The ATR Indicator Is The Single Best Indicator Forex Traders Can Have (Use It or Lose It) - YouTube

Channel: No Nonsense Forex

[0]
there are over 10,000 indicators you can add to your chart at any given time and
[5]
out of all of those indicators the single best one on the planet doesn't
[10]
even try to tell you if prices going long or short doesn't even care
[15]
gangster and I gave it away in the thumbnail it's the ATR it's the average
[30]
true range which if I were to have ten thousand traders guess which one it was
[35]
going to be none of them would have picked the ATR and if you've ever used
[39]
it you are very surprised by this answer in terms of what the best Forex
[44]
indicator on the planet actually is so let's get right into it guys in this
[49]
video I'm gonna explain how the ATR works and just what it is and what it
[53]
does and then why you should be using it 100% of the time there should not be a
[58]
single trade that you make without consulting the ATR first that is why it
[65]
is the number one trading indicator on the planet because every single trader
[70]
on earth should be using it no other indicator can say that about now I
[75]
wanted to make this video kind of later but I push this to the front a little
[79]
bit because as you guys know a lot of you know I host something called the
[84]
Forex q and a podcast and what it is if you're unfamiliar is listeners will
[88]
ask me a question they'll go to no-nonsense forex.com slash ask VP and I
[93]
answer them as quickly as I can via email now some of those questions
[97]
and making the show and that's that's how the show is created from listeners
[102]
like you asking me questions now the very first episode I made episode 1 went
[107]
over the top four questions I already get just on the street you know anywhere
[111]
out in public in a bar you know acquaintances that I get when people
[116]
discover what I do just for the purpose of you not having to ask me a question
[121]
like that and then you could ask me something different if you wanted to so
[125]
that was constructive I think but what turned out happening is once I open this
[131]
up for questions the number one question I got that I probably get over
[136]
50% of the time as of right now is what are the indicators that you use in your
[142]
algorithm so people know that I use an algorithm which is not as daunting as it
[146]
sounds it's actually very simple of let's say four to six indicators that I
[153]
follow and if they all tell me to go long I go long if they all tell me to go
[157]
short I go short and that's how I do what I do and they want to know what
[162]
they are you know screw all this learning how to trade nonsense just tell
[166]
me what you use and I'll just use that and make a bunch of money the answer is
[171]
no every time stop asking there's no way I'm giving my
[175]
algorithm away to anybody it took three blown accounts thousands
[180]
of hours coming home and testing all these goofy indicators with on all
[185]
different settings on all different time frames and all different currency pairs
[188]
to get to the combination I have right now and if you think I'm just going to
[193]
give it away to you because you asked you're insane you're bold and I do
[197]
commend you for this hey I'm not mad at you for asking this question fortune
[200]
favors the bold nothing favours the timid so good on you
[204]
for being bold but if you think you're getting any piece of this you're wrong
[208]
until today I didn't even realize that the ATR was a piece of this algorithm
[214]
and I'll explain why in a minute but it is something I use on every single trade
[219]
I just for some reason didn't count it as part of what's on my chart but you'll
[224]
understand why in a moment first off let's just really quickly go over what
[227]
an algorithm is because I want all of you over time to have one for yourself
[229]
like I said it's not math II it's it's not it has nothing to with algebra I
[234]
suck at both I really really suck at algebra it's just a series of things by
[240]
definition that must be true or untrue before something actually happens so in
[244]
a trading sense for me it's a series of indicators that actually must all agree
[249]
with each other every single one must say hey VP on this currency pair it is
[254]
time to go long or it is time to go short if even one of them is indecisive
[260]
or tells me to go the other way then I do nothing I move on I don't have to
[264]
trade all the time now as far as how I set up my algorithm, or
[268]
the indicators within it really it's all of them attempt to avoid trading where
[275]
the big banks trade you know if you've seen my videos before you understand
[278]
this how important it is to stay unpopular and to avoid those hotspots
[281]
where everybody else is putting in orders because that's where the big
[285]
banks like to take things the opposite way of where you intended this is how
[290]
losses happen for most people and but all things considered even though I'm
[296]
staying unpopular I still want them to get me in and out of a trade at the best
[301]
possible times but before any of that happens I actually have to know how much
[306]
to risk first that's why I have to consult the ATR and the reason this
[310]
whole time I forgot it was part of my algorithm is because I already have X
[315]
amount of indicators on my chart as is I don't really want to add one more so I
[319]
just pretty much put it on my chart just to see where the numbers and then I
[322]
immediately take it off but it is absolutely part of my trading system and
[327]
technically part of my algorithm and is the only piece of it I am willing to
[331]
divulge but it is the most important piece because it is the most important
[335]
indicator out there because understand everybody wants that one indicator that
[340]
one standalone indicator that is just amazing at predicting where price will
[345]
go and that indicator doesn't exist you need a combination of indicators that
[350]
confirm each other so you can really drill down in those absolute best times
[355]
to go long or go short but the ATR what makes it the best it's the one because
[360]
it is the one indicator everyone should be using I've said it before guys that
[363]
is what makes it the best because this here does not exist this here absolutely
[369]
does and everybody needs to use it this is not to answer people want to hear
[375]
because there is nothing sexy about this indicator everybody chases the sexy
[380]
stuff this is dead unsexy nobody wants to hear about it
[385]
they want the indicator that gets them into that big trend earlier calls that
[389]
perfect reversal you know they have no time for something that does not do
[392]
either one of those things we will get off of this picture
[396]
but the ATR is crucial for money management and money management is
[401]
crucial to winning if you guys have not seen the money management video I made
[405]
it's just a very short video kind of kicking off the money management
[408]
playlist that this video is also going to be on go watch it it is the one thing
[415]
most responsible for your trading account going up or going down and the
[422]
ATR is the most important indicator when it comes to money management yet another
[427]
reason why this thing is so important and why it is at the very very top of my
[431]
list so let's go ahead and talk about it and tell you what it is it's about time
[436]
to do that huh the Average True Range all it does is tell you how many pips a
[442]
particular currency pair has moved on average in the past X amount of candles
[449]
so the default settings for the ATR on most platforms is 14 so in the past 14
[455]
candles on average from top to bottom how many pips does this thing move
[461]
that's it the end all right and so I'm gonna go to my charts in a second here
[466]
I'm gonna show you how to set it up and a little more about it before I do that
[470]
though here's the way I describe trade entries in terms of how much money to
[475]
put on a trade okay I don't I don't speak in units I don't say put 10,000
[480]
units on the euro dollar to go long I don't say that I don't say in dollar
[484]
amounts either I don't say put 4,500 on the pound kiwi to do this I I don't I
[492]
say how much are you trading per pip what is your pip value to me that's the
[497]
best way to speak in money management terms and that's from this point forward
[501]
that's how you're gonna hear me talk so I don't speak in lots either because a
[506]
lot on one lot on the euro dollar is right now is 10 dollars a pip but if
[511]
you're gonna trade the Euro Pound for example which is one of the charts we're
[514]
going to look at one lot does not equal $10 a pip so what I really care about in
[520]
terms of how to determine how much risk to put on any given trade I will say how
[527]
much money per pip are you trading what is your pip value
[533]
all right so now that that is clear let's go ahead
[536]
and go to the charts and I'll show you the ATR all right so here we are at the
[540]
Euro Pound and I use this one as a good example because it mu typically moves
[544]
very slow compared to most currency pairs so I also have waited to the
[551]
very end of the day this is the end of the trading week so nothing is moving
[554]
now for you you are gonna want an average of let's just say fourteen
[561]
candles you want fourteen completed candles so if you are a daily chart
[566]
trader like I am and in Episode three of the podcast I explain why you either
[572]
want to wait until the end of the trading week if it's a Friday but if
[576]
it's any other day of the week you want to measure the ATR about I don't know 20
[584]
30 minutes before the candles about to close now why do I say that because if
[590]
you don't if you wait till an hour after the candle before is closed this candle
[596]
is going to be very small and it's gonna throw off the equation all right I hope
[600]
that makes sense maybe it'll make more sense if we actually pull it up
[604]
so average true range now the ATR comes standard on just about every mt4
[609]
platform out there so I don't need to provide a download link really and what
[614]
I do I leave it alone some of the best indicators out there you don't even need
[617]
to mess with I do 14 periods I just keep the same colors and lines and just hit
[622]
OK and there it is and so what is the ATR of the Euro Pound can anybody tell
[630]
me it's right here 41 pips this line just tells you over time what it has
[639]
been you can really just ignore the line what I want to know is this number right
[644]
here and that is it 41 pips from top to bottom in the last
[650]
14 candles this has been the average now if I were to do this you know let's say
[658]
during the asian session where things have just kind of gotten going and
[661]
things haven't been moving too much this no
[663]
is going to be lower because this candle is gonna be a lot smaller because it
[667]
hasn't had the chance to really do what its gonna do for the day so you're not
[670]
gonna get the most accurate number here that's why I recommend checking this
[674]
thing right before the end of the day or if it's the weekend you can just do what
[680]
I do and check it on the weekend so 41 is your number there so let's go ahead
[684]
and get rid of this and let's move on to something that moves a lot faster the
[690]
pound kiwi now same thing hit OK and you can see on this one
[699]
it moves a lot more than the Euro Pound does doesn't it
[705]
125 pips per day if we're counting the last 14 periods and this is a slow time
[712]
of year guys this thing can easily trade into the 200s sometimes the 300s
[717]
depending on what's going on and out of the 8 major currency pairs this is
[721]
typically the fastest one and the Euro Pound is typically the slowest one and
[726]
so this is a good illustration I think and in terms of comparing the two and
[729]
how the ATR can help you determine what your pip value needs to be for each one
[734]
so let's go back to the slide and I'll show you how this works so let's compare
[739]
the two the ATR of the Euro Pound we determined
[742]
was 41 on the pound kiwi it was 125 now I am terrible at math but I can tell
[750]
you right now that one is about three times more than the other one is so what
[755]
do we do we understand first that currently the Euro Pound is moving about a
[760]
third of the speed of the pound Kiwi and conversely the pound Kiwi is moving
[764]
about three times the amount of the Euro pound
[766]
alright we've established that right so how do we trade it well pretty
[771]
simple just for example if you're trading the euro pound at $6 a pip you
[775]
can with confidence and with ease trade the pound Kiwi all you have to do is
[781]
trade 1/3 less if you're putting $6 a pip here you put $2 a pip here and your
[788]
results are going to be very similar it seems pretty obvious to me but the vast
[794]
vast majority of traders I can guarantee you are putting the same amount per
[799]
pip over here than they are over here a lot of you who are watching this video
[805]
for the first time that's what you probably do that is your answer to money
[810]
management my question to you is what are you doing why are you doing it that
[815]
way are you sitting there telling me that you are three times as confident in
[820]
this trade that you are this trade because whether or not you're actually
[825]
saying it that's what your actions are saying this is a very foolish and
[830]
irresponsible way to trade because if this trade goes south on you that's
[835]
gonna be a really big dent in your account and you should never let one
[838]
loss affect your account that adversely guys don't be one of these people do it
[844]
right and you do it right by using the ATR to determine numbers like this and
[848]
then you can decide how much money actually goes where I know I keep
[853]
referring back to the podcast because it's actually very relevant for this
[855]
video but episode 4 I talked about the reason why you should be trading a lot
[861]
more currency pairs than you probably do and I think one of the big reasons why
[864]
people don't is because pairs like this seem very ominous very scary because
[869]
they move so much there's really no reason to feel that way because if you
[873]
just put the right amount of pip value onto it then it's just like trading
[878]
anything else and this opens up your trading repertoire so much more because
[883]
now you're giving yourself that much more opportunity to succeed to make
[887]
money to where you are severely limiting yourself if you only trade a small
[892]
handful of currencies this is how you open things up this is how you multiply
[896]
your success but only if you do it the right way if you do it the wrong way it
[901]
can be the worst thing to ever happen to you but by using the ATR and using it
[905]
the right way you can trade any pair out there you want with ease
[908]
so in conclusion first off understand that money management is the one thing
[916]
that's gonna separate you from the losing traders when it's all said and
[918]
done because it is the one thing more than anything that determines whether
[923]
your bank account goes up or down and what's the most important tool you need
[928]
when it comes to money management it the ATR and you should have it either on
[932]
your chart or ready to go ready ready to tell you what the ATR is for a certain
[938]
pair always 100% of the time never ever trade without it it is that
[944]
important guys now who else out there is drilling down into Forex money
[947]
management like I am nobody it's only the most important thing ever and people
[952]
are doing you a gigantic disservice by not talking about it more and so if you
[957]
really do want to succeed you know what to do you got to subscribe to this
[961]
channel we are just getting started in terms of everything yes we're also going
[965]
to go over entries and how to get the best entries to the really good sexy
[968]
stuff that's all gonna be there but money management is something we really
[973]
need to get you ironclad no doubt in anyone's mind amazing at because if we
[980]
do this the rest is easy so hit subscribe hit the bell don't miss
[984]
anything check out the podcast check out no-nonsense forex.com it has everything
[989]
the videos the podcasts the blog all of it but follow a youtube channel that is
[993]
dedicated to your success put it all together and let's go get it