The 2022 Bitcoin Crash - Why The Crash is Inevitable! - YouTube

Channel: Proactive Thinker

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Whatever is happening with this thing called cryptocurrencies is insane.
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It still feels like it's not real.
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How much do you think bitcoins price was exactly a year ago鈥攍ess than 7K dollars.
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Within a single year, the price skyrocketed to 60K dollars.
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It's floating somewhere between 50 and 60K.
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Just five years ago, in 2016, the price of the bitcoin was less than 450 dollars.
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These kinds of moments push you to think twice about whether you are investing in the right
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asset or not because a 10 or 20K investment in bitcoin would have turned you into a multi-millionaire
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today.
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You could have purchased a Ferrari and start making YouTube videos where you could say
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- KNOWLEDGE!! - that suppose to be a joke )
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It's very uncertain where crypto prices are headed now.
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Honestly, at this point, I wouldn't be surprised if bitcoin crosses 100K dollars.
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I remember back in 2017, everyone was freaked out about how on earth bitcoin worth 15 or
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18K dollars.
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Little did they knew what 2021 have prepared for us.
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If you're feeling bad for missing the opportunity to invest in bitcoin 5, 7, or eight years
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ago, then let me introduce you to James How ells.
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He is a software developer who was one of the few early users of bitcoin.
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When mining bitcoin was super easy, he used to mine a lot from his bedroom using his personal
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computer.
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Now you can't since the network has grown so much that you need huge computer warehouses
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to mine even a single bitcoin.
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Back then, he mined over 7500 bitcoins from his little bedroom.
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He believed in this idea but had no clue that his hard drive soon will worth a fortune.
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Back then, bitcoin wasn't as exciting as today.
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It was only used on the dark web to exchange illegal goods.
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So when he was cleaning up his house, he thought that he had taken out all the information
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from that hard drive, including his bitcoins, but he didn't so he ended up throwing that
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hard disk with over 7500 bitcoins.
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Somewhere in the world, there is a hard drive with access to a bitcoin wallet with 7500
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bitcoins that worth over 427 million dollars.
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This guy was sitting on a pile of virtual gold.
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He threw away almost half a million dollars!
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Just imagine for a moment how bad is he feeling!
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He has spotted one in a lifetime opportunity.
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He did everything he could to take advantage out of it and then threw it away in the garbage
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with his own hands.
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He is only going to feel worst as the price of bitcoin keeps rising.
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But he is not the only one.
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Stefan Thomas also has a wallet with over 7000 bitcoin, but he forgot his 12-word password.
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Back in 2011, he produced an animated video explaining how digital currency works.
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For his efforts, a bitcoin enthusiast awarded him 7,002 bitcoins.
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And right now, he has a fortune of almost 400 million dollars that he cant access because
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he doesn't remember his key.
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Whenever you have a bad day, just remember these guys, i don't think you can mess up
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more than what these guys did.
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However, not everything is sunshine and rainbows when it comes to cryptocurrency because everything
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that rises will eventually fall, whether it's cryptocurrencies, the stock market or real
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estate, or any other assets.
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We have already experienced one Cryptocurrency crash at the end of 2017, and it seems like
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we might experience another one this year or in the foreseeable future.
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Of course, it's impossible to predict anything because the future is unknown and whoever
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claims to know the future is lying, but if we just take a look at the facts on the ground,
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we might be able to make a reasonable prediction based on the current circumstances so let's
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take a look at whether we are at the bring of another crypto crash.
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In March 2020, the price of the bitcoin was a little over 5K dollars.
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It already lost its momentum back, and experts predicted that it would slowly grow since
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then.
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To change the financial industry is almost impossible unless the government is backing
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you.
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But something unexpected happened around that time.
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Suddenly the future became uncertain, a global pandemic stopped the world from turning around,
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and we had absolutely no idea how on earth are we going to get out of it.
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Investors panicked, sold their stocks, so the stock market dropped by over 30 percent
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in less than a month.
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They couldn't even invest in real estate because most people lost their jobs due to the pandemic,
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and it seemed like they will not be able to pay their mortgages and the housing market
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will collapse.
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That's why they started buying gold because gold has always been the global currency of
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the world, and no matter what happens, gold will always hold its value, so gold prices
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rose instantly.
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In a few months, they crossed a breaking record of almost 2100 dollars per ounce.
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But something different was happening around the same time.
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Cryptocurrencies, especially bitcoin has already developed a reputation of being virtual gold.
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You might not be able to touch it, but there is a limited number of them, and it's backed
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but this huge network across the globe.
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So some investors turned to bitcoin to protect their wealth in such uncertain times, which
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led bitcoin price to rise, and finally, in a long time, the price crossed 11K dollars.
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But it wasn't just the price of the bitcoin that was rising so significantly but pretty
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much every other asset.
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The stock market was shooting through the roof; real estate prices grew by double digits.
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What do you think happened?
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The fed understood that if they are not going to act fast.
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This pandemic could get much worst than the 2008 crash.
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In 2008, it wasn't just the real estate market that collapsed, but rather it took down the
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banks with it since banks provided mortgages to these homeowners.
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On top of that, banks sold these mortgages in the form of securities to investors, so
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when everything collapsed, it took down with it banks, homeowners and investors, and unfortunately,
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the entire global economy.
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So the fed said: we are going to do whatever it takes in order to prevent such a recession
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like we had in 2008.
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And that meant printing money and buying corporate bonds.
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At first glance, it seems like how is that related to bitcoin.
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It definitely helped the stock market to rise faster than ever, but the fed didn't do anything
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to boost bitcoin.
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You see, when the government passed the stimulus bills and filled the economy with cash.
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A lot of people began to worry about inflation.
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More money in the economy means the real value of each dollar will decrease, which means
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holding cash was a bad idea.
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So investors were buying all kind of assets to preserve their wealth, including bitcoin,
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so bitcoin prices instantly started rising, but they rose a bit too fast and attracted
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speculators who wanted to profit from the rise of an asset which is what usually happens
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when a certain asset start rising too fast.
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So between September and January, the price increased from 10500 to almost 35K dollars.
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In less than 6 months, the price rose by over 220%.
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Everyone expected bitcoin to crash, but then this is what happened.
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Tesla bought 1.5 billion dollars worth of bitcoin, which boosted the demand through
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the roof.
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The news of Tesla investing in bitcoin sent shock waves across the world, pushing more
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investors to buy bitcoin.
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In a less than two month, doubled the price, and for the first time, ever bitcoin crossed
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60K dollars.
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To make things worst, Musk tweeted that you now buy Tesla with bitcoin.
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That gave a lot of legitimacy to bitcoin and made it even more popular.
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The real value of bitcoin is its network, the fact that millions of people use bitcoin
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and it makes the financial transaction easier.
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But no one knows how much bitcoin really worth.
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It could be worth 1 dollar per bitcoin or 100K per bitcoin.
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Everyone has his opinion.
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But the fact is, the recent bitcoin price spike is driven by people's fear of inflation,
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a bunch of speculators, and some tweets by the king of memes (Elon Musk).
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Of course, there are a lot of other factors that influenced the rise of bitcoin, but what
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happens when the fear of inflation will go away when interest rates will be raised.
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There is a good chance that the demand for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will fall,
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which will drive way speculators which will further drive the price down, which will scare
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off simple retail investors who wanted to profit from this spike.
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I personally believe that Tesla will sell its share of bitcoin once something like that
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is around the corner, but that's my option which could be entirely wrong.
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That doesn't mean that bitcoin will drop to 0 or it will drop its pre-pandemic levels
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but it will definitely drop! how big is that crash going to be?
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Well, only time will tell.
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But if you are a long-term investor, you shouldn't care, because personally, I believe that cryptos
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have a future, despite all the challenges they have to go through, despite the fact
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they are not going to replace fiat money, at least in the coming few decades.
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They still have a future because the world needs a decentralized financial system.
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Thanks for watching and until next time.