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The Dividend Capture Strategy (Does it Work?) - YouTube
Channel: Tyler McMurray
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The dividend capture strategy is a fairly
simple technique where you buy a stock just
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in time to receive its dividend distribution.
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After locking in that dividend, you then sell
the stock and move onto another stock with
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an upcoming dividend.
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In theory, this strategy lets you collect
dividend payouts practically everyday, as
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long as thereâs stocks paying them, which
sounds pretty good right?
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Thatâs exactly why weâre taking a closer
look at this approach today.
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In this video, Iâll give you a detailed
explanation of the dividend capture strategy
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and exactly how to execute it.
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Then, weâre going to take a look at some
numbers and data to figure out if this is
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a worthwhile strategy in practice.
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Finally, weâll wrap things up with some
dividend capture tips to help you maximize
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your earnings from this strategy if you choose
to give it a try.
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So if youâre ready to start collecting some
crazy dividends, stay tuned.
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Dividend Capture Strategy Explained
So the dividend capture strategy might be
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one of the most simple investing strategies
there is.
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You just have to buy a stock in time to capture
the dividend payout.
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Unlike other strategies, which often require
some level of fundamental analysis or in-depth
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research, you can pull-off the dividend capture
strategy with very little legwork.
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You just need to have a good understanding
of one thing, and that is the ex-dividend
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date.
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The ex-dividend date is simply the date at
which time owning the stock no longer makes
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you eligible to receive a dividend.
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In other words, you have to own the dividend
the day BEFORE the ex-dividend date to secure
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your dividend payout.
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So here is a simple timeline of how the dividend
capture strategy could work.
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First, a company will announce its dividend.
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Theyâll announce the dividend amount, the
ex dividend date and the date at which they
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plan on distributing the dividend.
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This declaration of a dividend typically happens
at least a few weeks before the ex-dividend
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date.
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So, once a dividend is declared, you have
until the ex-dividend date to purchase that
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stock and become eligible for their dividend.
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The most important part is that you own the
dividend at market close the day before the
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ex-dividend date.
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This is because the day before the ex-dividend
date is the day that the company will make
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a record of its shareholders, and these shareholders
are the ones who receive the dividends.
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So keep this in mind - if you buy a stock,
and sell on the day before the ex-dividend
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date or anytime earlier, you will not get
the dividend!
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You have to hold onto that stock until the
ex-dividend date.
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After this point you have locked in your dividend,
so you are free to sell the share on the ex-dividend
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date, or anytime after.
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So to return to our sample timeline, a company
announces a dividend, and you have a few weeks
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to purchase that stock.
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But, you have to make sure you are holding
the stock before the ex-dividend date.
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At market close on this day, the company will
take note of its shareholders for dividend
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distributions.
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Starting on the ex-dividend date, you can
no longer secure that previously announced
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dividend.
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Since your holdings were recorded the day
before, you can sell your stock starting on
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this day and still expect to receive the dividend
on the announced pay-out date.
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And thatâs really all there is to it.
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There are literally hundreds of websites out
there that you can use to find stocks with
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upcoming dividends, you just need to find
a dividend ex-date calendar and plan your
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stock purchases accordingly.
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I did a little bit of searching and came across
one I like at benzinga.com - it has a pretty
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clean and thorough list of the dividends and
shows the approximate dividend yield of each
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stock, which is a helpful metric that I didnât
see many other sites offer.
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And as you can see, there are tons of stocks
going ex-dividend on a daily basis.
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So many that you would have absolutely no
problem buying a stock daily, securing a dividend,
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then selling the stock the next day and purchasing
a new stock in time for a new dividend.
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Does the Dividend Capture Strategy Work?
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So the real question becomes⊠does the dividend
capture strategy work?
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And this is where things get complicated.
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It is a simple strategy, and itâs a surefire
way to collect tons of dividend payments throughout
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the month.
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But in order for it to be profitable and actually
be worth your time and effort, we have to
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consider some of the other factors at play
here.
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And the three things we have to consider are
price adjustments based on the theory of an
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efficient market, the cost of taxes and trading
fees, and the overall market sentiment on
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a given day.
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So letâs take a closer look.
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First is the theory that markets are perfectly
efficient - and this is one that dividend
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naysayers use pretty often against dividend
stocks.
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This theory assumes that if markets are perfectly
efficient, then the price of a stock will
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decrease by an amount equal to the value of
a dividend, once that dividend is paid out.
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So, if a $10 stock announced a $1 dividend,
as soon as the dividend payouts were locked
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in for shareholders, the theory suggests that
the perfectly efficient market will drop the
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stock price to $9 to compensate for that $1
dividend per share payout.
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I found two studies that attempted to measure
the impact on stock price after going ex-dividend.
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The first is a study performed with data from
1962 to 1987.
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This confirmed that through those periods,
the price drop of a stock was not significantly
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different from the value of the dividend.
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In other words, a stock dropping in price
equal to its dividend payout was pretty much
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to be expected.
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And this would suggest that the dividend capture
strategy doesnât really work.
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After all, if you bought our sample stock
for $10, got a $1 dividend, then the stock
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dropped to $9, you are still at $10 total.
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So if this is going to be the case, then a
dividend capture strategy certainly isnât
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worth the effort.
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However, I found another study performed in
2007 and 2008 that actually found the opposite.
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This study randomly tracked 100 stocks from
the New York Stock Exchange, analyzing the
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price impact of dividend payouts over two
years.
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Their research found the markets to be what
they call âsemi-efficientâ.
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For the year 2008, they found that just like
the previous study, stocks typically dropped
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by an amount equal to the value of their dividend.
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But, in the year 2007, they actually dropped
by an amount LESS than the value of their
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dividend.
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So in these cases, if you were to have used
the dividend capture strategy, you would have
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made a profit.
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And although it seems that in MOST cases the
stocks react predictably to a dividend payout,
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this second study proves that there is actually
some inefficiency in the markets, which means
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there is money to be made by the dividend
capture strategy.
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Of course, this second study also brings up
the point of the taxation on dividends.
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Since dividends will be taxed, the dividend
value to investors might be less than what
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is actually paid, which theoretically explains
a slightly lesser drop in stock price.
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But seeing as taxes and costs are the next
big factor to consider when it comes to the
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dividend capture strategy, lets dig into that
some more.
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Taxes are the heavy burden at the core of
any stock market investment, especially when
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it comes to dividend capture.
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And hereâs the problem: the dividend capture
strategy makes you ineligible for any of the
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more favorable tax rates.
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For example, consider a stock that pays a
qualified dividend, which includes most common
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stocks.
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The tax on this dividend would be the long
term capital gains tax, which for most investors,
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including myself, is 15%.
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But in order to get this special tax rate,
you have to hold the stock for at least 60
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days around the ex-dividend date.
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So if you bought the day before the ex-dividend,
you have to hold for 59 more days to get that
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qualified dividend tax rate.
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Or, youâd have to buy 60 days before the
ex-dividend date to be able to sell on the
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ex-dividend date and get the dividend at the
qualified dividend tax rate.
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With the dividend capture strategy, youâre
typically going to be buying and selling stocks
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very quickly, almost always holding them for
less than 60 days.
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And this means instead of that qualified dividend
long term capital gains tax rate, youâre
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going to be paying income tax on all of those
dividends youâve received.
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For me, this is 22%, which is 50% more than
that capital gains tax rate.
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So this means in order to make a profit with
the dividend capture strategy, you have to
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make sure your post-tax dividend distributions
make up for any drop in stock price that you
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see on the ex-dividend date.
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With our same example from before, a $10 stock
paying a $1 dividend and dropping to $9, actually
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leaves you with a loss.
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Youâll be paying income tax on that $1 dividend,
leaving you with just $9.78.
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So the odds are definitely stacking up against
us for trying to profit off of the dividend
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capture strategy.
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If you are trading somewhere that charges
fees, then itâs going to be even more difficult
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to make this strategy work.
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But thereâs still one more factor to consider,
and thatâs the day-to-day price movements
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of the overall market.
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If you happen to pick up a stock on a good
day, and the ex-dividend date falls on a red
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day in the market, that stock may end up falling
even more than its dividend is worth.
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So now, you might be selling at an even bigger
loss to snag that same dividend.
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And this is something thatâs certainly even
harder to predict than just the effect of
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the dividend payout on the stock price.
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So when you factor in the expected drop in
stock price, the cost of taxes and trading
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fees, and the unpredictability of the overall
markets, there really are a lot of variables
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going on here that make it difficult to pull
off a dividend capture strategy with any meaningful
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returns.
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Dividend Capture Strategy Tips
But I LOVE the idea of daily dividends, so
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letâs take a look at 4 ways we can protect
ourselves against these risks and perhaps
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still find a way to eke out some money from
the dividend capture strategy.
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The first way is going to involve vetting
some of your dividend candidates so that you
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can identify the ones that are going to drop
as little as possible on those ex-dividend
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dates.
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And there are two simple strategies I would
personally use in this scenario.
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The first is to use large cap stocks for the
dividend capture strategy.
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Large cap stocks tend to be less volatile
simply as a result of their size.
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Large cap dividend payers are also known to
be more stable than large caps in general,
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so this could theoretically make them better
candidates for the dividend capture strategy.
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Of course, this is no guarantee and purely
my own opinion, but I think the larger the
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market cap, the safer a candidate for dividend
capture.
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After using this as a rule of thumb for selecting
a dividend capture prospect, I would further
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screen the stock by analyzing what happened
to the price on previous ex-dividend dates.
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To give you a quick example, I pulled up Coca-Colaâs
dividend history on Nasdaq.com.
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Since their recently announced dividend hasnât
happened yet, we can take a look at the price
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history around the previous dividend date
to identify if this will be a good candidate
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for dividend capture.
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The record date for the previous dividend
was September 15th, which means the 14th was
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the ex-dividend date and the 11th was the
last day to secure that dividend.
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Moving over to Yahoo Finance to look at the
historical price data, we can see that Coca-Cola
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actually ended up trading at higher prices
on the ex-dividend date - although there is
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definitely room to lose on this dividend capture
if you bought and sold at the wrong times
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each day.
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But, if you timed it right, you couldâve
definitely made a profit on this dividend
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capture.
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The second way to improve your chances of
success with the dividend capture strategy
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is to perform it in a tax advantaged account
like a traditional IRA or a Roth IRA.
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This way, you wonât be paying taxes on any
of the dividends youâre securing with the
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strategy.
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This will instantly widen your margins for
trading in and out of stocks, and it could
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be the game-changing approach that makes or
breaks this strategy.
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It just depends whether you want to use your
retirement savings for this somewhat controversial
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technique, and if your IRA even gives you
the ability to do so.
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For example, my Roth IRA is set up with M1
Finance, which I love for several reasons,
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but it has got to be the absolute worst investing
platform for trading individual stocks.
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So as much as Iâd like to experiment with
this inside my Roth IRA, it would just be
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a headache to manage.
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The third strategy for success with the dividend
capture strategy is to exclusively target
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special dividends.
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Special dividends are dividends that a company
pays out on an irregular basis in addition
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to its standard dividend payouts.
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In most cases, theyâre way larger than their
usual dividend distributions, which means
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thereâs a bigger percentage to be gained
with the dividend capture.
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Of course, these stocks can still fall victim
to that ex-dividend date price adjustment,
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so thatâs something youâll have to look
out for.
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You should also know that if a company pays
a special dividend higher than 25% of the
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stocks value, the ex-dividend date moves until
after the dividend is paid, so youâll also
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have to hold these stocks longer in order
to obtain the larger dividend.
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The fourth strategy Iâve got for you regarding
profiting from the dividend capture strategy
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actually doesnât involve buying the stock
itself.
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Since the stock so often drops on the ex-dividend
date, another strategy is to buy options of
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a stock so that you can profit when that drop
does happen.
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An option is essentially a contract that you
purchase, which secures you the right to sell
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a stock at a certain price.
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So, prior to the ex-dividend date, you would
buy an option at or near the current stock
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price, securing you the ability to sell the
stock at its current price.
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This contract remains open for several days,
so once the ex-dividend date happens and the
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stock price drops, your options contract allows
you to still sell that stock at that earlier,
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higher price.
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But since you donât actually own the stock,
the profit comes from selling this options
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contract to somebody else who will theoretically
cover some of their losses with that trade.
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I cannot personally encourage this because
I know very little about the world of options,
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but what I do know is that there are added
risks and costs involved that make it more
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complicated than the regular dividend capture
strategy.
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So if this sounds interesting to you, make
sure you do your homework before jumping in.
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And actually Iâll probably cover options
at some point on this channel, so if you want
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me to push that up on my agenda just leave
me a comment below.
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So those are the four strategies that you
can leverage to improve your profits with
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the dividend capture strategy.
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I also have one more warning for you if youâre
thinking about trying it out - do NOT use
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the dividend capture strategy on MLPs.
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MLPs, or master limited partnerships, are
stocks that pay fairly high dividends, but
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they have unusual tax repercussions.
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Most of their dividends are considered returns
of capital, which means they lower the cost
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basis of your investment.
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So if you perform a dividend capture with
these stocks, and sell the stock shortly after,
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you might actually owe capital gains tax on
the stock even if the stock price drops.
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If you want to learn more about navigating
these stocks in particular, I have a whole
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video about them on my channel that you can
check out.
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Not ideal for dividend capture, but definitely
worth looking into if youâre a dividend
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investor.
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Overall, the dividend investing strategy isnât
foolproof, but there may be something to it
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with the right strategy.
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And if youâre like me, youâre probably
thinking that thereâs got to be a way to
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make this system work in your favor.
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And lucky for you, I was curious enough to
try it out for real.
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In fact, I started the month of November with
$100 and followed a strict dividend capture
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strategy on Robinhood for the whole month.
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Iâm about to wrap up this experiment, and
if youâd like to see how much I made with
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the dividend capture strategy, and whether
this thing can really work, make sure you
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subscribe to the channel to catch that update
when it comes.
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Until then, let me know in the comments if
youâre going to experiment with this strategy
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at all!
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If you are, good luck, I wish you many hefty
dividends, and I will see you in the next
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video.
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