundamental,
[22]
change but it happen usually in 2,3 cycles first is noise and second is because of
[28]
changes in commodities prices.Noise already like war will begin,inflation will increase,FED rate and all those things.
[35]
And with that crude prices has increased because of that it having an impact.So all this macro's
[41]
it impacts stock prices in the short run.One thing you'd understand here, in this type of situation
[47]
always remember that don't fall into the trap where everyone gets trap for example this is going to be the next HDFC bank
[56]
this is going to be the next ICICI bank.Friends the next thing which is, is a trap or pump & dump.
[63]
These are marketing terms coined by promoters.So you've to be alert when you get this kind of narration
[70]
you've to run from that place quickly.One thing you've to understand that you don't have to fear from inflation.
[76]
Why? understand that if small amount inflation increase,what is actually
[80]
beneficial for corporate,when inflation is pass on to corporate then they hike their prices.
[86]
When they high their prices then it pass to customers because of that some sectors,listen carefully
[93]
some sectors are when inflation increase then also you don't less the consumption,so first you've to
[100]
focus on that sectors where after increasing inflation you're dependent on them,
[104]
if you know that kind of sectors then tell us in comment.Second thing is if you see long term view
[109]
now that's also intact. You've also understand that if I talk about 2020-21
[116]
maximum drawdown,from where you see bounce back it's a10% but in
[120]
today's time it'll change.Now don't be surprised even if you are able to see 20 to 30% of drop and then it'll turn.
[128]
So first thing you've to prepare second is weak hand will be removed how I explain, FIIs have already scared you.
[136]
They sold 13-14 billion.Many people compare or to more than 2008,why you didn't check
[143]
there is more investment in last 3-4 years more than 2008.Why you didn't compare that
[148]
what is the difference of market capitalization,a company whose market value is 100 crore rupees and
[154]
in 2020 it become 10000 crore company so obviously selling price will be increase so first thing
[162]
you've to understand that if you compare it with percentage then there is not a huge difference,it's same
[166]
on that kind of cases.Also you've to understand that,stock specific selling by FIIs that I'll show you,
[173]
but majorly in ETF's they clear their exposure.When foreigner come,a huge junk comes in ETF's
[180]
it means we sell ETF's? No.It's just that there is many strategy of FIIs. You've to understand this also
[186]
Many FIIs invest their money in our economy in last 4-5 years,through what? With help of IPO's.
[194]
Initial public offer.So for that there is also a boss of them,so boss has compelled them,
[200]
that in last 4-5 years we invested in IPO and earned a lot of money,but now we've to book it also,so ideally
[208]
how much influx happen when FIIs earn a lot that time you didn't complain,when stock go to 30-40%
[215]
up that time no complain now obviously they've to book profit. You've to understand that it run in rotational
[224]
way, it's a 8-10 years rotation.I give simple example,near 2000 there was a craze about IT
[231]
so many invest in Infoso, Wipro etc. After seven years when that bubble burst it didn't perform.In 2008 people invest in real
[238]
state.After real state cycle change and it comes in FMCG.Now you've to think what's the next cycle
[245]
and before moving ahead let me tell you,if you've to do future goal base investing and you don't know
[252]
that how to do it so I can help you.In today's time goal base investment is very important because
[258]
you all have goals like in xyz years want to get marriage after 5 years want to buy vehicle,10 years
[264]
later want to buy bungalow.If you decide to invest in a particular time horizon then you get great benefits.
[271]
so in this one unique and new small case, it's name is horizon 20-35, can help you.It's intelligently
[279]
balance ETF's for you future goal of 20-35.Because of that you can focus on your work
[285]
and it'll take care of your goals.It's volatility is also less and minimum investment is 2224.
[293]
Because of low volatility it's safe and secure for you so what are you waiting for,I'll give link in description of this small case.
[300]
Make sure you should go and check out this.So at this point of time we've to understand that if we
[306]
pick individually so we've to add that stock which was strong in fundamentally and
[312]
falling down in this market volatility not a weak stocks because weak will get weaker,you've to sell
[319]
on bounce.If no one has fall yet then do sell on bounce.What happen in bull market our rationality
[326]
our mind set it go out of door because all people tell that E-commerce is next big thing
[332]
so we invest all money in E-commerce because all are saying this brand company never go down
[338]
then everyone invest in it,that's wrong.Now is the time,do practical analysis by your own and learning
[345]
also.if you want that I help you like this kind of video so make sure don't be a miser to giving like
[351]
the more you like,the more I'll keep giving you guidance.One more thing we've to understand that
[356]
these are the junk companies whose small cap mid cap you've taken just because
[361]
someone told you in Twitter,You Tube.Now you're in tension what to do.Opponent told We booked it
[368]
our closing basis is going on all this bluff.They din't purchase yet. You've to understand that you've to
[376]
put stone on your chest and see that if I took this in someone's seduce then I exit it.
[381]
Why? Because the scene is, the garbage stocks it's life time garbage.Okay this thing you've to
[389]
understand it.Next,if more leverage in any stock you've to avoid it .This upcoming one year,
[396]
it's not about capital appreciation this will be about capital protection.This year instead of thinking that
[404]
I've to create 30% return, better that if you intact the capital.
[410]
Because you'll be watching who become unicorns and their valuation is more then 1 billion dollar
[416]
they become baby corn means it just like corns.So you've to understand that,
[421]
those stock who gone like over subscriber because of mania which is going on also in US
[427]
that thing shift to India.Suddenly they sold on sold.In US there was a 8-10 billion dollar valuation
[436]
now they doing court and come to near to near 500-600 million dollar.Now you've understand some things
[443]
never happens.When market is on bull run, it gives 20x multiple stocks to 2x multiple stocks.
[450]
People din't know how validation comes and they purchase it & purchase it the over subscriber,
[455]
This the future,see one simple thing okay, I'm giving one simple example to you.
[461]
Accept that some thing will be future,some people told E-commerce company never close.
[466]
So brother Idea din't close in 2008 it's more then 100 rupees but see the price today,you've to see as
[473]
a stakeholders my friends, don't think like this company is good it never close.
[481]
this is not that, how much value you're giving to company.One simple example, okay
[485]
you've to feed ice cream to your girlfriend on her birthday,okay. One cup ice cream is 100 ml,
[491]
suppose one medium cup is 100 ml for that you buy 20 rupees or 80 rupees or standard 200 rupees.
[501]
But if you buy 20000 rupees ice cream, it's good and sweet.But is that deserving 20000,
[508]
to feed ice cream of rupees 20000 your girlfriend love you more,on the contrary,next time
[513]
there is a fight,she'll tell you,what was the need so expensive,you loser don't have brain,you spend
[517]
anything expensive.Like that it''ll reverse and it happen with many people.So this thing you've to
[523]
understand that it's no a sense to take good stock in unrealistic valuation always buy at a fair value.
[531]
So now the question stand how we change our thinking, you must have seen in our channel
[537]
we work on psychology & thinking because of this your thinking process will increase whether trading
[543]
or investment so I tell you, how? First thing is put in your brain,stop seeing top & bottom of NIFTY & Sen sex.
[552]
Because it doesn't decide your stocks top & bottom.I repeat,
[560]
Nifty's or it's index top & bottom doesn't create your stock top & bottom.
[566]
For example Yes bank felled down badly,Nifty remained down despite that
[572]
it gone up.If someone comes to me and tell me I had Yes bank share,Nifty gone up but why not my
[577]
Yes bank.Because stock is different entity and index is a different entity when that time Yes bank
[583]
was a part of that, another example when I told on Twitter abott India that time abott din't run
[590]
everyone told nothing but we took garbage.When market gone in side, selling happen in another side
[594]
abott India raised.So what you've to understand,even in bear market somewhere bull
[601]
market will be run.If I want to play short term suppose for some months or years,a simple thing
[607]
I'll see media broadcasting company,you tell me why? If I want to play in swing basis
[613]
let me put a simple logic,it's election time okay,first is the turmoil is running in all over the world,
[618]
who get more benefit & TRP obviously to news people.Whose revenue increase,news people.
[623]
Because they scared us, made an attack in Ukraine,world war is begin.Means they spoke
[628]
very dangerously so to whom does the revenues go? To them.Plus election's year whose revenue
[634]
will be increase? To there revenue.Next one,should I invest all money IT? NO.
[640]
IT's valuation is good,portfolio should also be.but not too much Why? Understand this also,
[645]
because IT's got benefit in 2020-21 that their office cost was saved because they do work from home
[653]
but as soon as market are opening,you ask yourself,you or your friends,so they don't ask to come
[660]
office again? so the margin game doesn't remain same,where margin will increase?
[665]
when corporate credit pick up the cycle then it'll increase but the usage of credit card
[671]
loan usage, customer use a lot but the Cap cycle,I don't complicate it, understand in simple way
[678]
huge company din't took too much loan in last 1-2 years accept for few.
[684]
when it'll pick up,then another thing will start pick up automatically.Next thing,
[690]
you've to understand, before 30 days people use to told on Twitter & You Tube that chance has passed,
[701]
we not getting chance,market is.. now won't get it now.Hey brother,if you get a chance,put the
[707]
money.Put it on fundamentally stock.What happen,suppose index fallen down 10% or 20%,
[714]
big crash happen means I speak Putin sir take nuclear,5-6 nuclear moved here and there
[720]
for god for bid it never happen but I speak they take it and China take different,they quarrel each other,
[726]
and I speak more like monster and alien come from sky,now do this too what I spoke last time,2-3 years
[737]
or 5 years.All this will be short out.What all thing it will pick I give example just like media
[742]
do common sense.Hospitality,people got bored,students if you're watching tell in comments.
[748]
This was happened everyone became bored in sitting home and people,that one friend who put
[753]
wanderlust, wanderlust by seeing them made my mind worse.So everyone now wants to travel
[757]
hospitality & industry revive again , the remaining players are the good ones they run better
[763]
think another normal, peoples get job again it starting revival, salaries happen okay.After job,
[770]
salary or settlement what human see the dream? I should've a house
[775]
obviously thing is if they buy home then household thing will be run means can you just imagine
[781]
I give you hints on the basis of common thing,if it's wrong then tell me also.If you put common sense
[788]
you'll get your answer anyways.In general demand it's slowdown because of these Covid scenario
[796]
then Omicron came it came like changing new avatar but again it's time to pick up, first of all
[804]
you've stop worrying second thing is you've to open your eyes & ears whether you want to invest short
[810]
long term.Second is start leaving the garbage stock.Fourth thing you've to understand that
[816]
narration change every time if market fall by another side then also someone says,"I told that".
[820]
If market change different side then also someone says "i told that".But you've to understand many
[825]
thing happened in world.Crises happened to Uro zone, demonetization also happened.
[831]
2008's bubble happened,Covid also happened but the common thing is garbage become garbage
[837]
good stock become good stock.I have to leave you with giving one note,that try
[845]
brokers provide you facility like MTF's and all which you can buy stocks in margin,so avoid it.
[854]
Why I'll tell you, if you buy stocks from margin so you've to pay interest to brokers
[860]
whatever is that,everyone has different like 8,9,10 or 12%. Suppose because of some reason for 1 year
[865]
market get side because no one knows, for years it's get side base no return was made.
[870]
Then too for that facility you have to pay 8 to 9% which will become a headache.
[875]
And in this only you will make mistakes, so you have to understand that in crisis too you get an opportunity.
[883]
Opportunity was every time, when Indira Gandhi's assassination happened,
[888]
Rajiv Gandhi came and within 100 days he made policy IT based,
[893]
it was new opportunity no one thought, Infosys, telecom, all got boost from there only,
[899]
So opportunity is everywhere just keep your eyes and ears open. Second more important thing is,
[906]
if you haven't liked the video then like, third important thing is keep patience,
[911]
and last thing if your position are right, doesn't have unnecessary leverage,
[916]
then no one can stop you, hope you all have learned something from this video,
[922]
and if you learned then make sure to like and share, till then keep learning, keep growing, keep investing and keep trading.
Most Recent Videos:
You can go back to the homepage right here: Homepage





