How to Always Win Sports Betting | 5 Step Guide You Must See. - YouTube

do you want to know how to always win sports  betting if you do this is the only video you'll  

ever need to watch there are no others like it so  give it a chance to get going because i guarantee  

you will not regret it this video doesn't contain  any bs and i'm not going to hold anything back so  

please return the favor tap that like button  down below and don't forget to subscribe  

to this channel once you see the value unfolded  cheers oh and also this is not about match betting  

or arbitrage this is purely about winning sports  betting quick disclaimer before we get started  

though this is not to glamorize betting this is  just to show you and everybody else a way in which  

anybody can beat the bookmakers over and over  again repeatedly okay now they don't like this  

so after a short while they will limit or restrict  your betting account just to be aware of that it's  

not illegal and they will pay out but i think it's  important to mention that they will restrict your  

account in some way after a while unfortunately  that's just a fact but by the end of these five  

steps you'll understand why so before i show you  how to game the system and consistently win i want  

you to understand why this works and why it's so  different to what the media channels and pundits  

tell you to focus your attention on you see the  tv channels form guides newspapers are all part  

of the betting industries illusion they divert  your attention away from what really matters  

in order to make money from you the viewer i  mean what's more important the players form or  

the price of their bet these two statements give a  very clear answer first of all tv channels pundits  

affiliates etc direct your attention towards  form whereas the bookmakers make their money from  

and pay those tv channels and affiliates from  the prices that they offer but it doesn't just  

stop there it applies to the events that  you choose to bet on too so the tv channels  

bookies affiliates and social media and so forth  will often send you to events where there's poor  

value and you're far less likely to win because of  that poor value rather than sending you to places  

where the sports book may have got their pricing  incorrect so i'll show you exactly where and lay  

out in these five steps in just a second but to  highlight what i'm trying to say here paddy power  

offers usa horse racing of an evening on their  sports book where the prices are often wrong  

as are the prices on greyhounds with multiple  providers but what you really need to get around  

into your head here is that winning on sports  betting is not about picking the winner it's  

about getting the right price and then letting  variance do the hard work for you as explained  

on a previous video betting strategy will put on  the screen here that was previously published on  

the channel last year now if that's lost you look  at this brief excel explanation on screen here  

if there's a 50 chance of something happening it's  odds are as follows any bets that you strike above  

that price is your overall margin so sure the next  bet might not come in it might not be the winner  

in your favor but overall a wider sample of bets  means that you come out on top and you always win  

through taking value in the marketplace it's  extremely simple in theory but the harder part  

is finding those odds which are above their  true value because bookmakers and sportsbooks  

are doing the complete opposite and offering you  odds far below their true value in the alternate  

direction effectively giving you shorter odds than  the probable chance of something happening which  

is where these five steps come into things so here  we go let's get on with it run through them on  

screen with some examples starting with step one  which is looking in the right place now obviously  

i can't give you an arbitrary date and time this  is going to happen so we can go one better than  

that and i'll tell you the places where and why  it happens so you know usa horse racing paddy  

power already mentioned that lots of different  providers on greyhounds and that's because it's  

a fast-moving marketplace there's often lots of  changes and it's less interest for them and their  

traders and their trading room so you can pick up  on the changes before they do and skin them for it  

so if we're talking about horse racing you want to  look at the lower quality horse races particularly  

on all weather maybe later in the evening places  like dundalk if we're talking about football you  

want to look at the far lower leagues the less  interesting events or they'll be honest with you  

it can be a little bit tricky on football because  there's less opportunities for this greyhounds is  

a brilliant one because there's races every few  minutes particularly in the evening in the summer  

and a lot of the time they're not focused and  dialed in on that but the point here is they are  

not focused on the event as much as the general  public is not focused on the event and it is a  

fast-changing marketplace now that seems really  simple you'll see in a moment with an example but  

that is an extremely powerful thing to know and  focus on the second step is a direct comparison  

and we'll show you one on screen here so you  have betting exchanges and sports books exchanges  

very close to the starting time at start  and time in particular is even better  

uh there is the wisdom of crowds there's thousands  of people placing bets against each other and  

therefore that's the closest you're going to get  to the true value of true price of something so if  

you can find a direct comparison where the sports  book odds are bigger than the exchange odds then  

that is to your favor the bigger the disparity  the better and therefore the bigger the disparity  

between the two the larger you should stake so  look at this example on screen here with the  

greyhounds the prices have changed very quickly  and we're managing to back the greyhound at a  

price it previously was far bigger price despite  the price crashing late on now there is a little  

bit more to this as we're going to discuss in step  three which is be in the line so we've found this  

situation where there's fast moving odds on a you  know relatively obscure event that the bookies are  

not keeping their eye on and we're going to get  a value bet on however we are also looking for  

significant volume on the selection very close to  or at the start of the event or the starting time  

for the events you can see this one on the screen  here uh on BETDAQ we backed it on sportsbook odds  

of 3.75 the starting price was actually 3.0 a very  similar one that was over on bet365 we got to back  

it at 7 and it went off nearer to 5.5 so you can  see that there's a significant gamble or there's  

a little bit flurry of money coming down on this  selection it has shortened in odds significantly  

and we've got a far bigger price than what it was  actually valued at the start which takes us nicely  

into step four which is the confirmation so when  you see these confirming signals that's when you  

want to hit them harder so like i say the bigger  the disparate in the odds the bigger the gamble  

the closer it is to the start preferably on the  start or even if it's slightly delayed after the  

start they are three ticks in our box and that's  when we place a bet over the longer period of  

time you will emerge a consistent winner when  you do that now the biggest problem for anybody  

that should try this is bankroll because there  is gonna be a sequence of losing events at some  

point in time it's like flicking the coin you're  gonna have heads tails heads heads heads for so  

many rows however if you take value on those bets  over a period of time that are being bet at their  

best point in time where they're closest to their  true odds or true value then you will emerge a  

winner you'll be stunned at how many times these  types of situations happen on multiple different  

sports it could be cricket tennis uh it could also  be horse racing like i said the all weather events  

but greyhounds is the example here because it's  a very easy and clear one on screen but you'll be  

amazed at how often this actually happens and  last of all this takes us on to step five so  

understanding the process understanding the why is  extremely important and then repeating this over a  

longer sample okay so you've got to allow variance  to play out with that probability allow those  

losers to happen allow the winners to happen and  see the difference track it ideally on spreadsheet  

excel something like that and realize that that  is part of the process so although you remain  

always a winner over the longer term there will  be some losses on route but what you're doing  

there is quite sensible calculated and you're  understanding that short-termism isn't the way  

in which that you win through sports betting now  also one last thing just to add in there as well  

is you're gonna need some different accounts  with different bookmakers different sports books  

i'm not a condoning multi-accounting but you're  gonna need to do that because in the modern world  

a large problem for any anybody who's a  professional better or trader is avoiding  

the losing of accounts and the various commissions  that you rack up on route because these providers  

don't want to keep shelling out they don't  want to keep paying you they were there to  

make money from you not to give it to you okay  so i've given away something absolutely massive  

there and i appreciate not everybody will have got  it first time around so you may need to go back  

re-watch the video to digest it fully but  please remember i've given this away for free  

on youtube so repay the favor by tapping the like  button down below subscribing to the channel and  

checking out one of these videos in the end screen  here so we've got two videos which are directly  

related to this video first one is about betting  strategy previously mentioned the second one  

is about match betting a different method which  anybody can use to follow steps in order to turn  

bookmakers promotional offers into withdrawable  cash thanks for watching check them out