Price to Cash Flow Ratio - Explained in Hindi | #46 Master Investor - YouTube

Channel: Asset Yogi

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Namaskaar! My name is Mukul and welcome to Asset Yogi.
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Friends this video is part of a series in which we're discussing valuation ratios.
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Now when you analyze any stock
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if it is fairly priced, overly priced, or underpriced?
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Then you have to calculate valuation ratios.
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I've already made a lot of videos on that
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like earning per share, P/E ratio, PEG ratio
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price to book value ratio.
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If you haven't watched those videos then I'll suggest that you watch them.
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You'll get the links down in the description.
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In this video, we'll discuss another important ratio,
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which is the price to cash flow ratio.
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Normal investors generally don't use this ratio,
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Professional investors use it more when they
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want to analyze in-depth.
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I'll tell you when you have to use it generally.
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See earning, means profits can be manipulated.
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Non-cash heads like depreciation and amortization come in it.
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If you are depreciating any asset.
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then the cash is not going out of your company. RIght!
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So if you do more depreciation in a year
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then the difference between earnings and operating cash flow comes a lot.
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So if there is a large difference in earnings and cash flows then
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then you definitely should calculate the price to cash flow ratio.
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And if we compare it to price to book value as well,
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then book value can be manipulated as well, because
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there is an amount of depreciation in it.
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So if you take out the value of the assets,
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whatever value is taken in the books or account
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it's possible you might not sell assets at that price in the market.
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So that's why book value is also not that good indicator.
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But when you calculate the price to cash flow,
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then cash can't be manipulated.
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That's why it becomes a strong value and you must analyze it.
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So in this video how do you have to calculate the price to cash flow?
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How do you have to interpret it?
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We'll understand that. And how can you calculate it online?
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So stay tuned till last. Let's go straight to the blackboard.
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What's the formula of the price to cash flow ratio?
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Share price divided by Operating cash flow per share.
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What is the share price?
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Whatever stock you are analyzing, its current market price you have to take in the numerator.
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and operating cash flow you get from the cash flow statement.
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See, to some extent price to cash flow works same as P/E ratio,
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In it we saw, we take share price in the numerator,
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and in the denominator, we take earning per share.
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Earning per share means net profit divided by the total number of shares, so you get a share's
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earning, how much the company is earning on one share.
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So earning per share and operating cash flow per share are very closely related.
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When there is too large of a difference between them, only then
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the importance of the price to cash flow ratio increases a lot.
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Otherwise, you can just analyze the P/E ratio of any stock.
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Sometimes we get to see another variation of this.
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Divide share price by free cash flow per share instead of operating cash flow.
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In fact, I find this formula to be better because in free cash flow
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we consider capital expenditure also.
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So when you take out capital expenditure from operating cash flow, then you get free cash flow.
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Now there can be another variation of this.
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Just take market capitalization instead of share price in the numerator.
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and divided by total free cash flow
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so you won't need to take out per-share free cash flow.
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So you can use any of the two formulas.
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So in this video, I'll mainly this or this formula.
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Mainly I'll use free cash flow. Otherwise Operating cash flow can be used too.
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But from free cash flow, we get a better picture of where cash is going.
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Now,
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Basically, what do you have to be careful of, whenever net profits or earnings
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and operating cash flow has a high difference.
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Operating cash flow or if you're considering free cash flow,
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so the difference is quite high in those,
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then you must calculate the price to cash flow.
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Let's understand why I am saying this.
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See, the typical profit and loss statement looks like this.
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You take out the cost of goods sold from revenue and you get the gross proft
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And you take out marketing and sales, office and admin means operating expenses
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then you get EBITDA.
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Then any company takes out depreciation and amortization,
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Then we get EBIT.
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Then you take out interest in that, whatever interest the company has to pay,
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so you get profit before taxes.
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Then you take out taxes so you get net profit, which means earnings.
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In the P/E ratio, these earnings are considered.
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Now see, here,
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Remember one thing, whatever costs of goods sold, expenses, operating expenses, or interest,
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or even the tax,
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these are fixed. The company can't manipulate them.
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But deprecation or amortization can be manipulated sometimes.
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because these are non-cash items.
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You can take them as whatever. You can depreciate some assets in 5 years,
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some assets you can depreciate in 10 years.
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So it's dependent on the company.
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Now the earnings can be manipulated from here, so
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you sometimes don't get a good picture from the P/E ratio.
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So that's why we use cash flow.
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How does a typical cash flow statement look?
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Depreciation is added back in profit before taxes.
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Why is it done? Because it is a non-cash item.
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See, the depreciation here is non-cash.
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All the other things are deducted in cash. They are the actual expenses.
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But it depends on the company, how much it is depreciating any asset.
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After that, taxes are deducted, working capital is deducted
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so you get the operating cash flow.
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Here you can calculate either price is to operateing cash flow,
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if you're calculating the price to cash flow ratio.
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But according to me, free cash flow is better because
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in it, you deduct the capital expenditure also.
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Whatever operating cash flow you got, from that the company
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might have used some of it in plant and machinery or expansion.
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When you deduct that also, you get free cash flow.
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So according to me, if you take out the price to free cash flow, then it's better
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Let's take an example. Assume
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The operating cash flow of a company is 100 crores
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and let's say net profit was 80 crores.
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It's possible that the company considered too much depreciation.
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So you'll suddenly know where the cash is going actually.
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Second, it's possible that the company did a lot of capital expenditure.
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90 crores out of 100, might be spent on plant and machinery or expansion.
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So this thing is not getting cleared by earnings.
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When you are analyzing the P/E ratio, you don't get to know where the cash is going.
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That's why, when you calculate the price to free cash flow ratio
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then the picture gets clear at once.
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So once you calculated the price to free cash flow ratio, then what will you do?
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Basically, you have to see that, the price to free cash flow ratio
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the lower it is, the better returns you'll get.
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In research, it has been seen that whatever companies' price to free cash flow ratio is low,
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historically those companies have given more returns.
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So I think the concept of price to free cash flow ratio is clear to you now.
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Now let's quickly check online how do we have to calculate this ratio?
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Here I have taken out financials of Asian Paints from the Moneycontrol website.
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You can take out any company's financials by going in search.
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Let's come a bit down here.
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We get market capitalization directly,
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what is the total market value of the company,
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on the stock market.
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So the market capitalization here is around 120,494 crore Rs.
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And we directly got the price earning ratio, which is 55.53
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Now we have to calculate the price to cash flow ratio.
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We want to see if it's equal to the price earning ratio
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or there is a big difference in earnings and operating cash flow.
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For that, we'll have to go to the cash flow statement in the financials.
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So I'll go to the cash flow statement here.
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Now see what are we getting here?
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Cash from operating activities we are directly getting, 2136 crores.
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After that, we're directly getting the cash flow of investing activities.
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So to get the price to operating cash flow, we
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need market capitalization in price so
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we'll directly write market capitalization here,
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which we saw as 120494 crores.
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divided by, we'll write cash flow from operating activities.
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So how much is it total? 2136 crores.
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If you calculate this value then it'll come out as 56.4
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How much did we see P/E ratio? It was around 55.5
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So there is no significant difference between operating cash flow and earnings.
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So we can see, here
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cash has not been manipulated much here and there.
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But we should see the price to free cash flow ratio as well.
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how much money is the company spending on capital expenditure?
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Here we can directly see net cash from investing activities
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but we're not getting bifurcation.
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that how much is being spent in capital investment and how much in other investments.
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So you'll have to check the annual report for this.
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The annual report you can get on google. So in this way
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I've taken out the annual report of Asian Paints from Google.
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This is the annual report of 2017-18.
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Here I've opened the cash-flow statement.
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We'll come below in it. See cash flow from operating activities,
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So we got 2136 crores, so it's matching exactly.
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Now see, we got complete bifurcation of cash flow from investing activities
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So how much is the capital expenditure here?
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Purchase of property plant and equipment, it's around
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The company is spending 1350 crores on capital expenditure.
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So we'll know that the company is investing in a good place,
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it is in the expansion so maybe that cash is worth.
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Let's quickly take out the price to free cash flow ratio once.
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So here if you take out the price to free cash flow ratio so
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So we'll put market capitalization directly in the numerator.
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120,494 crores.
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After that, we need free cash flow in the numerator.
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So I'll quickly calculate free cash flow.
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How much is it? 2136 crore is your operating activities cash flow.
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From that, what do we deduct? We deduct capital expenditure.
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So we'll minus this portion. It is 1358 crores approximately
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If we calculate it, it comes to be 778 crores.
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We'll put it in the denominator.
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So this value will come out as 155.
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So see, this price to free cash flow ratio, it's coming out to be very high in this case.
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That means the company is doing a lot of expansion.
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The money from operating activities, 1350 crore Rs from that,
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the company has used in capital expenditure.
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Now,
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what kind of capital expenditure is being done? That's important.
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Does the company need to do this much capital expenditure every year?
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Is it renewing? You'll have to further investigate that.
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If the money is going into expansion then it's fine.
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But if it's going in renewals, then it's wrong.
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So you have to see if a company is expanding more?
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or does it have to renew its old machinery this much,
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that it has this much expense every year.
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If the renewals are this much and after that, the price to free cash flow ratio gets this much. Then
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the wrong signal comes there and you should not invest in such stocks.
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So I'll say, I was only showing you to calculate the price to free cash flow
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Now you can do further investigation from this.
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So let's meet in the next video.
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Till then keep learning, keep earning, and as always, be happy.