Norway: Unraveling The Norwegian Economy - YouTube

Channel: Economic Raven

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Norway!!! the country known for  fjords, aurora lights, skiing,  
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outdoorsy people, and the history of Vikings! 
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World Happiness Report shows Norway has  one of the happiest people in the world.  
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The country also has one of the highest  life-expectancy-index of around 81.  
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The country tops many international  rankings, including human development index,  
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prosperity index, ease of doing business index,  freedom of press index, democracy index, etc etc.

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Some declared it as a ‘socialist heaven and  others called it ‘capitalism with a conscience’.  
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The country has one of the highest GDP per  capita in the world following just behind  
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Switzerland if we ignore the micro-nations. But  the country wasn’t always rich like it is now.
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But how did a small fishing nation became  one of the richest countries in the world???
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Imagine a person digging the ground  in his backyard, and he happened to  
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have found a box of treasure. Some gold and  jewels or whatever! Norway is that person!  
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I mean, Norway is a country,  but you know what I am saying. 
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Back in the 1950s, no one would have believed  that Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS) contained  
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any Black Gold, also known as, well, OIL! This  all changed in 1959, when gas in Groningen,  
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Netherlands, was discovered, leading to the  belief that it could also be explored for oil.  
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In 1962, a company named Phillips  Petroleum applied for exploration in  
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Norway Continental Shelf. The Norwegian  government rejected the application,  
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as it was interested in opening up  the resources to multiple firms.
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In 1963, the Norwegian government went on even  further by claiming sovereignty in an area in  
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the North Sea and started to issue licenses for  oil exploration. The drilling licenses were given  
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in 1965 after the matters of division of shelf  with Norway and Great Britain were resolved.
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The first drilling in 1966 was fruitless. 200  more exploratory drills for the next few years  
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showed no signs of oil, and, the whole  thing started to become hopeless, until,  
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Philips Petroleum in 1969, drilled in  Ekofisk, resulted in one of the most  
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lucrative oilfields, that will later  change the fate of the whole country. 
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In 1972, the Norwegian government established  a new company named Statoil that declared 50%  
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of oil license money should be state-owned.  More policies were introduced that gave  
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Statoil more power. The company was later  partially privatized in 2001 and listed  
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on the Oslo and New York Stock exchanges  with the Norwegian government owning 81.7%  
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of the shares. Statoil became StateOilHydro  in 2007 after merging with Norsk Hydro,  
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the country’s main producer of hydroelectric  power, followed by the company changing its  
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name to Equinor in 2018. The government is  still the biggest shareholder in the company. 
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Norway’s exploitation of natural  resources is the largest and most  
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vital industry that contributed somewhere between  40 to 70% percent of exports over the years. 
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Call it a helping hand from nature,  
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Norway would not be the country it is today  without these natural resources. Norway’s  
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economy without oil would be as incomplete  as Switzerland’s economy without its banks!
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Remember that person we told you to  imagine who found the treasure???  
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That person would have wasted  the treasure on booze, parties,  
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and shiny stuff, and so would have anyone  else who finds overnight wealth from gambling,  
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lotteries, and the fake treasure  stories like the one we just told you.  
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Norway did not waste that money! Norway decided  to save and invest the newly found treasure.
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In 1990, the Norwegian government created  Oljefondet, also known as the Government  
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Pension Fund Global or GPF-G, a fund into which  the surplus money generated from the petroleum  
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income is deposited and invested. This changed  the whole game. The fund was created to tackle  
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the fluctuating global oil prices AND to counter  the effects of the expected decline in income. If  
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the discovery and production of natural resources  could make any country rich, then Venezuela would  
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have still been rich. Norway did not become  Venezuela. They made smart money decisions!
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With investments in shares, bonds, and real  estate of 9000 companies around the world,  
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including companies like Apple, Alphabet,  Microsoft, etc. the fund is managed by a  
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division of the Norwegian Central Bank and  is the largest pension fund in the world  
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currently having USD 1.2 Trillion.  The fund was created in the name of  
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people. That means each Norwegian, on  paper owns around USD 220,000 each. 
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But, you can’t just withdraw it out of the bank  and start spending on booze and stuff. The fund is  
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supposed to be used in bad times. The government  is also not allowed to just go on a spending  
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spree, except for a %3 percent allowance  of the fund’s inflation-adjusted return. 
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Norway follows a strong ethical sense when  it comes to investing the fund’s money.  
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It has a list of companies that it  would invest in and not invest in. It  
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won’t invest in companies that contribute  significantly to environmental damage. 
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In 2019, the fund managers decided to pull out  their investments in oil exploration companies,  
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even though their fund is made up of oil-money.  
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Would you call it having ethics  or would call it hypocrisy?
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However, the fund will continue to invest  in petroleum companies that have significant  
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investments in renewable energy. The  decision of selling its stake in 134  
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companies knocked some big amounts off the  combined market value of those companies. 
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Some have shown concerns about how such large  
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sovereign wealth funds could impact the  investments without following the market. 
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But for Norway, the script is simple!  We have exploited the natural resources,  
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but they have passed their peak time  and our oil is going to end one day.  
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So, we are not going to invest in something  that we won’t capitalize on in the future. 
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The whole idea of having ethics and environmental  damage is not a concern for Norway. For Norway,  
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it’s all about business and  watching their interests first. 
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Oil and gas like any other natural  resources are going to run out one day.  
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According to estimates, Norway’s current oil  resources have already reached close to %50  
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and it is estimated to stay  operational until 2050.
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Although there has been a push from  some politicians to spend the money  
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on infrastructure and the welfare state, the  Norwegians are somewhat divided on the issue  
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of spending the country’s pension fund on other  sectors. Some say that investing in other sectors  
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is the way to save the declining economy while  others argue that it can’t be the only way out.
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Norway is a constitutional monarchy. Population  density is low with 5.5 million people  
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compared to a huge landmass. That makes  it easier for the government to manage. 
 
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Norway is the second-largest exporter of seafood  after China. The long coastline, wide seabeds,  
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and preferable climate conditions provide  Norway to capitalize on the seafood industry,  
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which is the second biggest contributor to its  GDP. From Atlantic Salmon to trout, codfish,  
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mackerel, prawns, and king crabs, the country’s  biggest seafood exports go to the European Union  
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countries. The country introduced Salmon sushi  to Japan back in the 80s, who were keen on Sushi  
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but Salmon sushi was a new thing back  then. Maritime goes hand in hand with  
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the seafood industry and Norwegians have  been sea people entire their history. 
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Despite being one of the biggest oil producers,  Norway is not powered by oil. The country’s  
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98 percent of electricity comes from hydropower,  which is 65% of domestic energy use. and consumers  
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are inclined towards electric vehicles in recent  years. The country plans to lead the world in  
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renewable energy, and estimates to have 100%  renewable domestic energy by 2030. Inexpensive  
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hydropower also makes it easier for the country  to export metals, papers, and chemicals.

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Even though it’s an expensive country  to visit, tourism continues to play an  
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important role. According to a report in 2018,  tourism contributed to around 5% of the GDP  
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with every seven in hundred people throughout  the country working in the tourism industry.  
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Beautiful landscapes, ski resorts, fjords,  Viking museums, tons of mountains for hiking  
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and exploring, polar nights and midnight sun  makes Norway a complete package hard to resist. 
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As the oil will deplete one day, economists  have even talked about Norway’s economic future  
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as a tax haven by attracting foreign  investment similar to Switzerland.
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While many countries proudly give  examples of Norway’s high corporate taxes,  
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it drives away many entrepreneurs to the UK  and other European countries to find better  
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financial conditions for business. Norway would  likely have to lower the taxes for business to  
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attract a non-oil economy in the future.
 Norwegians say they are not nationalistic,  
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but, that's highly arguable. They prefer to hire  Norwegians over others for many reasons including  
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language proficiency. Oslo is different  from other cities as it has the largest  
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number of immigrants. Just like many other  countries that claim to be open and diverse,  
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it’s not hard to debate that the Norwegians  are closed off compared to other countries. 
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Contrary to the popular belief, Norway  does not have a free health care system.  
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It's partially true. Everyone pays for the  prescriptions and doctor’s appointments,  
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but up to a limit of around 2200kr. After  that, it’s free. This is to ensure fairness  
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as everyone pays but only up to a limit,  and if someone falls seriously ill or comes  
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under a category where more medical budgets  are needed then they don’t have to worry. 
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Norway has a very high cost of living and  it’s a big downside. Other than the house  
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and rental prices, grocery prices are much higher  compared to around the world and even compared to  
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its Scandinavian neighbors. The country known  for creating the world’s first cheese slicer,  
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service-providing industries like restaurants and  bars, etc. is very expensive. Some new to country  
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people can’t overcome this sticker-shock. The  country has put high taxes on alcohol, tobacco,  
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and sugar. Alcohol is not cheap in the country.  Some people take trips to Sweden to bring some  
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food-packed luggage including meat, alcohol,  and groceries. Addicted to Grandiosa Pizza,  
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eating out in restaurants is less frequent  in Norway compared to other countries.

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Contrary to popular opinion, the country  has no minimum wage set by the government.  
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But salaries are high, even at the lower end of  the pay scales, but so is the cost of living.
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Newcomers in the country are  often most outspoken about the  
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expenses considering the relocation  expenses in the country are huge.
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Divorce rates are very high in the country,  
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and the unconfirmed reports of high promiscuity  rates also rank Norway high on the list.  
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Norway voted no to inclusion in European  
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Union through a referendum in  1994 by a very close margin. 
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Norway is currently suffering from what is  referred to as the ‘Dutch Disease’ in economics.  
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The Dutch Disease, simply put, indicates  a relationship between an increase in the  
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economic development of one sector like oil,  compared to a decline in other sectors. But,  
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on the bright side, the country has done so well  when it comes to the creation of the pension  
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fund that can be used in bad times. Also, the  country has done very well to realize that the  
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oil money would end one day and they would have  to start working on a post-oil-dependent economy. 
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What can you learn from Norway’s economy? My  dear RAVENS! Save and Invest like Norway! It  
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does not matter how much money you earn but what  you do with that money is what matters the most!  
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There would be times in your life when  you will get more money than usual.  
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At that moment, don’t just get excited and spend  it on the shiny things you don’t even need,  
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instead, make smart money decisions, and save &  invest it for a better outcome in the future!