What is Dividend Yield? | Investing 101 - YouTube

Channel: Let's Talk Money! with Joseph Hogue, CFA

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I’m sharing an easy explanation to the question, “What is Dividend Yield?” using Apple
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dividends and some of the biggest risks to dividend stock investing.
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I’ll not only show you how to calculate the dividend yield quickly but reveal five
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dividend stock strategies for higher returns without the risk.
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We’re talking dividend yield today on Let’s Talk Money!
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Beat debt.
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Make money.
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Make your money work for you.
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Creating the financial future you deserve.
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Let's Talk Money.
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Joseph Hogue with the Let’s Talk Money channel here on YouTube.
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I want to send a special shout out to everyone in the community, thank you for taking a little
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of your time to be here today.
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If you’re not part of the community yet, just click that little red subscribe button.
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It’s free and you’ll never miss an episode.
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Probably no other measure in dividend investing is as popular or dangerous as the dividend
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yield.
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It makes sense, right?
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That’s your cash return and investors are all about getting as high a return as possible.
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In this video though, I’ll explain the dividend yield, how to calculate it and some risks
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around it.
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We’ll talk about what is a good dividend yield and then I’ll reveal five dividend
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investing strategies you can use for solid returns.
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This is hugely important not just for dividend investors but for all stock investors.
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I’ve gotten a lot of questions about our 2019 dividend stock portfolio, why I only
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filtered for stocks paying a 3% yield or higher instead of going for the really high yielding
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stocks.
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You only need to look at that 24% total return in just the first four months to see that
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it’s all about balance to getting the highest total return.
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Five of our dividend stocks are up over 35% so far with Hanesbrands surging 67%.
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A stocks dividend yield is the cash return you get on the investment on a yearly basis.
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Now that’s important because most stocks pay their dividend four times a year but only
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pay a fourth of that annual yield.
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So you might see a 3% dividend yield and receive a dividend every three months but you’re
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only collecting that portion of the annual yield.
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Let’s look at an example with the Apple dividend because it gets much easier when
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you see it applied.
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We see here that besides having a VERY good day after reporting first quarter earnings,
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Apple is trading at $214 per share.
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This forward dividend and yield reported here is for the entire year’s payments, so investors
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should expect to receive $2.92 in dividends for every share of Apple they own.
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What you will actually receive is $0.73 every three months but remember we use the annual
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number to calculate the dividend yield.
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So if we take that $2.92 in dividends received over a year and divide by the current $214.16
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share price, we get a dividend yield of 1.36%.
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It says 1.54% here as the yield and that’s an important point you want to remember.
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This 1.54% yield is based on the stock price yesterday so it hasn’t updated on today’s
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big move.
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Understand that as a stock’s price increases, if the company doesn’t also increase the
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dividend payment then the dividend yield will go down.
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Conversely if a stock’s price falls and the dividend payment stays the same, the dividend
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yield will go up.
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If Apple shares were to fall to $175 each and the dividend stayed at $2.92 a year, then
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investors would be getting a 1.66% yield.
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This uncovers one of the biggest risks in looking at just the dividend yield.
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If you see a high dividend yield, you also need to look at the stock price over the last
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year.
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If the shares have been falling and the dividend hasn’t been cut, that’s going to increase
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the yield but it could be a dangerous assumption.
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First, if the company is in too much trouble, it might cut that dividend to conserve cash.
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Just as importantly though, what good is it to collect that hefty dividend if you lose
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double that on the stock price?
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So dividend yield is important but it’s not the only thing you should be looking at.
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That’s going to be big in the five dividend investing strategies we’ll talk about now.
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First though, if you’re likin’ the video and think the information is helpful, do me
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a favor and tap that thumbs up button below and let me know in the comments.
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Now a good dividend yield is what you can get while still getting some upside return
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on the stock price.
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We talked about this idea in our dividend payout ratio video.
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A company can return all its cash to investors through a dividend but there’ll be no money
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left for growth and it may even lose competitive share, causing the stock to fall.
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That means, when I’m looking at dividend yield and the payout ratio, I’m looking
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for companies with a commitment to return cash but also to grow the company.
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That generally means a good dividend yield between 3% to 6% for regular stock companies.
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Since the dividend yield on the market, the S&P 500 is just under 2%, companies in this
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three to six percent range are well above the average and demonstrate that yield commitment.
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Now I know that a lot of investors want to go for the highest dividend they can get,
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investing in stocks with double-digit yields and if the stock price doesn’t fall then
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that’s not a bad return.
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A lot of times though, weakness on the share price and volatility just isn’t worth that
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marginally higher dividend.
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Let’s look at those five dividend investing strategies though because a few of them will
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really help you get those higher yields with some solid price returns as well.
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One of the most popular dividend strategies is investing in monthly payers.
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We’ve seen that most dividend stocks pay out just four times a year.
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That can make it difficult to plan for paying expenses if you’re living off your dividends
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or just as a passive income stream.
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That’s where monthly dividend stocks come in, companies with a policy and a history
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of returning cash to investors every single month.
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Even better, these stocks have a median yield over 8% annually, that’s over four-times
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the dividend yield of the broader market.
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These are some great opportunities to create that monthly cash flow that’s either going
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to grow your portfolio or give you that extra cash each month to pay the bills.
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Now I am going to warn you, these monthly payers tend to be in just a few business types.
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We see here that about 40% of monthly payers are real estate investment trusts, another
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38% are business development companies and then some energy companies, usually master
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limited partnerships.
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We also see the average dividend yield in each group so 7.4% on MLPs, 7.5% on REITs
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in the space and a whopping 10.1% average yield on BDCs.
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There’s a reason for this we’ll talk about and why these cannot be your only investment
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in dividend stocks.
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Again, do not think you can put together a portfolio of just these monthly dividend stocks
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because it’s going to put your money at risk.
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We see in that graphic, putting all your money here is going to grossly expose you to just
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a few business structures.
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These companies set up as BDCs, REITs or MLPs get special tax breaks but have to pay out
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almost all their earnings as dividends.
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That means they tend to have volatile share prices, they have to raise money regularly
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through debt or equity and they are highly exposed to rising interest rates.
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These monthly payers also tend to be much smaller companies than other stocks.
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For example, of the 28 legit monthly payers I follow, the average size is just $723 million
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with the largest only a $20 billion company.
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That might seem like a lot but it’s miniscule next to a trillion dollar company like Amazon
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or Apple and none of the S&P 500 companies pay monthly dividends.
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The fact that they are smaller companies with less financial flexibility means you need
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to stay up on all the usual warning signs for dividend stocks.
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These include sales growth, debt leverage and some other signs you need to watch.
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You also need to understand the management structure in those business development companies,
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the BDCs.
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It’s either going to be external or internal management which is going to make a big difference
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on their compensation.
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External management is usually compensated by growth in the company’s invested assets,
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so they want to make as many investments as possible even if they aren’t necessarily
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great investments.
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Internal management compensation is tied more directly with investor returns.
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Finding these monthly dividend stocks is pretty easy with any stock screener or a Google search
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on monthly payers.
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What I want you to consider when you’re using this strategy are just a couple of points.
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First is to make sure you spread your dividend portfolio across different sectors and business
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types.
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That probably means only having a chunk of your dividend investments in these monthly
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payers since they’re mostly those REITs, MLPs and Business Development Corporations.
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Second is to pay attention to the share price over the last few years as well.
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Don’t get caught up in that high dividend yield because you don’t want it at the expense
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of a falling stock price.
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We’ve got a complete video on the channel about investing in monthly dividend stocks
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so I’ll leave a link to that in the video description below.
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One dividend strategy we haven’t talked about on the channel but actually has a lot
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of research to support it is the Dividend Aristocrats.
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Dividend Aristocrats is the name given to companies in the S&P 500 index, so we’re
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talking companies of about $5 billion or larger, that have increased their dividend payment
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for at least 25 consecutive years.
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Nearly three decades of increasing dividends is a huge commitment, especially considering
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that includes the 2008 recession which was the worst in 80 years.
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Stocks that increase their dividends have been shown to outperform the rest of the market
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and these Aristocrats are a great way to play on that.
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That list peaked at 64 stocks in 2001 but has since fallen to just 57 companies that
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meet the filter.
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Over the decade to March 2019, the Aristocrats have returned an annual 17.6% versus a 15.9%
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return on the broader S&P 500 market index.
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Not only has it outperformed the market but the Aristocrats index has also done it with
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less volatility, so fewer violent ups-and-downs in the prices.
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Now instead of trying to keep track of all 57 companies in the Dividend Aristocrats list,
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there are funds like the Proshares ETF, ticker NOBL, that will do it for you.
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The fund holds all stocks in the Aristocrats index and has a 2.3% dividend yield.
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What I want you to notice though if you’re going to invest in the fund or the Aristocrats
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stocks, is this fund sectors and their weighting.
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Most of the fund is in just a few sectors like consumer staples, industrials and financials.
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That’s obviously a function of how safe the sectors are for cash flow and how the
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companies have been able to keep increasing their dividends year-over-year but you might
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want to pair this fund with another that has maybe a growth stock perspective.
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The reason here is that way you get more from sectors like tech, consumer discretionary
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and others to balance out the heavy weighting in just these three sectors in the Aristocrats
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fund.
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Another strategy, actually my favorite dividend yield strategy, is investing in real estate
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investment trusts, REITs, and master limited partnerships, MLPs.
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Like we saw in that previous strategy, these are special types of companies that get tax
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breaks for returning most of their cash flow to investors.
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Not all of them are monthly payers though and I think some of the best picks are actually
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those normal quarterly-paying stocks.
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So REITs or real estate investment trusts, are companies that own and manage property,
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usually commercial real estate property.
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The company pays expenses then passes through at least 90% of the earnings to investors
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in the form of dividends.
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Investing in REITs, it’s important to spread your investment across companies with different
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property types like office, warehouse, hotel, data centers, retail, industrial and self-storage.
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MLPs or master limited partnerships own mostly pipelines that transport oil and natural gas
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and then the storage facilities.
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They collect a fee from other energy companies for using the assets and pass most of their
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earnings on to investors.
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Since much of their fee is based on the amount that goes through those pipelines or is stored
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in tanks, they aren’t quite as depending on energy prices so it can be a great way
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to lower the risk of weak oil or gas pricing in your investments.
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With REITs and MLPs, I want to cover two very important points to help you when you’re
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looking for these stocks.
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First is that taxes on the investments are handled very differently.
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Taxes on dividends from REITs are like any other dividend stock.
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If you hold the shares for more than 60 days around that dividend payment, you pay a lower
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qualified dividend tax rate and you pay those taxes each year on the dividends you collect.
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One of the best pieces of advice I can offer with dividend investing is to hold these high-yield
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stocks in a retirement account, either an IRA or a Roth IRA.
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That’s going to save you from having to pay those taxes each year on the dividends
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and will seriously boost your returns.
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MLPs, master limited partnerships, are taxed entirely differently.
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For each MLP company you own, you’ll get a special tax form each year called a K-1
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form.
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This is going to break out the dividend between a return of capital and a normal dividend
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portion.
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Now that return of capital portion of the dividend, and this usually ends up being the
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majority of the dividend, isn’t taxed each year.
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It actually goes to lowering the taxable price you paid for the shares so you don’t get
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taxed on it until you sell your shares.
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It’s a huge tax break, shielding you from that annual tax hit on the full dividend but
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it also means you don’t want to hold these in a retirement account.
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Hold these MLP investments in a regular taxable investing account so you take advantage of
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that tax-deferred benefit.
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The second point I want to cover for REITs and MLPs, and this is the biggest mistake
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I see investors make on the two investments, is that you can’t use a lot of traditional
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value measures.
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These companies own assets like real estate and pipelines that mean a huge amount of depreciation
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on the income statement.
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They take that depreciation off their earnings to lower taxes but it also means that earnings
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are a terrible view of profitability for the business.
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So if you ever hear anyone talking about the price-to-earnings ratio of an MLP or a REIT,
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they don’t know what they’re talking about.
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You can’t use the P/E ratio with these stocks.
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There is a special way to value each of these types of stocks and I’ll show you how to
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do that for each.
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What we’re going to use for MLP stocks is use what’s called price-to-distributable
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cash flow or price-to-DCF.
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Finding this value for distributable cash flow, the amount of money the company has
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available to return to investors, is important also because it gives us an idea of sustainability.
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A company can’t pay out more than is available forever so it’s a good metric to make sure
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that dividend isn’t going to be cut any time soon.
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I’ll show you how to calculate DCF yourself but all MLPs will calculate it on their reporting.
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I do it myself only because I like to double-check the numbers coming out of the company and
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make sure I’m comparing stocks with the same calculation.
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Here’s the table, and again don’t get freaked out because this is always provided
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to you in reporting.
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To find how much money the company has available to distribute, you take the cash flow from
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operations, this is all going to be found on the Statement of Cash Flows, and you remove
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any spending on capital and income from non-controlling interests.
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That gives you sustainable DCF which is what the company can return to investors and still
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keep operations running smoothly.
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While sustainable DCF is a better measure, most people use the DCF as reported because
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it’s sometimes the only number reported.
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To get to DCF, you also add back that income from non-controlling interests as well as
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working capital reported.
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The big one here is adding back this proceeds from asset sales.
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This is technically proceeds the company can return to investors, a company can’t forever
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be selling its assets and still keep business running so that’s why we use that sustainable
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DCF if it’s available.
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With this number, you can find that valuation with the price-to-DCF or you can find how
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much the company is returning to investors for what’s called the distribution coverage
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ratio.
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This is how much DCF the company earns versus how much it pays out.
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Just like with MLPs, you can’t rely on reported earnings for a REIT because of that high amount
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of depreciation they get from real estate.
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Instead, we use a measure called Funds from Operations or FFO.
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FFO is very similar to that DCF we saw with MLPs.
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You take the reported net income of the REIT and add back depreciation but minus out any
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gains they made on property sales.
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Those property sales are a source of income but not something the REIT can do forever
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and expect to stay in business.
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Remember, the idea is to find how much cash the company has available to distribute without
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cutting into money it needs to run the business.
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Again, like the DCF calculation for MLPs, you don’t necessarily have to do this yourself
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because it’s always reported by the company.
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It’s just a good idea to understand the concept and be able to double-check the company’s
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reporting.
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You use FFO just like our other metric so you can take the price of the REIT over FFO
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to compare the valuation to other REITs.
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You can also get a coverage ratio of FFO over the dividend to see how safe the yield is
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for the stock.
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We’ve also got a video on the channel that goes into more detail on investing in these
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REITs and MLPs so I’ll leave a link in the video description to that as well.
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We’re about half way through out 2019 Dividend Stock Challenge portfolio and the stocks are
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blowing up.
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The portfolio is up over 24% so far and beating the market by nearly ten percent.
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I’ll leave a card here in the corner and a link in the description as well to see how
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we picked dividend stocks for the portfolio and how you can join the challenge.
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We’re here Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays with the best videos on beating debt, making
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more money and making your money work for you.
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If you’ve got a question about money, just subscribe to the channel and ask it in the
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comments and we’ll answer it in a video.