Why Rent Is Rising In The U.S. - YouTube

Channel: CNBC

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rent in America is getting more expensive no matter where you
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live. rent growth is accelerated coast to coast in big cities,
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Rural areas. East West, South North is across the entire
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economy. The areas
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where we are seeing the strongest rent growth are in
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places like Austin, Texas.
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Yeah, so my name is Maria and I live in Austin, Texas. During
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the pandemic, a lot of people began to leave. And actually,
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the rent dropped that year. By $100. I am due to renew my rent,
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and there was a spike of $400.
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Making matters worse, few of the new homes and construction are
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affordable,
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rental demand continues to be extremely strong. And the rental
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units that are being built are the more expensive ones, that is
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the higher end ones.
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Meanwhile, workers' pay isn't increasing enough to match the
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new rent.
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We had wage supression for 40 years. And then we have the
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period now where wages are growing, especially at the low
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end. And so the question is, how long will that continue?
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Experts say the rent increases will have an impact on the
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economy.
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A lot of the monthly expense for the typical household is money
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that's going toward the rent, or to upkeep of the house. So it is
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a very important part of all of consumer expenditures.
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In the most competitive markets. Rents are creeping toward record
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highs, renters in smaller markets are feeling the squeeze
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too. For example, one-bedroom rentals in Gilbert, Arizona
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spiked over 116% In the past year. Meanwhile, rent for a
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single-family home is growing at its fastest pace since 2005.
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According to CoreLogic. So how did we get here? One answer is
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the bounce back from the pandemic.
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You saw tech companies, major firms moving to smaller cities,
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cities like Pittsburgh, Austin, San Antonio, Charlotte, these
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are cities that really started booming because workers had more
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flexibility. And when the city starts booming, of course, the
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rents go up because it's a supply and demand issue.
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But the story goes back further than that, all the way back to
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the Great Recession.
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President Obama you listening? This has been building really
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since the end of the financial crisis back a little over a
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decade ago, a lot of communities have made it more difficult to
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build more homes closer to the urban cores, building materials,
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particularly lumber has been in short supply. That's been a
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problem of labor. You know, a lot of people left the
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construction trades in the housing bust back a decade ago.
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And because of changes in foreign immigration laws, we
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have a lot fewer foreign immigrants coming into the
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country, many of those folks would work in the construction
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trades. Also a lot of smaller builders, they rely on loans
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from banks. And since the financial crisis, banks,
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particularly smaller banks, midsize banks, have been unable
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to because of regulatory changes and other reasons unable to to
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provide enough loans. So you know, there's a melange of
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things going on here.
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After the financial crash of 2008. house building stalled by
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the end of the 10s. Renters had fewer options, especially in
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real estate hotspots
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pre-Covid, we saw a huge rush to urban centers, millennials love
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to live in cities longer, they were actually living there
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longer than the previous generations their age had
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because they weren't able to get out and afford to buy homes
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because home prices were so high. So you had so much demand
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in the cities,
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then the pandemic hit.
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So if you look at some of the high rise apartment buildings in
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the really dense central business districts of the big
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cities spreads were actually declining in the first 12 months
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of the pandemic. But
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smaller cities like Phoenix and Austin received more of those
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remote workers. That's an prices upward for people like Maria
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right now, I would say for a studio is probably $2,000. This
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place it's a one bedroom was originally set at 1700. When I
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first moved in,
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Maria is a teacher and needs to commute to work every day, she
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and many other Americans don't have the luxury to move further
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away from work to save cash that's creating wider issues in
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the economy.
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There's a lot of evidence that the lack of housing closer to
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where the demand is and urban cores is having a meaningful
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negative consequence on long term economic growth so we can
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figure out a way to change zoning rules and laws and get
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the lumber and land and labor that we need are able to build
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closer where the jobs are, you know, our economy will be able
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to grow more quickly more strongly in the longer run.
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renters in the traditionally cheaper suburbs are feeling the
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burden too. economists say that finding any home to rent right
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now is uniquely difficult.
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Because the vacancy rates are really so low. It's the lowest
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we've seen in the generation.
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Coming out of the pandemic, it's likely for rents to keep rising.
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Fortunately, builders are ramping up their building, they
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can make a lot of money, you know, with rents this high and
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house prices this high. So they have a lot of incentive to put
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up more homes. And that's happening slowly but surely we
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are seeing more homes put up. So that's a good sign.
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And we've seen an increase in single family housing starts.
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That's really important, because that's the preferred housing
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structure during the pandemic, so having investors come in
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buying homes might maybe puts a little upward pressure on home
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prices. Sure, maybe it does. But it does increase the stock of
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single family rental homes available in the market, and
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should help to moderate rent growth.
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And in the cities, some realtors are weighing whether to convert
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their less busy office districts into residential neighborhoods.
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The idea is to say that there are some empty buildings, you
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know, brick and mortars already established, but maybe one can
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repurpose it into residential units.
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For the short term, renters are dealing with the market.
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If I had signed the lease I would have it would be taking a
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lot of my savings and so I decided to move to a new
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building. I'm losing about 150 square feet.
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These hikes are hitting us citizens at an inopportune time.
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over decades, wages for most workers have stagnated.
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The wages and benefits of a typical worker were suppressed
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in the period. For decades after 1979 growth was very slow. There
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was growing inequality that worked against the middle; in
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effect against anybody in the bottom 90%.
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In 2019, Oregon became the first state to impose statewide rent
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control. They cap increases at about 7%. cities like New York,
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San Francisco and Washington DC. Also limit rent increases, these
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policies have some benefits. One study found that renters were
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about 20% more likely to stay in their homes with rent control.
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Other economists think that rent control does more harm than
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good.
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So what history has shown is that by putting a rent control,
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yes, its benefit temporarily for people to pay lower rent, but
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that deters incentive to build more homes or provide money for
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maintenance. So all the housing stock steadily deteriorates over
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time, and one does not want to see that. So we want to
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encourage more production, the
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answer to rising rents may be in the job market. both Congress
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and the Fed have pumped stimulus into the economy, it should
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eventually help some workers earn higher wages,
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there's been a huge increase in the demand for goods and
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services. So we're gonna see a period of sustained low
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unemployment. This has always led to faster wage growth for
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those in the middle and the bottom. The other related
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question is, will we see the structural changes, then I'll
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build us into the economy rather than be an episode of a period
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of low unemployment. And I think that will require improving
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labor standards. So you know, putting in the $15 minimum wage
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and rebuilding collective bargaining, I think that will
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mean paying attention to maintaining low
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unemployment, which means that the answer to rising rents might
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be getting yourself a raise, or finding roommates.
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They're not building enough affordable housing right now
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because for builders, the cost of construction is so high, due
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to a high cost for land labor materials shortages, for
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materials, shortages of labor, that they can't build affordable
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housing.
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You know, it took us 10 years to get into this predicament. It's
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not going to be solved next year or the year after it's, it's
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gonna be 10 years before we solve this problem.