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Investing Time Horizon explained by a Financial Advisor - YouTube
Channel: ClientFirst Strategy
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- [Mitch] The truth about bear markets?
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Sometimes bear markets
will be you best friend,
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and sometimes bear markets
will become your worst enemy,
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and that has to do with Time Horizon,
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and that's what this video is all about,
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Let's get into into it.
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(upbeat electronic music)
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(subway trains passing)
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(upbeat electronic music)
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(upbeat electronic music)
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And we're back. If we
haven't met yet my name is
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Mitch Goldberg, I'm a financial
advisor and business owner.
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This YouTube channel is
about financial education.
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So there are times when a bear
market is your worst enemy
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and a bear market could also
be at times, your best friend.
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So, let's talk about that
because that has to do with
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Time Horizon and Time
Horizon has to do with
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how aggressive or
conservative you could be
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with your investments.
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So, there are three main
financial goals that I
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help clients with. There are
many financial goals, but
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the three most popular ones
are: Saving for a down payment
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to buy your first home,
Saving and investing for your
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child's or children's
education, and the last one
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the universal goal is: Retirement.
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So, they all have something
in common because you have
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a start date, when you start investing
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and you have an end date
when you reach the goal.
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The first major goal is
saving for a down payment.
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Now imagine if you've
put some money aside,
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you've put money in your savings account,
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and your checking account,
and you've invested
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some money outside of a 401k plan,
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because presumably your 401k plan is
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going to stay where it is,
you're not gonna use that money
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to put toward a down
payment for your fist home.
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So it takes a lot, and I understand this.
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My wife and I, you know a long time ago
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we bought our first home as well.
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It takes time, you have to sacrifice,
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you have to save, put away money.
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So you finally get to that point,
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imagine how you'd feel if the
money you had in the market
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was still in the market right before
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you're about to write your check
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for your down payment.
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And then we go into a bear market like
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2007 to 2009, when the markets went down.
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The major averages went down 50% or more.
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How would that affect
your ability to purchase
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the home you want? Okay -
that would probably have a
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very bad affect, a very negative affect
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and you would be kicking yourself for not
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taking that money out of the market,
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so my advice to clients
who go through that is
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to have your stock money out of the market
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and into cash equivalents
like CD's money markets,
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savings accounts, checking
accounts, that's where your
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down payment should be
well in advance of the time
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you even decide to
purchase your first home.
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So, popular goal number two
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is saving for your
child's College Education.
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So, here's a scenario: You have a baby,
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wonderful time of life,
and you decide to open up
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a 529 plan or also known
as College Savings plan
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for your new baby. And,
if we have a bear market
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and stocks go down, and you keep investing
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month in, month out the same dollar amount
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It means you're going to be buying
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more shares for a lower price
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of the mutual funds in the 529 plan.
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And that is a great thing, good
for you, good for the child.
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Because that means when
the market does recover,
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your money will grow that much quicker.
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And if you think of it
this way, if the child is
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9th, 10th, 11th grade - that means you're
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thinking about college
for your child, the goal
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is getting very close
and believe me your child
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is probably thinking about
college very much too.
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At that point - 9th, 10th
grade, you really wanna be
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ratcheting down the stock
risk, the stock exposure
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and upping your exposure
to money markets and
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fixed income funds.
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Why? Because, if you have
a severe bear market,
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and you're fully invested in
stock funds in the 529 plan,
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and we have another 2007
to 2009 style bear market,
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conceivably you could lose
50% or more of the assets
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in that account.
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How would you feel about
that? And, that would really,
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you know, take away the money
that you had for college.
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So, you want to avoid that
because like I said earlier,
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it's your Time Horizon that
dictates you risk tolerance.
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So, you have less time
to, uh, reaching the goal,
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you have to take less risk.
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Goal number three, it's the
universal goal it's: Retirement.
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Everyone's saving for
retirement, or at-least everybody
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should be saving for retirement.
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So, if you're 20, 30, 40 years
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away from your retirement.
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Maybe even more, you know
life spans are longer,
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people are living longer,
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so if you're 22, it's
quite conceivable that
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again if you're 22 today
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that your retirement date
might not come until, you know,
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you're 72, or later, Okay
it also depends on how well
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you did in preparing for
retirement, so the less preparation
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you do when you're young,
it means the longer you're
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probably going to have to
work when you're older.
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But having said that, if you're young,
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and that's debatable what age is young,
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but if you're got 30, 40, 50,
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20 years, even 15 years
away from retirement, you
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could afford to be more
aggressive with your investments
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especially if you're 30 or 40
years away from retirement.
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And, you want a bear market,
quit frankly a bear market
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is your friend, that means
you're borrowing more shares
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in your 401k plan of
the same mutual funds at
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lower prices, so when you
do ride the market back up
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you will really see you're assets grow.
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Now of course if you're, let's say,
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10, 15 years away from
retirement, you might
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not be fully invested in
stocks but maybe you'll be
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60% stocks,
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40% bonds, thereabouts depending on
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your individual risk profile,
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and maybe when you're five years, 10 years
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away from retirement or
even closer, you're going
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to really start to ratchet
up the fixed income and
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money market exposure, and
reduce the stock exposure.
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It's different for everybody
and I'm not saying you should
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be fully in cash when you
hit that retirement ramp,
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because you could still
conceivably have 20 or 30 years
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to live after that, so
you still need assets in
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the market to continue to grow in order to
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potentially stay ahead of
inflation, and make sure
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to help you potentially have more money,
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for your later years in retirement.
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I hope this video helped you
out with your understanding of
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investment Time Horizon.
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If it did, please give it a thumbs up,
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and subscribe to my YouTube channel.
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If you're in the market
for a new financial advisor
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my contact information can be found
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(upbeat electronic music)
at: ClientFirstStrategy.com
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Give me a call, let's talk about it,
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and we'll see if we're a good fit.
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Thank You so much for watching
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and until next time, I'll see you soon.
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