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Why Do Billionaires Have So Much Debt? - YouTube
Channel: unknown
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INTRO:
Usually, one of the top financial
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priorities for us average people is to get out of
debt. Whether that be student loans, car loans,
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or a mortgage, we want to pay them off as soon
as possible to minimize the interest we pay.
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If we had the money, most of us would avoid
debt altogether, but ironically, some of the
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richest people in the world also have the most
debt in the world. By now, I’m sure all of you
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guys have heard about Elon’s plans to takeover
twitter for $44 billion. And given that Elon’s
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net worth is currently hovering at about a quarter
trillion dollars, it’s not impossible for him to
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just pay cash. Yet, he’s planning on taking out
quite a bit of debt. The current plan is to take
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out $13 billion in debt against Twitter, and
$12.5 billion in debt against his Tesla stake.
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This means that he’s taking out a total of
$25.5 billion in debt. Now, Elon may choose
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to pay more cash by the time the deal closes
in order to minimize the risk of a margin call,
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but the root question still stands. Why even deal
with debt and banks and interest payments when you
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don’t have to? This doesn’t just apply to large
purchases Twitter either. Many billionaires will
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take out debt to buy homes, yachts, and private
jets even though these purchases are a miniscule
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portion of their net worths. Elon himself had 5
mortgages totaling $61 million before he decided
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to sell all his houses and move to Texas. So, why
do billionaire voluntarily take out so much debt?
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MAXIMIZING RETURNS:
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One of the main reasons rich individuals prefer
to take out debt instead of just paying cash
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is to maximize their returns. Given that they’re
already rich, they’re well aware of how to produce
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significant returns on their money. Whether
that be investing in commercial real estate,
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investing in stocks, or putting it all towards
another business, these guys are experts at
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consistently beating the market. Take Tesla
for example. Since they went public in 2010,
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the stock has grown from $4.15 to $870 today.
This comes out to an impressive 200x in 12 years
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or an annual rate of return of 54.585%. And
that’s just the returns that Tesla has produced
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as a public company. Usually, the majority of the
gains are made before companies go public. So,
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for it to make financial sense for Elon to
sell his Tesla stock and let’s say buy Twitter,
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Twitter would have to reliably produce more than
54.585% per year. Now of course, Tesla isn’t going
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to grow at this rate forever, but I think you
get the point. Twitter would have to consistently
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beat the Tesla’s annual return for it to be a
worthwhile investment. And the truth is, this
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is not very likely. First of all, it doesn’t seem
like Elon is even buying Twitter to make money.
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It looks like he’s buying it for social
reasons and to hopefully create change.
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So, while Twitter may naturally grow to $100
billion or something under Elon’s leadership,
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it’s not likely that it becomes like Facebook and
reaches a trillion dollar market cap or anything.
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So, from Elon’s perspective, it makes sense to
minimize the capital that he does tie up with
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Twitter given that it’s just a side project. This
same principle applies to much smaller purchases
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as well. For example, let’s go back to Elon’s $61
million mortgage, this took place in early 2019.
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At the time Tesla was just starting to recover
from production hell and nearly going bankrupt.
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Shortly after Elon took out these mortgages, Tesla
stock actually plummeted to just $36 per share in
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June of 2019. Now, imagine if Elon decided to sell
$61 million worth of Tesla stock to pay for his
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properties instead of taking out a mortgage. Since
this low in 2019, Tesla stock has grown nearly 23x
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meaning that the $61 million that he sold to
buy his properties would now be worth $1.403
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billion. Even if we assume that the properties
appreciated to $100 million, Elon would have left
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$1.3 billion on the table and that’s not even
including future growth. This argument becomes
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even more relevant when you’re talking about
depreciating assets like a private jet or a yacht.
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Such purchases are basically guaranteed
to lose 70 to 80% of their value if you
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own them for a long period of time, so it makes
no sense to pay for these purchases up front.
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The only reason you would pay for them
upfront is for some sort of peace of mind,
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but in terms of returns, taking out
debt is absolutely the way to go.
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ILLIQUID:
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Aside from trying to maximize returns, one of the
key reasons billionaires take out debt is because
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they have no choice. While they may have tens
of billions or hundreds of billions on paper,
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the vast majority of this is simply paper
wealth and completely illiquid. For example,
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over the past week, Elon sold $8.4 billion
worth of Tesla stock to raise the cash that he
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committed to put up for Twitter. This sale itself
caused Tesla stock to fall 12% in a single day.
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Imagine if Elon had to sell 5 times that amount
to raise the full cash required to buy Tesla.
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By the time he was done selling,
Tesla would likely be down 60 to 70%
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if not more. Aside from plummeting the shares of
his own company, he would have to deal with so
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much backlash from Tesla shareholders. Many Tesla
shareholders are already pissed off that Elon
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sold Tesla stock to buy Twitter. To many of them,
Twitter not only seems like unfavorable exchange,
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but it also seems like a unnecessary distraction.
And they haven’t been scared to hold back their
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thoughts either. This one Twitter user posted “I
don’t like that you sold shares, Elon. Your money
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is not the last one out. I know people who got
margin called today. Not cool.” This other user
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tweeted “I'm more disappointed he used it to buy
Twitter. Genuine question, how many more years
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does Twitter have?” And all of this is just for a
12% sell off. Elon would literally be burned alive
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if he caused the stock to sell off 60 or 70%. And
this is the same case with other founders as well.
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Bill Gates for example had to spend 25 years to
cash out his Microsoft position. At least, these
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guys have the option to sell if they really want
to. Many smaller billionaires don’t have a choice
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due to stock vesting. Company owners usually
don’t want high level executives or employees
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to sell off a bunch of stock if the company is
going through a rough spot. These guys selling
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would just cause the stock to dip even further
and leave the company off in a worse position.
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So, most companies implement a policy called stock
vesting that prevents employees from selling their
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stock for a set period of time. Google and Apple,
for instance, follow a 4 year vesting schedule.
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So, when we see headlines like
Sundar Pichai made $281 million
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last year or Tim Cook made $265 million last year,
just know that while this is technically true,
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they won’t actually have access to this money for
years to come. The only money they have access to
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instantly is their cash compensation which for
Sundar Pichai is quote on quote only $650,000.
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So, while someone like Sundar or Tim can
comfortably afford a $20 or $30 million
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mansion on paper, they don’t actually have the
cash upfront which forces them to take a mortgage.
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MINIMIZING TAXES:
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While maximizing returns and liquidity are
significant considerations, something that
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we haven’t even talked about is taxes. Now, a lot
of people think that billionaires should be taxed
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way more, but really this wouldn’t even make a
difference because these guys implement several
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clever strategies to minimize taxes, one of them
being taking out debt. While they'll have to pay 3
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or 5% interest on their loans, they can avoid much
more significantly more in taxes. Currently, the
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highest tax bracket for long term capital gains
is 20%. And if you live in California like many
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of these billionaires do, you’ll also have to deal
with state income taxes. And to make things worse,
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California doesn’t discern between capital
gains and regular income, so you’ll have to
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pay the full 13.3% to California. This means
that your total tax load comes out to 33.3%.
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Now, I’m not looking to argue whether this is a
fair amount or not, but this strongly discourages
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billionaires from selling their stock. Going
back to Elon’s $61 million mortgage, we already
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calculated that Elon would’ve left $1.3 billion on
the table if he paid for these properties in cash,
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but this doesn’t include taxes. If we tack on
a 33.3% tax, we’ll see that Elon would’ve had
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to sell $91.5 million worth of stock to
pay for these properties in cash. Again,
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given that Tesla stock has grown 23x since Elon
bought these properties, that $91.5 million
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is worth $2.1 billion today meaning that Elon
would’ve straight up left $2 billion on the table.
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And looking forward, if Tesla grows
another 5x within the next 10 to 20 years,
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that $91.5 million purchase which was a
miniscule portion of Elon’s wealth even in 2019
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would be worth $10 billion. So, when you have
exponential growth working in your favor, you want
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to be as invested as possible and you definitely
don’t want to bleed any money to the IRS.
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INFLATE AWAY DEBT:
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While everything we’ve covered so far are great
reasons to take out debt, even if none of those
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reasons applied, the rich will still take out
debt for one reason and that reason is inflation.
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Over the past year, for everyday Americans
inflation has been devastating given rapidly
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rising everyday expenses. But, for people who are
holding debt, it’s actually rather beneficial.
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Here’s the thing, the amount of money you owe
is not going to go up because of inflation.
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But, the amount of money you earn will go up. Now,
unfortunately, wages don’t always keep up with
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inflation especially in times of high inflation.
And while this strategy works best if your
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income scales perfectly with inflation, it’s also
applicable even if your income doesn’t quite keep
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up especially over the long term. For example,
a dollar today is only worth half as much as a
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dollar from 1992. Now, let’s assume that you got a
30 year fixed rate mortgage in 1992, for $200,000.
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At first, maybe half of your net income goes
towards your mortgage payment. After 30 years
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though, let’s say your income doubles thanks
to inflation and promotions. At this point,
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the same mortgage payment only accounts for
a quarter of your net income. And that’s with
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relatively conservative growth numbers. What if
your income actually grows 5 or 10x in those 30
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years? That mortgage would become a miniscule
expense by the time you pay it off. And this
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is especially applicable if you have a business
in a high growth area like many billionaires.
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It’s not just billionaires using this strategy
either. This is one of the key strategies
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governments rely on to reduce their debt load
over the long term. They just inflate it away.
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Now, I would argue that governments have taken
this to an unacceptable extreme but that’s a
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wholenother conversation. All you need to know is
that making a debt payment in the future should be
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easier than it is right now, so rich individuals
prefer to leverage this to their advantage.
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TIME TO GO IN DEBT?:
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Hearing all of these advantages, it’s likely that
many of you guys are wondering if this strategy
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would work for you. And, unfortunately, if you
have to ask that question, the answer is probably
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no. The best course of action for the average
person is to pay off student loans, car loans,
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and credit card loans as fast as possible or not
take take out these loans in the first place.
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There is one area in which the average person
could leverage this strategy, but it requires
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that they’re disciplined and willing to invest
regularly. Instead of taking out a 10 or 15 year
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mortgage, it would be smarter to take out a 30
year mortgage, and invest the monthly savings
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into the S&P 500. But, if you know that you won’t
be that disciplined at that you’ll end up spending
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this money instead investing it, it’s better to
just get the shorter mortgage and pay off the
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debt. And given that the average person falls
into this category, sticking to Dave Ramsey’s
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advice is likely the best course of action. But
that why it makes sense for many billionaires
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to take out debt instead of paying cash. If
you were a billionaire, would you still take
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out debt? Comment that down below. Also, drop
a like if this video gave you a new perspective
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on debt. And of course, consider checking out
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