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Norway: Unraveling The Norwegian Economy - YouTube
Channel: Economic Raven
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Norway!!! the country known for
fjords, aurora lights, skiing,
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outdoorsy people, and the history of Vikings!
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World Happiness Report shows Norway has
one of the happiest people in the world.
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The country also has one of the highest
life-expectancy-index of around 81.
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The country tops many international
rankings, including human development index,
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prosperity index, ease of doing business index,
freedom of press index, democracy index, etc etc.
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Some declared it as a ‘socialist heaven and
others called it ‘capitalism with a conscience’.
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The country has one of the highest GDP per
capita in the world following just behind
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Switzerland if we ignore the micro-nations. But
the country wasn’t always rich like it is now.
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But how did a small fishing nation became
one of the richest countries in the world???
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Imagine a person digging the ground
in his backyard, and he happened to
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have found a box of treasure. Some gold and
jewels or whatever! Norway is that person!
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I mean, Norway is a country,
but you know what I am saying.
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Back in the 1950s, no one would have believed
that Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS) contained
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any Black Gold, also known as, well, OIL! This
all changed in 1959, when gas in Groningen,
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Netherlands, was discovered, leading to the
belief that it could also be explored for oil.
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In 1962, a company named Phillips
Petroleum applied for exploration in
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Norway Continental Shelf. The Norwegian
government rejected the application,
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as it was interested in opening up
the resources to multiple firms.
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In 1963, the Norwegian government went on even
further by claiming sovereignty in an area in
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the North Sea and started to issue licenses for
oil exploration. The drilling licenses were given
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in 1965 after the matters of division of shelf
with Norway and Great Britain were resolved.
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The first drilling in 1966 was fruitless. 200
more exploratory drills for the next few years
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showed no signs of oil, and, the whole
thing started to become hopeless, until,
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Philips Petroleum in 1969, drilled in
Ekofisk, resulted in one of the most
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lucrative oilfields, that will later
change the fate of the whole country.
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In 1972, the Norwegian government established
a new company named Statoil that declared 50%
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of oil license money should be state-owned.
More policies were introduced that gave
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Statoil more power. The company was later
partially privatized in 2001 and listed
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on the Oslo and New York Stock exchanges
with the Norwegian government owning 81.7%
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of the shares. Statoil became StateOilHydro
in 2007 after merging with Norsk Hydro,
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the country’s main producer of hydroelectric
power, followed by the company changing its
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name to Equinor in 2018. The government is
still the biggest shareholder in the company.
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Norway’s exploitation of natural
resources is the largest and most
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vital industry that contributed somewhere between
40 to 70% percent of exports over the years.
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Call it a helping hand from nature,
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Norway would not be the country it is today
without these natural resources. Norway’s
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economy without oil would be as incomplete
as Switzerland’s economy without its banks!
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Remember that person we told you to
imagine who found the treasure???
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That person would have wasted
the treasure on booze, parties,
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and shiny stuff, and so would have anyone
else who finds overnight wealth from gambling,
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lotteries, and the fake treasure
stories like the one we just told you.
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Norway did not waste that money! Norway decided
to save and invest the newly found treasure.
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In 1990, the Norwegian government created
Oljefondet, also known as the Government
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Pension Fund Global or GPF-G, a fund into which
the surplus money generated from the petroleum
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income is deposited and invested. This changed
the whole game. The fund was created to tackle
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the fluctuating global oil prices AND to counter
the effects of the expected decline in income. If
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the discovery and production of natural resources
could make any country rich, then Venezuela would
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have still been rich. Norway did not become
Venezuela. They made smart money decisions!
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With investments in shares, bonds, and real
estate of 9000 companies around the world,
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including companies like Apple, Alphabet,
Microsoft, etc. the fund is managed by a
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division of the Norwegian Central Bank and
is the largest pension fund in the world
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currently having USD 1.2 Trillion.
The fund was created in the name of
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people. That means each Norwegian, on
paper owns around USD 220,000 each.
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But, you can’t just withdraw it out of the bank
and start spending on booze and stuff. The fund is
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supposed to be used in bad times. The government
is also not allowed to just go on a spending
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spree, except for a %3 percent allowance
of the fund’s inflation-adjusted return.
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Norway follows a strong ethical sense when
it comes to investing the fund’s money.
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It has a list of companies that it
would invest in and not invest in. It
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won’t invest in companies that contribute
significantly to environmental damage.
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In 2019, the fund managers decided to pull out
their investments in oil exploration companies,
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even though their fund is made up of oil-money.
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Would you call it having ethics
or would call it hypocrisy?
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However, the fund will continue to invest
in petroleum companies that have significant
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investments in renewable energy. The
decision of selling its stake in 134
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companies knocked some big amounts off the
combined market value of those companies.
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Some have shown concerns about how such large
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sovereign wealth funds could impact the
investments without following the market.
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But for Norway, the script is simple!
We have exploited the natural resources,
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but they have passed their peak time
and our oil is going to end one day.
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So, we are not going to invest in something
that we won’t capitalize on in the future.
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The whole idea of having ethics and environmental
damage is not a concern for Norway. For Norway,
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it’s all about business and
watching their interests first.
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Oil and gas like any other natural
resources are going to run out one day.
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According to estimates, Norway’s current oil
resources have already reached close to %50
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and it is estimated to stay
operational until 2050.
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Although there has been a push from
some politicians to spend the money
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on infrastructure and the welfare state, the
Norwegians are somewhat divided on the issue
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of spending the country’s pension fund on other
sectors. Some say that investing in other sectors
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is the way to save the declining economy while
others argue that it can’t be the only way out.
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Norway is a constitutional monarchy. Population
density is low with 5.5 million people
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compared to a huge landmass. That makes
it easier for the government to manage.
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Norway is the second-largest exporter of seafood
after China. The long coastline, wide seabeds,
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and preferable climate conditions provide
Norway to capitalize on the seafood industry,
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which is the second biggest contributor to its
GDP. From Atlantic Salmon to trout, codfish,
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mackerel, prawns, and king crabs, the country’s
biggest seafood exports go to the European Union
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countries. The country introduced Salmon sushi
to Japan back in the 80s, who were keen on Sushi
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but Salmon sushi was a new thing back
then. Maritime goes hand in hand with
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the seafood industry and Norwegians have
been sea people entire their history.
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Despite being one of the biggest oil producers,
Norway is not powered by oil. The country’s
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98 percent of electricity comes from hydropower,
which is 65% of domestic energy use. and consumers
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are inclined towards electric vehicles in recent
years. The country plans to lead the world in
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renewable energy, and estimates to have 100%
renewable domestic energy by 2030. Inexpensive
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hydropower also makes it easier for the country
to export metals, papers, and chemicals.
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Even though it’s an expensive country
to visit, tourism continues to play an
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important role. According to a report in 2018,
tourism contributed to around 5% of the GDP
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with every seven in hundred people throughout
the country working in the tourism industry.
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Beautiful landscapes, ski resorts, fjords,
Viking museums, tons of mountains for hiking
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and exploring, polar nights and midnight sun
makes Norway a complete package hard to resist.
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As the oil will deplete one day, economists
have even talked about Norway’s economic future
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as a tax haven by attracting foreign
investment similar to Switzerland.
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While many countries proudly give
examples of Norway’s high corporate taxes,
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it drives away many entrepreneurs to the UK
and other European countries to find better
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financial conditions for business. Norway would
likely have to lower the taxes for business to
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attract a non-oil economy in the future.
Norwegians say they are not nationalistic,
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but, that's highly arguable. They prefer to hire
Norwegians over others for many reasons including
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language proficiency. Oslo is different
from other cities as it has the largest
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number of immigrants. Just like many other
countries that claim to be open and diverse,
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it’s not hard to debate that the Norwegians
are closed off compared to other countries.
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Contrary to the popular belief, Norway
does not have a free health care system.
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It's partially true. Everyone pays for the
prescriptions and doctor’s appointments,
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but up to a limit of around 2200kr. After
that, it’s free. This is to ensure fairness
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as everyone pays but only up to a limit,
and if someone falls seriously ill or comes
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under a category where more medical budgets
are needed then they don’t have to worry.
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Norway has a very high cost of living and
it’s a big downside. Other than the house
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and rental prices, grocery prices are much higher
compared to around the world and even compared to
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its Scandinavian neighbors. The country known
for creating the world’s first cheese slicer,
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service-providing industries like restaurants and
bars, etc. is very expensive. Some new to country
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people can’t overcome this sticker-shock. The
country has put high taxes on alcohol, tobacco,
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and sugar. Alcohol is not cheap in the country.
Some people take trips to Sweden to bring some
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food-packed luggage including meat, alcohol,
and groceries. Addicted to Grandiosa Pizza,
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eating out in restaurants is less frequent
in Norway compared to other countries.
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Contrary to popular opinion, the country
has no minimum wage set by the government.
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But salaries are high, even at the lower end of
the pay scales, but so is the cost of living.
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Newcomers in the country are
often most outspoken about the
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expenses considering the relocation
expenses in the country are huge.
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Divorce rates are very high in the country,
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and the unconfirmed reports of high promiscuity
rates also rank Norway high on the list.
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Norway voted no to inclusion in European
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Union through a referendum in
1994 by a very close margin.
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Norway is currently suffering from what is
referred to as the ‘Dutch Disease’ in economics.
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The Dutch Disease, simply put, indicates
a relationship between an increase in the
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economic development of one sector like oil,
compared to a decline in other sectors. But,
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on the bright side, the country has done so well
when it comes to the creation of the pension
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fund that can be used in bad times. Also, the
country has done very well to realize that the
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oil money would end one day and they would have
to start working on a post-oil-dependent economy.
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What can you learn from Norway’s economy? My
dear RAVENS! Save and Invest like Norway! It
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does not matter how much money you earn but what
you do with that money is what matters the most!
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There would be times in your life when
you will get more money than usual.
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At that moment, don’t just get excited and spend
it on the shiny things you don’t even need,
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instead, make smart money decisions, and save &
invest it for a better outcome in the future!
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