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4 ETF Portfolios for 2022 (SIMPLE STOCK PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION) - YouTube
Channel: fu academy
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Since the beginning of the bull market in 2009, US
stocks have completely outperformed global stocks.
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But did you know that a decade
of US overperformance is usually
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followed by a decade of underperformance?
That’s why it makes sense to hedge your bets
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and invest in both US and global stocks.
In this video, we will look at 4 very
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different global portfolios that you
can easily build yourself - let’s go.
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What’s up everyone?
This is fu
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academy - your channel for financial education.
And on this channel, I share lifestyle, investing
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style and educational videos - just like this one.
So if you are new here, consider subscribing.
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Global diversification is the key to portfolio
construction: It has very little downsides but a
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lot of benefits like reducing your drawdowns.
Investing in only 1 country can be risky
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because of local stock market crashes.
They can happen anywhere at any time.
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The best way to protect your investments
is to simply invest in all of the countries
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so that local stock market crashes
can be absorbed by your portfolio.
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In a way, diversified and passive investing
follows the principle of Socrates “I
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know that I know nothing”.
You don’t try to
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market timing or do stock picking.
You just invest into the total stock
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market regularly and take the market return.
And building a globally diversified portfolio
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has never been easier or cheaper.
Let’s start with ETF portfolio number 1:
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The world market cap portfolio.
And this one invests globally and
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weighs the country exposure by
the size of their stock market.
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So I had a look at the total stock market size
by country, which in a chart looks like this.
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I then broke them down into US,
developed and emerging markets.
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What you end up with is an allocation like this
where around 40% of the global stock market
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sits in the US, 30% in other developed
countries and 30% in emerging markets.
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And you can easily build that portfolio yourself.
All you need is 3 ETFs: 1 ETF that invests in the
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US, 1 that invests in other developed
markets and 1 for emerging markets.
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1 Option for a US ETF would be Vanguard’s
Total Stock Market ETF, ticker symbol VTI.
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The VTI invests in the total US stock
market - so not just the 500 companies
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of the S&P 500, but in over 4,000 companies.
The VTI has a total expense ratio of 0.03% which
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is one of the cheapest ETFs globally.
1 Option for a developed markets ETF
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would be Vanguard’s FTSE Developed
Markets ETF, ticker symbol VEA.
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It also invests in more than 4,000 companies
from 24 developed countries - excluding the US.
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This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.05%
which is also one of the cheapest out there.
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And lastly, 1 option to invest in emerging
markets would be the iShares Core MSCI
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Emerging Markets ETF, ticker symbol IEMG.
It invests in 2,500 companies from 28
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emerging market countries and
has an expense ratio of 0.11%.
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If you now invest 40% of your money in the
VTI, 30% in the VEA and 30% in the IEMG,
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your total portfolio would invest in
10,700 companies from 52 countries,
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of which 40% is invested in the
US, 8% in China and 6% in Japan.
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Your total portfolio would have a
weighted expense ratio of 0.06%,
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and over the last 5 years, that portfolio
would have generated a return of 7.3% per year.
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And it’s very easy to build the
World Market Cap portfolio yourself.
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The only thing you need to do is keep
investing into these 3 ETFs regularly
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and do a rebalancing like once a year.
Rebalancing means that you bring back
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your portfolio allocation to its starting
value, like once a year, by either selling
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ETFs that have become too big or buying more
of the ETFs that didn’t perform so well.
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Next up is the green portfolio.
And ESG investing is booming.
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It’s a type of sustainable investing
that focuses on 2 things: financial
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returns of investments and its positive
impact on the environment and society.
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In the last 5 years, the money invested
in ESG ETFs has gone up by 16x.
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In 2020 alone, over 200 new ESG ETFs were
launched and these numbers keep going up.
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If you want to know more about ESG
investing, its benefits and performance,
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then check out my dedicated ESG video in the link.
If you want to build this green world portfolio
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yourself, then you can easily
do that with only 2 ETFs:
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1 ETF that invests in ESG US, another one
that invests in international ESG stocks.
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For the ESG US ETF, you could go for Vanguard's
ESG US Stock ETF, ticker symbol ESGV.
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It invests in US companies
with above-average ESG ratings.
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It excludes companies from the adult
entertainment, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, fossil
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fuels, gambling, and nuclear power industry.
It invests in over 1,400 US companies.
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The ESGV has an expense ratio of 0.09% which is
one of the lowest you can find in the ESG space.
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1 option for the international
ESG ETF would be Vanguard’s ESG
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International Stock ETF, ticker symbol VSGX.
This one invests in ESG-friendly companies in
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developed and emerging markets excluding the US.
It invests in 5,000 companies from 51 countries.
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This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.12%
which is very low for what it does.
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If you now invest 40% of your money in
the ESGV and 60% in the VSGX, your total
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portfolio would invest in 6,600 companies from
52 countries, of which 40% is invested in the US,
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10% in Japan and 5% in China.
Your total portfolio would have
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a weighted expense ratio of 0.11% - which is
the most expensive one of the 4 Portfolios but
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expected because of that extra ESG filter.
And don’t get me wrong: For a global ESG
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portfolio, that expense ratio is ridiculously low.
The problem with ESG ETFs is that most of
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them are young - so you don’t
have a super long track record.
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But over the last 3 years, that portfolio would
have gotten you a return of 9.8% per year.
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One thing to keep in mind before you do
ESG investing is that ESG ETFs use a filter
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to exclude non-ESG friendly stocks.
And the stricter that filter is,
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the more companies are excluded - which is
bad for you in terms of diversification.
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That’s why this portfolio is the one
with the lowest number of stocks.
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So the first 2 portfolios were
already super simple to build.
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But it gets even simpler.
The next portfolio is for the lazy
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investor where you can pick 1 globally diversified
ETF to build your one-stop-shop world portfolio.
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One option here would be Vanguard’s
Total World Stock ETF, ticker symbol VT.
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And the great thing about this ETF is that
it covers 98% of the global stock market.
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If you put all your money into this ETF,
then your total portfolio would invest
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in over 9,000 companies from 47 countries,
of which almost 60% is invested in the US,
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6% in Japan and 4% in the UK.
One thing I have to point out
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here that I don’t like about this portfolio is
its super high US exposure which is far above
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their share in the global stock market.
Moving on, your total portfolio would
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have an expense ratio of 0.07% - which is
dirt cheap considering what you get here.
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And over the last 5 years, that portfolio
would have generated a return of 8.5% per year.
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This portfolio is for the lazy investor, because
you don’t need to do any rebalancing here.
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All you need to do is keep investing
into this 1 ETF on a regular basis.
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What you probably noticed in all of the
previous portfolios so far is the high US share.
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That’s because most ETFs are weighted
by market cap which means that bigger
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and more valuable companies get a higher
share in an ETF than smaller companies.
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And currently, the most valuable
companies come from the US and that’s
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why they are dominating global ETFs.
This can be an advantage if US stocks
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continue to outperform in the future.
But here is the thing: No one knows.
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One way you could balance off your high US
exposure would be to weigh your portfolio
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by the global GDP distribution.
So I had a look at the GDP by
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country - which looks like this.
I then broke them down into US,
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other developed countries and emerging markets.
What you end up with is an allocation
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like this where 25% of the global GDP distribution
sits in the US, 40% in other developed countries
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and 35% in emerging markets.
And again, you can easily build
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this portfolio yourself.
All you need is 3 ETFs:
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1 that invests in the US, another one
that invests in other developed countries
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and one that invests in emerging markets.
You could use the same ETFs that we looked at
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in portfolio number 1. All you need to do is just
adjust the weights to be as close to the global
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GDP distribution as possible, which means that
you invest 25% of your money into the VTI, 40%
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in the VEA and 35% the IEMG.
If you do that, your total portfolio
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would invest in 10,700 companies from 52
countries, of which 25% is invested in the
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US, 9% in China and 8% in Japan.
Your total portfolio would have a
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weighted expense ratio of 0.07%, and over
the last 5 years, that portfolio would
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have generated a return of 5.9% per year.
So you would have sacrificed a bit of that
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US outperformance of the last few years but
your assets would be distributed more evenly.
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There you have it: 4 globally diversified
portfolios that you can easily build yourself.
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You can go for the ones of this video
or adjust it to fit your personal needs.
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If you do that, remember 2 things:
Number 1 is coverage.
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Try to cover as many of the 50
investable countries as possible.
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Number 2 is overlaps.
Try to avoid holding
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different ETFs that invest in the same stocks.
If you do that, you will have overlaps and you
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could end up with big concentration risks.
But what do you actually think?
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Do you have a global ETF portfolio yourself?
What are the countries with the highest exposure?
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As always - let me know in
the comment section below.
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I hope that this video could
bring some value to you.
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If you liked what you saw and you want to support
this channel, then please make sure you subscribe.
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Thank you very much for doing that - and peace!
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