5 Best Tech Stocks to Buy Now for 2020 - YouTube

Channel: Let's Talk Money! with Joseph Hogue, CFA

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If you want growth and returns, there鈥檚 no better stock sector than tech.
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The technology companies in the S&P 500 have doubled the market return over the last five
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years and it may just be getting started!
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In this video, I鈥檒l show you how to find the best tech stocks to buy then reveal the
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top five stocks for your portfolio.
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We鈥檙e talking top tech stocks to buy today on Let鈥檚 Talk Money!
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Beat debt.
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Make money.
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Make your money work for you.
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Creating the financial future you deserve.
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Let's Talk Money.
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Hey Bowtie Nation, Joseph Hogue with the Let鈥檚 Talk Money channel.
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A special shout-out to all you in the nation, thank you for spending a part of your day
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here.
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If you鈥檙e not part of the community yet, just click that little red subscribe button.
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It鈥檚 free and you鈥檒l never miss an episode.
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We鈥檙e starting a great series of videos today, an idea straight out of a suggestion
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from one of you in the bow-tie nation.
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Over 11 episodes, we鈥檒l be looking at the best stocks to buy but doing it in a way that鈥檚
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not only going to grow your portfolio but protect it as well.
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Now those of you in the nation have heard me say how important it is to pick stocks
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from each sector of the economy.
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We鈥檙e talking stocks from energy companies, tech, consumer goods and so on.
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Too many investors get excited about one specific sector like that growth in tech or the dividends
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in consumer staples, they plow all their money into stocks in just a couple of sectors and
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get absolutely destroyed in the next bear market.
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A lot of times, you may not even realize it鈥檚 happening until it鈥檚 too late.
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You might be screening for dividend stocks to buy.
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You narrow your list and invest, but by virtue of limiting your picks to the top dividend
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stocks, you might also be limiting your portfolio to those sectors that pay the highest dividends.
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This is supremely important and I can鈥檛 believe we haven鈥檛 covered yet on the channel.
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Over these 11 episodes, one for each stock sector, I鈥檒l show you how to pick the best
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of breed in each.
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We鈥檒l look at some of the big trends and how to pick stocks to buy, then I鈥檒l reveal
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my five favorite stocks in each.
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Now understand, you don鈥檛 necessarily need all five stocks in all 11 sectors for a great
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portfolio.
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I would recommend putting at least two or three stocks from each sector into your portfolio.
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I鈥檓 also going to show you a couple of exchange traded funds you can buy to get broad exposure
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to the sectors and share the simple strategy I use to get market returns plus a few extra
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percent every single year.
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So let鈥檚 get started because I鈥檓 excited to talk tech with you.
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If you鈥檙e coming in later to the series, I鈥檒l link in the first comment below the
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video to the most recent video.
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I鈥檒l also be linking in the video description, all the videos in the series so you can see
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all the stocks for each sector.
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If you鈥檙e coming in later, will link up the other videos in the series in the first
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comment.
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If you don鈥檛 go with any of the stocks in a sector, consider a position in one of the
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sector funds to get that exposure.
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Here鈥檚 that graphic again of the stock sectors and today we鈥檒l be looking at tech including
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semiconductors, software, storage and internet companies.
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Picking these five tech stocks to buy, I screened for a lot of the fundamentals we鈥檝e talked
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about on the channel.
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I screened for companies with increasing revenue and cash flow over the last few years.
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With the economy growing, this was most companies but it did screen out a few losers in downward
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trends.
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Another factor I looked for, and all of you in the bowtie nation are probably tired of
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hearing me talk about this one is the operating margin.
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If there is one single factor you look for in picking stocks, it should be the operating
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margin.
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This is the operating income divided by the total sales for a company over the period,
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usually three months or a year.
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So if we look at the income statement here, we see sales or revenue at the top with $259
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billion for Apple.
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After the cost of goods or materials, the statement deducts the costs of running the
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company, these operating costs.
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Now what you get after removing the costs of running the business; marketing, administration,
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all these costs, is the operating profit, this $64.4 billion for Apple.
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It鈥檚 the truest and best measure for management鈥檚 ability of creating a profit from the business.
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And when you take that operating profit divided by the sales number, you get a profit percentage
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for how efficient and effective the business is.
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The pundits and financial media like to talk about the bottom-line earnings and the profit
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margin.
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Don鈥檛 look at that.
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The earnings includes the effect of debt and financial leverage as well as accounting tricks
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on taxes.
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Analysts look at this operating margin as the real measure of management鈥檚 success.
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When you compare this operating profitability across companies in the same sector and industry,
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you see which are best run and have those competitive advantages.
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I also screened for a positive dividend yield and this is one where a lot of tech investors
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will disagree.
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As growth companies, a lot of tech stocks aren鈥檛 going to pay dividends.
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The company is reinvesting every dime for that faster growth and that鈥檚 fine, I just
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like getting a cash return on my investments.
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I like the cash discipline on management from a dividend.
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Management can鈥檛 throw cash at worthless acquisitions and low-return projects because
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it has to meet that dividend.
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But this is probably one you can leave out if you like and I made an exception for two
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of our tech stocks.
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You鈥檒l open up the list to all those companies that don鈥檛 pay a dividend and will still
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find some solid investments.
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Beyond that fundamental analysis when picking these tech stocks, I looked for companies
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with a competitive advantage and catalysts for growth.
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The truth is, the market already knows which companies have faster revenue growth, which
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have higher operating margins and all that is mostly baked into the current price.
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It鈥檚 the competitive advantages and those catalysts that offer the real opportunity
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for long-term return.
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These are the companies with pricing advantages, brand advantages and upcoming events that
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can really boost their stock price.
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I鈥檒l share those five tech stocks I found next but first I want to highlight three tech
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funds you might also consider.
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If you can鈥檛 find stocks you really like, so if no stocks fit your screening, you might
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consider putting some money into these funds just to get that exposure to tech investing.
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Then you can invest in stocks of other sectors like we鈥檒l talk about in the series but
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still have some of that faster growth from tech.
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Our first tech fund is the Technology Select Sector SPDR, ticker XLK.
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This holds shares of 68 of the largest tech companies based in the U.S. and is pretty
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well diversified across all the separate industries.
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Companies in the fund have an average market cap of half a billion dollars so we鈥檙e talking
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the largest like Microsoft, Apple and Intel.
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The fund charges an expense ratio of 0.13% which is extremely low and pays a 1.25% dividend
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yield.
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While that XLK will give you broad exposure across tech stocks, this next one is more
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focused in one of the biggest tech themes right now.
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The Global X Cloud Computing ETF, ticker CLOU, holds shares of 36 companies offering cloud
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services and positioned to take advantage of the theme.
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These companies are quite a bit smaller with an average size of $100 billion and some are
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based outside the U.S. so you get some international exposure here.
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Understand that the expense ratio, that鈥檚 the money that gets deducted out of assets
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each year to pay the portfolio management, that鈥檚 0.68% a year so quite a bit higher
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but the idea is that these stocks are going to grow faster than the broader tech space
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as well.
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The last fund here before we get to those five tech stocks to buy is the Global X Internet
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of Things ETF, ticker SNSR, and this one invests in all the companies positioned to take advantage
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of WiFi, 5G and fiber optics.
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This is going to be a huge trend over the next ten years but I feel like it鈥檚 a little
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less well defined compared to maybe that cloud fund or other themes.
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Here you鈥檝e got 50 companies spread across semiconductors, software, hardware, telecom鈥eally
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across all of tech.
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These are smaller companies with an average market cap of only $26 billion but still established
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companies.
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The fund is also on the expensive side with that 0.68% expense ratio but could more than
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make up for it in growth.
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Even if you do invest in a few tech stocks like the ones I鈥檒l highlight now, you might
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still consider putting money in some of these funds.
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That鈥檚 going to give you the opportunity for higher returns from that individual stock
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pick but also spread your money out a little across the hundreds of companies in the fund.
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Our first couple of tech stocks will come as no surprise and are really bellwethers
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in the space.
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We start with Intel Corporation, ticker INTC, and its 2.24% dividend.
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Despite a really competitive market for semiconductors, Intel has been able to consistently beat expectations.
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For example, even with PC volumes down 10% on a year-over-year basis in the third quarter,
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the company reported sales that were $1.2 billion over earlier guidance.
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A lot of the strength was on a higher sales price with prices higher by three or four
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percent across products.
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And what this means to me, in a really competitive market, is the power of Intel鈥檚 brand and
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competitive advantages, that it鈥檚 able to drive that kind of pricing power.
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Shares are trading around 12-times earnings which are expected flat over the next year
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but you can see how management has consistently and easily beaten expectations.
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The board has increased the share buyback program to $20 billion over the next 18 months
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so that will drive earnings per share.
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Intel will benefit from both the cloud computing and internet of things themes and I think
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this is where the big upside surprises could come from in the next several years.
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The average analyst price target on Intel is the widest we鈥檒l see in the tech stock
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group with a high of $70 and a low of $42 per share.
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Most of the analysts are grouped right around $60 to $65 a share despite this range.
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I think the shares could easily go north of $60 each with earnings around $4.98 per share
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which is about 7% higher than expectations.
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Add that 9% price growth to a 2%+ dividend and you鈥檝e got a solid double-digit return
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here.
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Our next tech pick is one of the biggest, trillion-dollar Microsoft, ticker MSFT, and
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it鈥檚 1.4% dividend yield.
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Microsoft is quite a bit more expensive than I usually like to buy but just got a huge
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boost with the Pentagon鈥檚 $10 billion cloud computing contract.
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The company鈥檚 Azure cloud platform was already its big growth driver but this contract is
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absolutely huge.
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It鈥檚 not so much the size of the contract but the fact that this is probably going to
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open up a wave of federal and state cloud contracts for the company, none of which are
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priced into the shares yet.
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Now of course, Amazon will contest the Pentagon contract in courts and might have a decent
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case but it鈥檚 doubtful this one gets overturned.
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The rumors are that President Trump sought to influence the Pentagon鈥檚 decision because
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Amazon鈥檚 founder Jeff Bezos also owns the Washington Post.
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It鈥檚 going to be tough to prove and even if there is some evidence here, I think Microsoft
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still comes out with the contract.
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Microsoft鈥檚 cloud business also landed a $1.8 billion contract from the Department
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of Defense this year and a $2 billion contract from AT&T with CEO Nadella saying he has a
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line of sight to many more such deals.
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The shares are expensive at 28-times earnings but profits are expected to jump 10% over
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the next year and, just like Intel, you can see how management is consistently beating
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expectations.
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I actually think earnings could top $6 a share over the next year and just keep going from
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there.
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Microsoft is one of the most widely followed tech stocks among analysts and price targets
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are in a really narrow range here.
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The lowest target at $155 a share is just over 8% higher than the current price while
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the top target of $170 per share is almost 20% higher.
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I did a video highlighting Microsoft in August with a buy recommendation.
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The shares are up 8% from there and I like that $160 to $170 range for the shares.
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Probably the biggest surprise pick and one nobody is watching is Logitech International,
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ticker LOGI.
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Logitech is a Swiss maker of computer and mobile accessories and I think could potentially
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be an acquisition target eventually.
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The company makes some of the most popular accessories in the industry.
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I鈥檝e got two of their products on my desk right now, the Yeti microphone and the c920
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webcam which are pretty much both the defacto used by everyone in the blogging and podcasting
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space.
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Logitech recently acquired Streamlabs, again the standout leader in its space for video
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streaming.
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So here you鈥檝e got a company leading in its product categories, growing sales and
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cash flows by double-digits consistently and has a pristine balance sheet with no debt
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and half a billion in cash鈥hat鈥檚 a recipe for some larger player to come and buy it
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out.
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The company is just under $7 billion market cap so this would be an easy buy for so many
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in the tech space.
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Shares are trading at just under 20-times earnings which are expected 4% higher over
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the next four quarters but this stock isn鈥檛 widely covered by analysts.
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With solid consumption in gaming and its other core products, I think earnings could come
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out around $2.35 per share or higher.
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We鈥檝e got just three ranked analysts with targets on Logitech so take this with a grain
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of salt but that low target is around $36 per share with a high target of $58 per share.
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I like the growth potential on this one and there鈥檚 a good chance we see a big pop someday
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on a buyout offer.
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Now I鈥檝e got two tech stocks that a lot of investors are going to argue with but I
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truly believe these are the stocks of the future.
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Our first one is Alibaba Group, ticker BABA, which is the Amazon of China.
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Between all the sites owned by Alibaba, it has almost a monopoly control in Chines online
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consumption and it鈥檚 using the massive data it collects to become a data powerhouse as
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well.
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To give you an idea of scale here, just two of the company鈥檚 retail platforms, Taobao
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and Tmall, generated upwards of $909 billion in merchandise sales last year, more than
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Amazon and eBay combined!
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Alibaba is spreading globally much more effectively than Amazon has been able to do, especially
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across Asia, and the company鈥檚 cloud platform has a distinct advantage over Amazon鈥檚 AWS
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or Microsoft鈥檚 Azure in China.
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Shares of Alibaba trade for 28-times earnings, the data here is in Chinese Yuan so converted
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earnings are around $6.26 per share, but compare that to Amazon鈥檚 stock price of 78-times
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earnings and Alibaba is a steal.
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Earnings are expected 19% higher over the next year and this one has decades of growth
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ahead of it.
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Alibaba is widely covered by analysts with a low target of $207 and a high of $250 per
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share for upwards of 42% return from the current price.
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This is a long-term must own in my book so if you鈥檙e bummed about not being able to
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buy a share of Amazon for $1,800 each then pick up Alibaba here and wait for it to reach
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that price.
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If Alibaba is the Amazon of China then our next tech pick, Baidu, ticker BIDU, is the
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Google of the world鈥檚 second largest economy.
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I love these two China plays because they are the mirror twins of Amazon and Google.
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Baidu dominates search traffic in China, just like Google, it鈥檚 made investments in AI
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and self-driving, it鈥檚 got an online video platform just like YouTube.
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It鈥檚 basically just copying one of the most successful businesses in history and doing
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it in what could soon be the largest economy in the world.
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Shares of Baidu trade for 15.6-times earnings, again this is shown in Chinese Yuan, and even
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though earnings are expected lower next year on some divestitures, management has beaten
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expectations by an 37% on average over the last eight quarters.
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Again, take that winning business model, apply it to the Chinese growth story and get it
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for 15-times earnings versus a cost of 27-times earnings for shares of Google.
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I think this is another one you can add to your long-term retirement plan and be very
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happy.
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Analyst targets range from $108 per share on the low side to $181 per share over the
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next year and growth here is really over the next decade or better.
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Click on the video to the right for the latest update to our dividend portfolio challenge.
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This group of dividend stocks is beating the market and producing a cash yield double what
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the index is paying.
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Don鈥檛 forget to join the Let鈥檚 Talk Money community by tapping that subscribe button
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and clicking the bell notification.