Why The Middle-Class Is Disappearing - YouTube

Channel: CNBC

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The middle class was once a symbol of the American dream, but the American middle class
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today paints quite a different picture.
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Being a middle class, I feel like you really just in between a rock and a hard place.
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You know you're in a spot where everyone's like, Hey, you're doing better than, you know, low class.
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You're doing great. You should be fine and you're underneath the people who are actually doing fine.
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It was at least a secure category.
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Your kids would go to a school that you felt at least OK about.
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You probably own a car or two and own your own home, and you could pay for your kid's college educations.
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So there are certain kinds of assumptions around being a middle class person that have sort of
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shattered.
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A survey in 2018 found that a third of middle-income adults don't have $400 to cover
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an unexpected expense
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In polls, when people are asked about being middle class, they frequently are less likely to say so, and
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more people now urge the pollsters to suggest that they're working class.
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So I think that many people who maybe in prior years would have thought of themselves as middle class now
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no longer think of themselves that way.
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So when we think about economic status, we think about it as some static, you know, state of the world
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that you are either poor or not poor; your middle class or you're not.
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But in fact, the reality is that many middle class families will experience one or a few years in
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poverty. In fact, most American families will have years where they'll be poor or near
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poor. That precarity, that uncertainty that is now a feature of the middle class experience for most
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U.S. families.
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So, what exactly happened to the American middle class?
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A study by the Pew Research Center discovered that the middle class, which was once comprised of the
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majority of Americans, has steadily shrunk since the 1970s.
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About 61% of American adults were considered middle class in 1971, compared to
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just 51% percent in 2019.
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However, the issue still remains widely debated
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When people think about the state of the middle class and whether or not it's shrinking.
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It really is a difficult question, and I think the reason why is that, as a nation, we've not actually
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established a formal definition of middle class.
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I was in a seminar recently where somebody literally said there is no middle class anymore.
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The middle class is gone.
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And I thought, Oh dear, you know, that's political rhetoric.
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And I understand that it's a sort of a standard for saying that folks in the middle are hurting, but it's
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just really not accurate.
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We looked at the size of the middle class in these 16 rich countries in 1985 and again in 2016.
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And one of the things that surprised me was the size of the middle class in the United States did not
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change. It was about 59% percent in 1985 and it was 59% percent in 2016
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.
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Experts instead prefer the term "squeezed" to describe what's happening to the middle class today,
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Even if the middle class hasn't statistically shrunk.
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I do think that the middle class faces more in the way of pressures to maintain or even build upon their
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position.
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What it takes to actually live a middle class life to have quality of life in many
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American cities is not what it once was.
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They're not necessarily able to pay their rent easily.
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They can't own a property.
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If they're in their thirties, they may not feel comfortable having kids because they'll realize that
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having a child would be too expensive.
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And, you know, forget about medical care if you have one thing happens to you physically.
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Often people don't have good enough medical care, they don't have any insurance.
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This all goes into making somebody part of the squeezed middle class.
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As the middle class lifestyle grows more expensive and uncertain, it's also moving farther beyond the
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reach of younger generations.
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In 2019, just 60% of millennials were part of middle income households in their 20s, compared
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with almost 70% of baby boomers.
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Meet Chantal Jacob.
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Chantal lives in suburban Texas with her husband and one child.
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And while a household income of just over $100,000 should put her family in the middle income tier.
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She says that her family is still struggling toward financial stability.
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Sounds great. Six figures.
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But once we got married, the taxes that come out of my check before I even get any money, before all of
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my benefits, $500 come out of my check automatically.
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And then you add an insurance, life insurance for my spouse, myself, and my son.
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And I also have money going aside for my son's college fund.
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It's not a lot because I can't do that much, but I want to have something for him.
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My check that starts off at about $3000 goes down to
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$2200 before I even get to touch it.
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Our rent's about $1700.
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Electricity is about $150.
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Phone bills, about $280.
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internet $60.
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We both have vehicles.
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Those are about $800.
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Insurance on those vehicles is about $400.
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On food, $400-$500 a month, but that's increasing.
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We budget down to the dollar, and sometimes it's very disheartening to work all week and have people
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tell you like, "Oh, you're so lucky you have a great job" and you're like, I don't know about that.
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There are several reasons why the middle class is feeling squeezed.
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The first reason is stagnated income.
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Between 1970 and 2018, the middle class share of aggregate income fell by
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19% in the U.S..
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In comparison, the share of aggregate income for upper income households saw a rise of 19%
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. Another study by the Brookings Institute found that income in the middle class has grown
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half as fast compared to both the bottom 20% and the top 20% of income tiers,
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once taxes and transfers were taken into account,
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I stay at a company for a while.
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My income becomes stagnant, you know, it increases by a couple thousand.
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I generally have to job hop to have increases in my income, which in itself
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is not security.
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Middle class workers over the last 40 years have not been able to adequately benefit from the productivity
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growth, the expansion of the pie in the economy.
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We've measured this and found that the typical worker has fallen 43 percentage points behind the
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growth of productivity.
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What that means is that the middle class worker could have earned 1 percentage point more
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per year in compensation growth, over the last 40 years.
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And they didn't get it because there was an erosion of labor share of overall income and
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because of rising inequality such that the top 10%, but particularly the top 1% and even more so
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the top 0.1%, took in much of the gains from the growth of the economy.
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While incomes stagnate, the cost of living has risen dramatically over the years.
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To put it into perspective, the average household income in the U.S.
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saw just a 16% increase over the last 50 years.
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In comparison, housing costs increased by 190% and college tuition shot up by
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nearly 264% in the same time period.
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I first moved in over here in these apartments I live in five years ago.
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My income, my rent was like $1100.
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It's now $1700.
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That's $600 increase happened.
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I did not have a $600 increase.
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My income did not increase at the same rate.
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Rising expenditures, rising prices in health, housing and education are very real, and they've
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put a tremendous amount of pressure on income on households in the middle whose income simply doesn't
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go as far as it used to.
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The situation is even worse in cities where the cost of living is already higher.
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An analysis in 2018 found that raising a family and a middle class lifestyle in expensive
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coastal cities like San Francisco or New York needs an income of at least $300,000 a year.
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For reference, just 10% of all households made $200,000 or over in 2020.
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I recently saw an apartment next to the building I work in Plano, and I was like, "It'd be great to walk
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across the street to work".
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And it was like $2,400 for an efficiency.
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And I'm like, "That's insane".
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And then it's like, for what I have, they call a townhome three bed, two bath, $5,500.
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I'm like, "Well, absolutely not".
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Like, I'm going to pay $5,500 dollars and I don't own it?
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It's not mine? It's just getting worse.
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And everyone is like, I feel like native people are being pushed out into the suburbs and then people
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from out of state can come in and enjoy the beautiful fruits of Dallas and have fun and be close
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to the restaurants.
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And you know, I have to live out here and you know, it's not bad, but it's not Dallas.
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I'm from Dallas. I grew up there.
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That's where I want to be. But how it is now, you know, it's just not affordable.
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Policy making might be both the fault and the solution of the middle class squeeze.
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There is no help whatsoever.
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There is no policy in place to assist people, and I feel like as soon as you get a job or as soon as
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you're working, they're just like, Oh, that's all you need is a job.
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You got it, you know, go forth and have at it.
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The stagnation of wages and paychecks for people started in the 70s, when productivity started
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growing more slowly, but really accelerated after 1970, 1980 when there was a huge growth of inequality
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when the top 1% took off, when the stock market grew, but people's paychecks didn't.
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And that has to do with issues of deregulation and excessive unemployment, the weakening of unions, the
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failure to raise the minimum wage.
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Globalization with low wage countries that really put the kibosh on blue collar job
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opportunities in many places.
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The point is that it's not that the economy got worse.
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It was that there were policy decisions made so that the economic growth did not filter
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down to the vast majority.
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In response, the Biden administration came into office in 2021 with a promise to
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revitalize the middle class.
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The one trillion dollar bipartisan infrastructure bill from November 2021 and the upcoming Build Back
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Better Act both include provisions aimed at financially supporting middle income families.
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But as Congress continues to find itself in stalemate.
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Only time will tell whether these bills would really have an impact on the survival of middle income
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households.
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I don't see any change affects my friends that were struggling or are still struggling.
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You know, I'm still budgeting down to every dollar trying to get things done.
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So I just feel like if the changes are happening, they're not trickling down fast enough for us to see
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the effects of it.
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I think that overall, the team with the Biden administration has done quite well.
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At the same time, they're up against really strong headwinds.
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We're talking about a global pandemic that persists.
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We're talking about historic levels of inflation and labor shortages that are leading to these sorts of
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supply chain gaps worldwide.
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So I think that both things are true.
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They've done a good job, but they also have a lot of work to do.
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The fate of the middle class could determine the future of the American dream.
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I just think we do need to be concerned because this has an effect on how people perceive the American
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experiment working for them, and there are expectations that there should be this upward growth
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in mobility. But I think we do have an increasingly precarious labor market for many
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Americans, and so it's important to note that this is also a feature of inequality.
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It's a shame that we have as much or more poverty now than we did 40 years ago, that the middle class is
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earning somewhat higher wages, but not in proportion to what they've increased their productivity
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over that time.
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And what this does is it adds to division.
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It hurts our democracy.
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It hurts our the upward mobility of the children of these families.
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That whole middle class of people is like teetering on the brink of ruin.
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One emergency, one catastrophe.
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And you can see even COVID shows you how quickly people who were doing good can just fall off and have
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nothing that should have been a wake up call that we need to change some things.