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Why Rent Is Rising In The U.S. - YouTube
Channel: CNBC
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rent in America is getting more
expensive no matter where you
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live. rent growth is accelerated
coast to coast in big cities,
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Rural areas. East West, South
North is across the entire
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economy. The areas
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where we are seeing the
strongest rent growth are in
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places like Austin, Texas.
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Yeah, so my name is Maria and I
live in Austin, Texas. During
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the pandemic, a lot of people
began to leave. And actually,
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the rent dropped that year. By
$100. I am due to renew my rent,
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and there was a spike of $400.
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Making matters worse, few of the
new homes and construction are
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affordable,
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rental demand continues to be
extremely strong. And the rental
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units that are being built are
the more expensive ones, that is
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the higher end ones.
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Meanwhile, workers' pay isn't
increasing enough to match the
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new rent.
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We had wage supression for 40
years. And then we have the
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period now where wages are
growing, especially at the low
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end. And so the question is, how
long will that continue?
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Experts say the rent increases
will have an impact on the
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economy.
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A lot of the monthly expense for
the typical household is money
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that's going toward the rent, or
to upkeep of the house. So it is
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a very important part of all of
consumer expenditures.
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In the most competitive markets.
Rents are creeping toward record
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highs, renters in smaller
markets are feeling the squeeze
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too. For example, one-bedroom
rentals in Gilbert, Arizona
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spiked over 116% In the past
year. Meanwhile, rent for a
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single-family home is growing at
its fastest pace since 2005.
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According to CoreLogic. So how
did we get here? One answer is
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the bounce back from the
pandemic.
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You saw tech companies, major
firms moving to smaller cities,
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cities like Pittsburgh, Austin,
San Antonio, Charlotte, these
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are cities that really started
booming because workers had more
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flexibility. And when the city
starts booming, of course, the
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rents go up because it's a
supply and demand issue.
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But the story goes back further
than that, all the way back to
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the Great Recession.
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President Obama you listening?
This has been building really
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since the end of the financial
crisis back a little over a
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decade ago, a lot of communities
have made it more difficult to
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build more homes closer to the
urban cores, building materials,
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particularly lumber has been in
short supply. That's been a
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problem of labor. You know, a
lot of people left the
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construction trades in the
housing bust back a decade ago.
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And because of changes in
foreign immigration laws, we
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have a lot fewer foreign
immigrants coming into the
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country, many of those folks
would work in the construction
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trades. Also a lot of smaller
builders, they rely on loans
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from banks. And since the
financial crisis, banks,
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particularly smaller banks,
midsize banks, have been unable
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to because of regulatory changes
and other reasons unable to to
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provide enough loans. So you
know, there's a melange of
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things going on here.
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After the financial crash of
2008. house building stalled by
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the end of the 10s. Renters had
fewer options, especially in
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real estate hotspots
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pre-Covid, we saw a huge rush to
urban centers, millennials love
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to live in cities longer, they
were actually living there
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longer than the previous
generations their age had
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because they weren't able to get
out and afford to buy homes
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because home prices were so
high. So you had so much demand
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in the cities,
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then the pandemic hit.
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So if you look at some of the
high rise apartment buildings in
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the really dense central
business districts of the big
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cities spreads were actually
declining in the first 12 months
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of the pandemic. But
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smaller cities like Phoenix and
Austin received more of those
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remote workers. That's an prices
upward for people like Maria
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right now, I would say for a
studio is probably $2,000. This
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place it's a one bedroom was
originally set at 1700. When I
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first moved in,
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Maria is a teacher and needs to
commute to work every day, she
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and many other Americans don't
have the luxury to move further
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away from work to save cash
that's creating wider issues in
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the economy.
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There's a lot of evidence that
the lack of housing closer to
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where the demand is and urban
cores is having a meaningful
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negative consequence on long
term economic growth so we can
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figure out a way to change
zoning rules and laws and get
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the lumber and land and labor
that we need are able to build
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closer where the jobs are, you
know, our economy will be able
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to grow more quickly more
strongly in the longer run.
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renters in the traditionally
cheaper suburbs are feeling the
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burden too. economists say that
finding any home to rent right
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now is uniquely difficult.
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Because the vacancy rates are
really so low. It's the lowest
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we've seen in the generation.
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Coming out of the pandemic, it's
likely for rents to keep rising.
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Fortunately, builders are
ramping up their building, they
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can make a lot of money, you
know, with rents this high and
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house prices this high. So they
have a lot of incentive to put
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up more homes. And that's
happening slowly but surely we
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are seeing more homes put up. So
that's a good sign.
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And we've seen an increase in
single family housing starts.
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That's really important, because
that's the preferred housing
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structure during the pandemic,
so having investors come in
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buying homes might maybe puts a
little upward pressure on home
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prices. Sure, maybe it does. But
it does increase the stock of
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single family rental homes
available in the market, and
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should help to moderate rent
growth.
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And in the cities, some realtors
are weighing whether to convert
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their less busy office districts
into residential neighborhoods.
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The idea is to say that there
are some empty buildings, you
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know, brick and mortars already
established, but maybe one can
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repurpose it into residential
units.
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For the short term, renters are
dealing with the market.
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If I had signed the lease I
would have it would be taking a
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lot of my savings and so I
decided to move to a new
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building. I'm losing about 150
square feet.
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These hikes are hitting us
citizens at an inopportune time.
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over decades, wages for most
workers have stagnated.
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The wages and benefits of a
typical worker were suppressed
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in the period. For decades after
1979 growth was very slow. There
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was growing inequality that
worked against the middle; in
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effect against anybody in the
bottom 90%.
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In 2019, Oregon became the first
state to impose statewide rent
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control. They cap increases at
about 7%. cities like New York,
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San Francisco and Washington DC.
Also limit rent increases, these
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policies have some benefits. One
study found that renters were
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about 20% more likely to stay in
their homes with rent control.
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Other economists think that rent
control does more harm than
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good.
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So what history has shown is
that by putting a rent control,
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yes, its benefit temporarily for
people to pay lower rent, but
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that deters incentive to build
more homes or provide money for
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maintenance. So all the housing
stock steadily deteriorates over
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time, and one does not want to
see that. So we want to
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encourage more production, the
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answer to rising rents may be in
the job market. both Congress
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and the Fed have pumped stimulus
into the economy, it should
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eventually help some workers
earn higher wages,
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there's been a huge increase in
the demand for goods and
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services. So we're gonna see a
period of sustained low
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unemployment. This has always
led to faster wage growth for
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those in the middle and the
bottom. The other related
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question is, will we see the
structural changes, then I'll
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build us into the economy rather
than be an episode of a period
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of low unemployment. And I think
that will require improving
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labor standards. So you know,
putting in the $15 minimum wage
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and rebuilding collective
bargaining, I think that will
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mean paying attention to
maintaining low
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unemployment, which means that
the answer to rising rents might
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be getting yourself a raise, or
finding roommates.
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They're not building enough
affordable housing right now
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because for builders, the cost
of construction is so high, due
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to a high cost for land labor
materials shortages, for
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materials, shortages of labor,
that they can't build affordable
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housing.
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You know, it took us 10 years to
get into this predicament. It's
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not going to be solved next year
or the year after it's, it's
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gonna be 10 years before we
solve this problem.
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