Is the Sharing Economy a SHAM? - YouTube

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- Thank you to brilliant.org for supporting PBS.
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- If you're too young to remember the launch
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of ride sharing apps like Uber and Lyft,
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let me tell you, it was magical.
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With just a tap of your phone,
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a driver would show up in minutes to take you across town
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for a fraction of what a yellow cab would charge.
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Somehow, those wizards of Silicon Valley
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figured out how to revolutionize the taxi industry.
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And we all reaped the benefits
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of low prices and immediate service.
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- Things have changed in the sharing economy since then.
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The average price of a ride share trip
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has gone up around 40% in just the last year.
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Airbnb rentals are about 35% more expensive.
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Many of these companies point to a pandemic related
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surge in demand and drop in labor supply,
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but even food delivery apps like DoordDash,
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which posted strong revenues throughout the pandemic
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are dramatically raising their prices as well.
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Many experts say that what's driving
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this industry-wide price hike has less to do
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with the pandemic and more with the fact
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that many of these companies are finally trying
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to become profitable.
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- Wait, you mean more profitable?
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- Nope, I mean profitable, period.
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Despite being once valued at over $80 billion,
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Uber has never turned a profit.
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Far from it in fact.
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- In 2020, the company lost $6.77 billion.
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And for you blame that on COVID,
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keep in mind that's actually an improvement over 2019
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when they lost a whopping 8.51 billion.
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Since its launch in 2009,
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Uber has burned through roughly $20 billion
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of investor capital.
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And while they are perhaps the most extreme example,
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they're hardly alone.
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- Lyft,, DoorDash Grubhub, Spotify, Snapchat,
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these are just a few of the many billion dollar
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tech companies, what insiders call unicorns
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that have never made a profit.
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Even Airbnb, which was at one time,
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the rare unicorn that made money has started posting losses.
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And this was before the pandemic.
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Despite becoming a ubiquitous part of our economic
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and cultural landscape,
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very few of these companies have figured out
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how to actually make money doing what they do.
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- And yet, investors continue to pour money into them.
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In fact, money losing companies that went public in 2018
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actually did better on the stock market
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than ones that made money.
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- It doesn't make any sense.
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Isn't making profits the whole point of business?
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- Well, it's not unusual for a startup
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to operate at a loss for some period of time.
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After all, you have to build infrastructure,
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so R&D and hire employees before you can start earning.
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What makes the tech sector unusual is the staggering
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amount of loss investors are willing to tolerate.
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- Amazon has a lot to do with that.
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Despite years of losing money,
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and years more of barely breaking even,
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the company was valued higher than firms
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with far bigger profits.
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It's all about market dominance.
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The idea is to spend gobs of money to expand aggressively
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without worrying about profitability.
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So that one day,
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you'll be the biggest player in the industry.
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Insiders call this blitzscaling,
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and it's pretty popular on Wall Street these days.
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- But 10 years and billions of dollars later,
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most of these tech companies haven't made
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any tangible progress towards profitability,
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and it's not clear how much longer
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investors' patients will last.
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Think about it.
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Food delivery apps like DoorDash, Grubhub
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literally had a captive customer base
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stuck in their homes throughout the pandemic
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and still can't figure out how to make that
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a profitable year.
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- Some economists think that the real problem
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is that many of these companies
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never had a viable business plan to begin with.
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Transportation economist, Hubert Horan says
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that far from revolutionizing the future of transportation,
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Uber has not solved any of the industry's
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longstanding structural problems.
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And that it has higher costs than every traditional operator
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in every category other than fuel.
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They figured out how to shift costs
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like making drivers pay for their own vehicles,
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but that's not really any efficiency.
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Having a million individuals buy and maintain
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their own cars is less efficient, Hubert argues,
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than buying and servicing a fleet in bulk.
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The company will eventually have to make up the difference
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in the form of higher wages if they want to attract drivers.
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- So then were they ever able
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to offer such low prices?
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Because their investors were essentially subsidizing them.
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New York Times technology reporter, Kevin Bruise
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compares the industry's pricing to a store
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that sells $1 bills for 75 cents.
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Sure, word of mouth will be fantastic.
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But if you ever wanna make money,
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you'll have to raise your prices to say 125.
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And if you think your customers
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will stick around for that, good luck.
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- This is not to say that there aren't some tech firms
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that are genuinely innovating
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or that Uber might not someday figure out
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how to make taxis more efficient.
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But what's clear is that many players in the sharing economy
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only got where they are through artificially low prices.
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There's a mystical aura around tech
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that makes it seem plausible
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that a ride from the airport could only cost $5.
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But in reality, the only innovation was a willingness
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to lose money on every transaction.
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Even Amazon isn't really performing miracles.
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The majority of their relatively small profit margin
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comes from their web hosting service, not the retail sector.
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- So what?
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You might think, if a bunch of rich investors
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wanna subsidize my convenient lifestyle.
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I admit we certainly partook in what journalist,
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Kara Swisher called assisted living for millennials.
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Her words, not mine.
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- However, while very few of these tech brands
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have managed to achieve the dominance
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of say Facebook or Amazon,
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they have acquired enough market power
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to put some serious pressure
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on traditional small businesses.
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Restaurants that felt compelled to play ball
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with DoorDash and Grubhub are now being squeezed
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by commissions as high as 30%.
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And the taxi industry, which for years
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was carefully regulated to ensure profitability
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and broad socioeconomic access
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has been decimated by Uber's low prices,
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which no profitable business could ever hope to match.
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Chillingly, a recent internal document from Uber
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identified public transportation as their next competitor.
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- Today, as these companies start to tighten their belts,
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prices are going up and maybe that's a good thing.
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Maybe a ride from the airport should never have cost $5
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in the first place.
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As Kevin Roose, put it,
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"Getting someone to clean your house,
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do your laundry or deliver your dinner should be a luxury
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if there's no exploitation involved."
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As it strives to narrow its losses,
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Uber has been steadily lowering its labor costs,
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down to below minimum wage according to some studies.
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And now surprise, surprise,
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they're having trouble finding enough drivers.
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Perhaps their self-driving division could pick up the slack
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except they sold that off in late 2020
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for a gain of 1.6 billion.
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And it still wasn't enough to offset
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their operating losses that quarter.
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- Now, we're not saying you should dump your Uber stock
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if you happen to have it,
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all this may sound bad,
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but Wall Street doesn't seem to be overly bothered by it.
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Maybe Uber will someday become the Amazon
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of transportation that they hope to be.
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But even if they don't,
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we should be weary about what these companies
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are trying to accomplish
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because the end game of blitzscaling
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sounds less like modern innovation
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and more like old fashioned monopoly.
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And the only point of having a monopoly
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is to be able to squeeze your workers and customers.
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- Ideally, the market should reward companies
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that truly innovate and make industries more efficient
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and productive, and some are genuinely doing that.
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- But we shouldn't let the mystique of tech distract us
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from the fact that some of the biggest players
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have just been buying their way into the game.
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And that's our two cents. - And that's our two cents
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- To see the real world effect these companies
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can have on their workers,
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check out this episode of Future of Work,
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